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The Kepner-Tregoe Matrix

Making unbiased, risk-assessed decisions.

By the Mind Tools Content Team

No matter what position you hold, from the board room to the mailroom, you make decisions every day.

And the end result in business is directly linked to the quality of the decisions made at each point along the way.

So, not surprisingly, decision-making is a universally important competence in business. Some decisions clearly have a greater impact on the business than others, but the underlying skill is the same: the difference is in the scope and depth of the process you go through to reach your decision.

One reason why decision-making can be so problematic is that the most critical decisions tend to have to be made in the least amount of time. You feel pressured and anxious. The time pressure means taking shortcuts, jumping to conclusions, or relying heavily on instinct to guide your way.

Kepner-Tregoe: Taking the Guesswork out of Decision-Making

In your organization, you've probably heard of someone who made it all the way to VP by relying on his gut to make decisions. At the other extreme is the guy who simply can't make a decision because he analyzes the situation to death. The bottom line is, you have to make decisions, and you have to make good decisions. Poor decisions are bad for business. Worse still, one poor decision can lead to others, and so the impact can be compounded and lead to more and more problems down the line.

Thankfully, decision-making is a skill set that can be learned and improved on. Somewhere between instinct and over-analysis is a logical and practical approach to decision-making that doesn't require endless investigation, but helps you weigh up the options and impacts.

One such approach is called the Kepner-Tregoe Matrix. It provides an efficient, systematic framework for gathering, organizing and evaluating decision-making information. The approach was developed by Charles H. Kepner and Benjamin B. Tregoe in the 1960s and they first wrote about it in the business classic, The Rational Manager (1965). The approach is well-respected and used by many of the world's top organizations including NASA and General Motors. [1]

The Kepner-Tregoe Approach

The Kepner-Tregoe approach is based on the premise that the end goal of any decision is to make the "best possible" choice. This is a critical distinction: the goal is not to make the perfect choice, or the choice that has no defects. So the decision maker must accept some risk. And an important feature of the Kepner-Tregoe Matrix is to help evaluate and mitigate the risks of your decision.

The Kepner-Tregoe Matrix approach guides you through the process of setting objectives, exploring and prioritizing alternatives, exploring the strengths and weaknesses of the top alternatives, and of choosing the final "best" alternative. It then prompts you to generate ways to control the potential problems that will crop up as a consequence of your decision.

This type of detailed problem and risk analysis helps you to make an unbiased decision. By skipping this analysis and relying on gut instinct, your evaluation will be influenced by your preconceived beliefs and prior experience – it's simply human nature. The structure of the Kepner-Tregoe approach limits these conscious and unconscious biases as much as possible.

The Kepner-Tregoe Matrix comprises four basic steps:

• Situation Appraisal – identify concerns and outline the priorities.
• Problem Analysis – describe the exact problem or issue by identifying and evaluating the causes.
• Decision Analysis – identify and evaluate alternatives by performing a risk analysis for each and then make a final decision.
• Potential Problem Analysis – evaluate the final decision for risk and identify the contingencies and preventive actions necessary to minimize that risk.

Going through each stage of this process will help you come to the "best possible choice", given your knowledge and understanding of the issues that bear on the decision.

How to Use the Tool

The Kepner-Tregoe Matrix is an in-depth approach that can be supported by detailed instruction and worksheets. As an overview of the approach, the following steps show the general principles of how the Kepner-Tregoe approach can apply to a decision-making situation:

1. Prepare a decision statement.

• This is a general overview of what the decision is expected to achieve (the key objective).
• The statement should discuss the action that is required and the result that is desired.

2. Establish strategic requirements ("Must Haves").

• What "musts" will the final decision provide, allow for, include, etc.? For example: we must have 10 percent cost saving, we must include four color choices, the rope must hold 200 lbs.
• These requirements are absolute – there is no compromise.

3. Establish operational objectives ("Want to Haves").

• What do you "want" the final decision to support?
• By identifying the wants you can rank the alternatives according to which ones satisfy the most, or most important, wants.

4. Identify the restraints (Limits).

• What are the things that will limit your ability to do exactly what you want/need?
• These are typically resource constraints like money, materials, and time.

5. Rank the operational objectives and assign relative weights.

• For each "want", assign a rating of 1 – 10 based on the degree of importance.

6. Generate a list of alternatives.

• Think of as many alternative courses of action as you can. Don't be too concerned that they all meet the "musts" and "wants" you just defined. You will rank these alternatives in the next step.
• Brainstorming is a good approach for generating your list of alternatives.

7. Assign a relative score for each alternative.

• First, eliminate any alternatives that do not meet the "musts" – these are not worth considering any further.
• For the first alternative, go through each objective (want) and rate how well the alternative satisfies it using a 1 – 10 scale.
• Multiply the weight of the objective by the satisfaction rating to come up with a weighted score for each objective.
• Add the weighted scores to determine the total weighted score.
• Repeat the process for each alternative.

8. From the total weighted score for each alternative, rank the top two or three alternatives.

• Remember to make sure that the alternatives you choose meet all the "must" criteria.

9. For the top alternatives, generate a list of potential problems (adverse effects) for each.

• Rank the potential problems for each alternative according to probability and significance.
• Obtain a total weighted score for the adverse effect (adversity rating).

10. Analyze the alternative ranking and the adversity rating and make a final decision.

11. decide on mitigating actions for the chosen alternative..

• Look at each of the adverse effects already identified and generate a list of proactive responses to reduce the probability of each.
• Continuously monitor these probabilities and take action as needed.

The Kepner-Tregoe Matrix is a well-respected and systematic approach for making decisions. The matrix process forces users to be well-organized and thorough.

By weighting and ranking both the benefits and risks, it helps you choose the very best alternatives.

Using the Kepner-Tregoe approach requires patience and a commitment: the payoff for the time invested is good, unbiased decision-making that makes good business sense.

[1] Kepner, C. and Tregoe, B. (1965). ' The Rational Manager .' McGraw-Hill Book Company.

Kepner-Tregoe is a trademark of Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. See www.kepner-tregoe.com .

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Kepner Tregoe Method of Problem Solving

Kepner Tregoe Method of Problem Solving: this article explains the Kepner Tregoe Method , also known as the KT-method , developed by Charles Kepner and Benjamin Tregoe in a practical way. Next to what this is, this article also highlights rational processes, the importance of cause and that this method is effective. After reading, you’ll have a basic understanding of this problem solving process. Enjoy reading!

What is the Kepner Tregoe Method?

Problems occur in any given organization. Often there is pressure of time to solve the problems and it is debatable what the right way of solving these problems is.

The Kepner Tregoe method or KT-method is a problem analysis model in which the “problem” is disconnected from the “decision” . An English synonym for this problem solving method is Problem Solving and Decision Making (PSDM).

Traditional thinking pattern

The founders Charles Kepner and Benjamin Tregoe developed a rational working method in the 1960s in which they researched and identified the troubleshooting skills of people.

Throughout the centuries mankind has learned to deal with complexity and to (directly) anticipate on this. As a consequence, the traditional thinking pattern became a part of human nature.

When solving problems people search for the answer to the following four questions:

• What happened?
• Why did it happen?
• How should we act?
• What will be the (future) result?

Kepner Tregoe method: rational processes

To break through this traditional pattern Charles Kepner and Benjamin Tregoe came up with four rational processes in which four fundamental questions are reflected:

1. Situation analysis

This clarifies the problem situation (what happened).

1.1 Problem analysis

Here the actual cause of the problem and the relationship between cause and result are searched for (why did it happen).

1.2 Decision analysis

Based on the decision making criteria, choices are made to arrive at potential problem resolutions (how should we act).

1.3 Potential Problem analysis

Figure 1 – Kepner Tregoe Method Analysis

Distinction

According to the KT-method, different tasks involve different problems, which in turn need different approaches. A situation analysis will clarify the distinctions in all these processes and as a result it will be possible to search for suitable solutions. This situation analysis provides an insight into necessity, priority and urgency of the various tasks.

When it has become clear which tasks are to be prioritized (action list) preparations can be made for potential problems. By using a good problem analysis in advance, a process will be created to prevent future problems or in emergencies, to limit the damage.

The strengths of this method does not stop there. Apart from the fact that problems are specified in terms such as “what, where, when and how big”, the Kepner Tregoe Method focuses on anything that cannot be the cause of the problem.

Certain causes are therefore excluded. Based on a “this is” and “this is not” analysis a clear overview of possible causes can be created and this makes the troubleshooting process consistent.

The Kepner Tregoe Method is efficient

The KT-method deploys an efficient troubleshooting process. Through research Charles Kepner and Benjamin Tregoe discovered that the registration of a problem is not a uniform process. In spite of the available information, people usually process information badly, misinterpret this or overlook important matters.

In addition, Charles Kepner and Benjamin Tregoe examined the discrepancies between successful and less successful troubleshooting.

They discovered that a predetermined logical method facilitates the search for the causes of a problem. In their “Best practice in troubleshooting” , they describe this methodology, which forms the basis for this method.

The Kepner Tregoe Method is Effective

This method is universal and is still used today in many organizations to track down problems and identify potential causes. Apart from the fact that the Kepner Tregoe Method leads to an explanation of problems, it also helps improve mutual understanding within an organization.

It’s Your Turn

What do you think? Is the Kepner Tregoe Method applicable in today’s modern organizations? Do you recognize the practical explanation or do you have more suggestions? What are your success factors for the good Kepner Tregoe Method set up?

Share your experience and knowledge in the comments box below.

More information

• Lussier, R. N.  (2005). Management fundamentals: concepts. applications, skill development . Cengage Learning .
• Payne, S. L. & Marty, C.S. (1966). The Rational Manager: A Systematic Approach to Problem Solving and Decision Making . Journal of Marketing. Vol. 30 Issue 1, p97.
• Kepner, C. H. & Tregoe, B. B. (1965). The Rational Manager . McGraw-Hill.

How to cite this article: Mulder, P. (2012). Kepner Tregoe Method . Retrieved [insert date] from Toolshero: https://www.toolshero.com/problem-solving/kepner-tregoe-method/

Original publication date: 06/30/2012 | Last update: 12/09/2023

Add a link to this page on your website: <a href=”https://www.toolshero.com/problem-solving/kepner-tregoe-method/”>Toolshero: Kepner Tregoe Method</a>

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Patty Mulder

Patty Mulder is an Dutch expert on Management Skills, Personal Effectiveness and Business Communication. She is also a Content writer, Business Coach and Company Trainer and lives in the Netherlands (Europe). Note: all her articles are written in Dutch and we translated her articles to English!

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4 responses to “kepner tregoe method of problem solving”.

I am stunned to read that the Kepner Tregoe Method “…… IS STILL used today in many organizations to track down problems and identify potential causes…..”. I have used it all the time along my career as a manager of organizations, with extreme success. As a tool for identifying problems, as a tool for taking better decisions. So, please, I would appreciate to know what kind of system is being used now instead of an approach like K-T, to have provoked your comment about the existence of an alternative way of thinking.

Other than KT, I also use the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Like KT, it forces discipline and analysis and it helps to explain why decisions are made with understandable background and data. Many of the old Total Quality Management tools are also useful for solving problems and making good management decisions. Nominal Group Technique, Pareto Charts, and weighted multivoting are all quite useful. ITIL is the new way of thinking, but it can be rather dry and robotic unless it is underpinned with good decision tools.

Thank you for your comment and sharing your experience Pete.

Seems that I naturally deal with problems this way without knowing a name for it. In fact, it seems obvious to me that this approach should be taken anyway.

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How to Analyze That Problem

By: Perrin Stryker

This sequel to Can You Analyze This Problem? (May-June 1965) describes the Kepner-Tregoe concepts and procedures for problem analysis. The main steps of a systematic approach to problem analysis…

• Length: 12 page(s)
• Publication Date: Jul 1, 1965
• Discipline: Negotiation
• Product #: 65412-PDF-ENG

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This sequel to Can You Analyze This Problem? (May-June 1965) describes the Kepner-Tregoe concepts and procedures for problem analysis. The main steps of a systematic approach to problem analysis include defining the problem, outlining the specifications, spotting the distinction, seeking the cause, and, if necessary, respecifying the problem. The use of a specification worksheet allows managers to draw a boundary around the problem and to limit the information needed for the problem's solution to only the relevant facts. In solving the problem of the case study, precise specification and careful problem analysis uncover a previously overlooked cause and prevent action which might have produced an even more serious problem.

Jul 1, 1965

Discipline:

Negotiation

Harvard Business Review

65412-PDF-ENG

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