consequences of inflation essay grade 12

• Economic Essays Grade 12

Grade 12 Economic Essays for the Next Three-Year Cycle (2021-2023)

• Discuss in detail the markets within the FOUR-SECTOR model (Circular Flow)

Discuss in detail 'The new economic paradigm'/Explain the 'smoothing of cycles (Business Cycles)

Discuss in detail the features underpinning forecasting (Business Cycles)

Discuss in detail the main objectives of the public sector in the economy (Public Sector)

Discuss in detail the reason(s) for public sector failure (link them to typical problems experienced through public sector provisioning) (Public Sector)

Discuss in detail the reasons for international trade (Foreign Exchange Markets)

• Discuss in detail export promotion (Protectionism and FreeTrade)

Discuss in detail the arguments in favour of protectionism (Protectionism and Free Trade)

Discuss in detail the demand-side approach in promoting growth and development in South Africa (Growth and development)

Discuss in detail the following South African growth and development policies and strategic initiatives (Growth and development)

Discuss in detail South Africa's initiaties (endeavours) in regional development (Industrial Development Policies)

Discuss in detail the following economic indicators (Economic and Social Performance Indicators

Discuss in detail the following social indicators (Economic and Social Performance Indicators)

Discuss in detail the various equilibrium positions with the aid of graphs-PERFECT MARKET (Perfect Market)

• Discuss the monopoly in detail (with/without the aid of graphs) (Imperfect Market)

Examine the oligopoly in detail (Imperfect Market)

• Compare and contrast any TWO types of market structures  

Discuss in detail how the following factors lead to the misallocation of resources in the market (Market Failures)

Discuss in detail state intervention as a consequence of market failures, with the aid of relevant graphs (Market Failures)

Discuss in detail the consequences of inflation (Inflation)

Discuss in detail the measures to combat demand-pull and/or cost-push inflation (Inflation)

Examine in detail the effects of tourism (Tourism)

Examine in detail the benefits of tourism (Tourism)

Discuss in detail how the government can ensure sustainable development (Environmental Sustainability)

• Discuss in detail the following problems and the international measures taken to ensure sustainable development (Environmental Sustainability)

ESSAYS FOR THE NEXT THREE-YEAR CYCLE (2021-2023)

Macroeconomics- paper1.

Discuss in detail the markets within the FOUR-SECTOR model (Circular Flow) INTRODUCTION The economy of a country is regarded as an open economy because of the presence of households, producers, government, foreign sector and financial sector as active participants in the economy. Markets link the participants in the economy 🗸🗸 [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART PRODUCT / GOODS/ OUTPUT MARKET🗸

• These are the markets for consumer goods and services🗸🗸
• Goods are defined as tangible items, like food, clothes, cars, etc. that satisfies some human wants or needs🗸🗸
• Buying and selling of goods that are produced in markets e.g. 🗸🗸
• Capital Goods market for trading of buildings and machinery🗸🗸
• Consumer goods market for trading of durable consumer goods, semi-durable consumer goods and non-durable consumer goods. 🗸🗸
• Services are defined as non-tangible actions and include wholesale and retail, transport and financial markets. 🗸🗸

FACTOR / RESOURCE/ INPUT MARKETS🗸

• Households sell factors of production on the markets: rent for natural resources, wages for labour interest for capital and profit for entrepreneurship🗸🗸
• The factor market includes the labour, property and financial markets. 🗸🗸
• The market where services of factors of production are traded e.g. labour is hired and capital is borrowed – these services earn wages, interest, rent and profits🗸🗸

FINANCIAL MARKETS🗸

• They are not directly involved in the production of good and services, but act as a link between households , the business sector and other participants with surplus finds🗸🗸
• E.g. banks, insurance companies and pension funds🗸

MONEY MARKETS🗸

• In the money markets short term loans, and very short term funds are saved and borrowed by consumers and business enterprises 🗸🗸
• Products sold in the market are bank debentures, treasury bills and government bonds 🗸🗸
• The simplest form exists when parties make demand and short-term deposits and borrow on short term 🗸🗸
• The SARB is the key institution in the money market🗸🗸

CAPITAL MARKETS🗸

• In the capital markets long term funds are borrowed and saved by consumers and the business sector🗸🗸
• The Johannesburg Security Exchange (JSE) is a key institution in the capital 🗸🗸
• Products sold in this market are mortgage bonds and shares🗸🗸

FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKETS🗸

• On the foreign exchange markets businesses buy/ sell foreign currency to pay for imported goods and services🗸🗸
• These transactions occur in banks and consists of electronic money transfers from one account to another🗸🗸
• The leading centres/ most important foreign exchange markets are in London, New York and Tokyo 🗸🗸
• e.g. traveller’s cheques to travel abroad🗸
• Flows of private and public goods and services are real flows and they are accompanied by counter flows of expenditure and taxes on the product market🗸🗸
• Factor services are real flows and they are accompanied by counter flows of income on the factor market🗸🗸
• Imports and exports are real flows and are accompanied by counter flows of expenditure and revenue on the foreign exchange market🗸🗸[Max 26]
• A change in investment of R 10m will result in a change in income of R 20m🗸🗸
• An increase in investment causes the expenditure function to shift upwards from C1 to C2 so that C1 is parallel to C2🗸🗸
• The effect of the increase in investment is that the total expenditure will increase from R 20m to R 30m🗸🗸
• The increase in the value of output (Y) is greater than the increase in the expenditure (E) 🗸🗸 (Explanation must comply with the figures supplied in the graphical presentation) [Max 4] [Max 10]

CONCLUSION The circular flow ensures continued interdependence and coordination of the economic activities in the economy / markets are critically important institutions in our economic system, because they regulate the supply and demand and safeguard price stability and general business confidence. 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION The new economic paradigm in terms of the smoothing of business cycles discourages monetary policy makers from using monetary and fiscal policies to fine tune the economy but rather encourages achieving stability through sound long term decisions relating to demand and supply in the economy/smoothing out the painful part of economic down-fall that is part of the market economy🗸🗸 (Accept other relevant definition/description of smoothing/new economic paradigm). [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART The new economic paradigm is embedded in the demand and supply side policies. 🗸🗸

Demand-side policies

• It focuses on aggregate demand in the economy🗸🗸
• When households, firms and the government spend more, demand in the economy increases. 🗸🗸
• This makes the economy grow but lead to inflation.🗸🗸
• Aggregate demand increases more quickly than aggregate supply and this causes price increases. 🗸🗸
• If the supply does not react to the increase in demand, prices will increase. 🗸🗸
• This will lead to inflation (a sustained and considerable in the general price level) 🗸🗸

Unemployment:

• Demand-side policies are effective in stimulating economic growth. 🗸🗸
• Economic growth can lead to an increase in demand for labour. 🗸🗸
• As a result more people will be employed and unemployment will increase. 🗸🗸
• As unemployment decreases inflation is likely to increase. 🗸🗸
• This relationship between unemployment and inflation is illustrated in the Phillips curve. 🗸🗸
• The PC curve shows the initial situation. A is the point of intersection of the PC curve with the x- axis. It shows the natural rate of unemployment, for instance 14%🗸🗸
• At point A inflation rate is zero. 🗸🗸
• If unemployment falls to C for instance, 8%, inflation caused by wage increases is at 6%.🗸🗸
• If unemployment increases from C to B to A, inflation falls from 6% to 2% to 0%.🗸🗸

Supply-side policies Reduction of costs 🗸

• Infrastructural services: reasonable charge and efficient transport, communication, water
• services and energy supply. 🗸🗸
• Administrative costs: these costs include inspection, reports on applications
• of various laws, regulations and by-laws, tax returns and returns providing statistical
• information.
• It adds to costs and businesses carry a heavy burden 🗸🗸
• Cash incentives: it includes subsidies for businesses to locate in neglected areas where unemployment is high and compensation to exporters for certain costs they
• incurred in development of export markets. 🗸🗸

Improving the efficiency of inputs 🗸

• Tax rates: low tax rates can serve as an incentive to workers. It will improve the productivity and output. 🗸🗸
• Capital consumption: replacing capital goods regularly creates opportunities for businesses to keep up with technological development and better outputs🗸🗸
• Human resource development: to improve the quality of manpower by improving health care, education and training. 🗸🗸
• Free advisory service: these promote opportunities to export. 🗸🗸

Improving the efficiency of markets 🗸

• Deregulation: removal of laws, regulations and by-laws and other forms of government controls makes the market free. 🗸🗸
• Competition: encourages the establishment of new businesses 🗸🗸
• Levelling the play field: private businesses cannot compete with public enterprises 🗸🗸 Answers must be in full sentences and well described with examples to be able to obtain 2 marks per fact. Learners should be awarded 1 mark per heading or sub-heading to a maximum of 8 marks. (8 x 1) (8) [Max 26]

Explanation: The above graph shows:

• Aggregate demand (AD) and aggregate supply (AS) are in equilibrium at point C. 🗸🗸
• If aggregate demand is stimulated so that it moves to AD1 and aggregate supply responds promptly and relocates at AS1; a larger real output becomes available without any price increases. 🗸🗸
• Supply is often sticky and fixed in the short term. 🗸🗸
• Therefore, if aggregate demand increases to AD1 and aggregate supply does not respond, intersection is at point F. Real production increases but so does the price, in other words, with more inflation. 🗸🗸
• The aggregate demand locates at any position to the left of AS1 inflation prevails. 🗸🗸
• The solution is to create conditions that ensure supply is more flexible. 🗸🗸
• If the cost of increasing production is completely flexible, a great real output can be supplied at any given price level. 🗸🗸 [Max 10]

CONCLUSION It is clear from the discussion above that it is critically important to manage the aggregate supply and demand to ensure stability in the economy. 🗸🗸 [Accept any relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Accurate prediction is not possible in Economics. The best the economists can do is to try and forecast what might happen. There are a number of techniques available to help economists to forecast business cycles, e.g. economic indicators 🗸🗸 OR Successive periods of contraction and expansion of economic activities 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant introduction] [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART Business cycle indicators Leading economic indicators 🗸

• These are indicators that change before the economy changes / coincide with the reference turning point 🗸🗸
• They give consumers, business leaders and policy makers a glimpse (advance warnings) of where the economy might be heading. 🗸🗸
• Peak before a peak in aggregate economic activity is reached.
• Most important type of indicator in helping economists to predict what the economy will be like in the future 🗸🗸
• When these indicators rise, the level of economic activities will also rise in a few months' time/an upswing 🗸🗸
• E.g. job advertising space/inventory/sales ratio🗸

Coincident economic indicators🗸

• They move at the same time as the economy / if the turning point of a specific time series variable coincides with the reference turning point🗸🗸
• It indicates the actual state of the economy🗸🗸
• E.g. value of retail sales. 🗸
• If the business cycle reaches a peak and then begins to decline, the value of retail sales will reach a peak and then begin to decline at same time🗸🗸

Lagging economic indicators🗸

•  They do not change direction until after the business cycle has changed its direction🗸🗸
• They serve to confirm the behaviour of co-incident indicators🗸🗸
• E.g. the value of wholesalers' sales of machinery🗸
• If the business cycle reaches a peak and begins to decline, we are able to predict the value of new machinery sold🗸🗸

Composite indicator🗸

• It is a summary of the various indicators of the same type into a single value🗸🗸
• Their values are consolidated into a single value , if this is done we find a value of a composite leading , coincident and lagging indicator🗸🗸 Accept ONE example from the table below:
• This is the time that it takes for a business cycle to move through one complete cycle (measured from peak to peak) 🗸🗸
• It is useful to know the length because the length tends to remain relatively constant over time.🗸🗸
• If a business cycle has the length of 10 years it can be predicted that 10 years will pass between successive peaks or troughs in the economy. 🗸🗸
• Longer cycles show strength. 🗸🗸
• Cycles can overshoot. 🗸🗸

Ways to measure lengths:

• Crisis to crisis 🗸🗸
• Historical records 🗸🗸
• Consensus on businesses experience 🗸🗸

Amplitude 🗸

• It is the difference between the total output between a peak and a trough. 🗸🗸
• It measures the distance of the oscillation of a variable from the trend line / It is the intensity (height) of the upswing and downswing (contraction and expansion) in economic activity 🗸🗸
• A large amplitude during an upswing indicates strong underlying forces – which result in longer cycles 🗸🗸
•  The larger the amplitude the more extreme the changes that may occur / extent of change 🗸🗸
• E.g. During the upswing inflation may increase from 5% to 10%. (100% increase) 🗸🗸
•  A trend is the movement of the economy in a general direction. 🗸🗸
• It usually has a positive slope because the production capacity of the economy increases over time 🗸🗸
• Also known as the long term growth potential of the economy. 🗸🗸
• The diagram above illustrates an economy which is growing – thus an upward trend (positive slope) 🗸🗸
• Trends are useful because they indicate the general direction in which the economy is moving – it indicates the rate of increase or decrease in the level of output🗸🗸

Extrapolation 🗸

• Forecasters use past data e.g. trends and by assuming that this trend will continue, they make predictions about the future🗸🗸
• Means to estimate something unknown from facts or information that are known 🗸🗸
• if it becomes clear that the business cycle has passed through a trough and has entered a boom phase, forecasters might predict that the economy will grow in the months that follow 🗸🗸
• It is also used to make economic predictions in other settings e.g. prediction of future share prices🗸🗸

Moving average 🗸

• It is a statistical analytical tool that is used to analyse the changes that occur in a series of data over a certain period of time / repeatedly calculating a series of different average values along a time series to produce a smooth curve 🗸🗸
• The moving average could be calculated for the past three months in order to smooth out any minor fluctuations 🗸🗸
• It is calculated to iron out (minimize) small fluctuations and reveal long-term trends in the business cycle🗸🗸 Answers must be in full sentences and well described with examples to be able to obtain 2 marks per fact. Learners should be awarded 1 mark per 8 headings and examples. [8 x 1=8] [Max 26]

BODY: ADDITIONAL PART

• An expansionary monetary policy is implemented when the economy is in recession in order to stimulate economic activities. 🗸🗸
• Interest rates can be reduced to encourage spending. 🗸🗸
• Households and firms can borrow more and spend more. 🗸🗸
•  The increased spending increases the level of economic activity. 🗸🗸
• Investment will increase and more factors of production will be employed. 🗸🗸
• Higher levels of production, income and expenditure will be achieved. 🗸🗸
• If the supply of goods and services does not increase in line with an increase in demand, inflation will increase. 🗸🗸
• Inflation can be curbed by reducing money supply and availability of credit. 🗸🗸
• To dampen demand at the peak the government will be able to reduce the money supply by increasing interest rates. 🗸🗸
• Selling government bonds and securities (open market transactions) and reduce the supply of money in circulation. 🗸🗸
• Increase the cash reserve requirements to manipulate money creation activities of banks. 🗸🗸
• Persuade banks to decrease lending (moral suasion) 🗸🗸
• To devaluate the exchange rate (exchange rate policy) 🗸🗸 [Max 10]

CONCLUSION It remain clear that business cycles must be clearly monitored through the indicators available, policy makers must act quickly by using monetary and fiscal instruments in order to prevent instability in the economy. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION: The government provides goods and services that are under supplied by the market and therefore plays a major role in regulating economic activity and guiding and shaping the economy. 🗸🗸 [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART Objectives:

Economic growth 🗸

• Refer to an increase in the production of goods and services 🗸🗸
• Measured in terms of Real GDP 🗸🗸
• For economic growth to occur, the economic growth rate must be higher than Population growth 🗸🗸
• Growth and development in a country benefit its citizens because it often leads to a higher standard of living 🗸🗸

Full employment 🗸

• It is when all the people who want to work, who are looking for a job must be able to get a job 🗸🗸
• High levels of employment is the most important economic objective of the government 🗸🗸
• The unemployment rate increased over the past few years 🗸🗸
• Informal sector activities must be promoted because it is an area where employment increase 🗸🗸

Exchange rate stability 🗸

• The economy must be manage effectively and effective Fiscal and monetary policy must be used to keep the exchange rate relatively stable 🗸🗸
• Depreciation and Appreciation of the currency create uncertainties for producers and traders and should be limited. These uncertainties must be limited 🗸🗸
• The SARB changed the Exchange rate from a Managed floating to a free floating exchange rate 🗸🗸

Price stability 🗸

• Stable price causes better results in terms of job creation and economic growth 🗸🗸
• The SARB inflation target is 3% - 6% and they are successful in keeping inflation within this target 🗸🗸
• Interest Rates, based on the Repo Rate are the main instruments used in the stabilisation policy 🗸🗸
• The stable budget deficit also has a stabilizing effect on the inflation rate 🗸🗸

Economic equity 🗸

• Redistribution of income and wealth is essential 🗸🗸
• South Africa uses a progressive income tax system – taxation on profits, taxation on wealth, capital gains tax and taxation on spending, are used to finance free services 🗸🗸
• Free social services are basic education; primary health and to finance basic economic services 🗸🗸
• E.g. Cash Grant to the poor, e.g. child grants and cash grants to vulnerable people, e.g. disability grants 🗸
• Progressive taxation means that the higher income earners pay higher/more taxation 🗸🗸 [Max 26]
• Learner responses can be positive or negative.
• Follow the argument and see if the learner can produce enough evidence to support his/her answer.

Economic Growth:

• SA targets 4–5% economic growth. Previously SA had a 5% growth rate 🗸🗸
• In recent years the growth rate decreased steadily (presently below 3%) 🗸🗸

Full Employment:

• Compared to foreign countries unemployment is very high. (Expanded – over 30%) 🗸🗸
• Efforts by SA government to reduce these figures includes the GEAR strategy, focus on small business enterprises, Public Works Programme 🗸🗸

Exchange rate stability:

• SA now operates on a free floating exchange rate system in line with international benchmarks 🗸🗸
• Unfortunately our currency has lost its value, with a general trend of depreciation over the last few years 🗸🗸

Price stability:

• For the past few years South Africa has managed to remain within the 3–6% target 🗸🗸
• The current increase in the repo rate has put constraints on the inflation rate 🗸🗸

Economic equity:

• Economic equity has improved (BEE, affirmative action, gender equity) and led to an improvement in economic equity 🗸🗸 [Any 5 x 2] [Max 10]

CONCLUSION: While some successes have been achieved by government, the fulfilling of some of the objectives are compromised by factors like lack of accountability, corruption, budgeting, nepotism and incompetence. 🗸🗸 [Any relevant conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION The government responds to market failures by establishing and maintaining state owned enterprises to provide public goods and services 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant introduction] [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART

• It is required to give an explanation of one's decisions, actions and expenditures over a period of time 🗸🗸
• There are mechanisms for evaluating government's economic and financial performance 🗸🗸
• That the desired quantities and quality of goods and services for which taxes are raised are delivered 🗸🗸
• That monopolies, corruption, nepotism, incompetence and apathy does not occur 🗸🗸
• Two important elements of accountability is participation and transparency🗸🗸
• Ministerial responsibilities, i.e. the ministers of government departments are responsible for decisions and actions and expenditures 🗸🗸
• Parliamentary questioning arises and members of the government departments have to respond 🗸🗸
• The national treasury is responsible for treasury control 🗸🗸
• The auditor-general reports annually in writing on each government department🗸🗸
• Public goods are efficiently provided if Pareto efficiency is achieved 🗸🗸
• That is if resources are allocated in such a way that no one can be made better off without making someone else worse off 🗸🗸
• Bureaucracy the official rules and procedures. 🗸🗸/insensitivity to the needs of their clients 🗸🗸
• Incompetence- the lack of skill or ability to do a task successfully🗸🗸/May have improper qualifications/or an attitude of apathy 🗸🗸
• Corruption- the exploitation of a person's position for private gain /taking bribes, committing fraud, nepotism 🗸🗸
• State-owned enterprises do not operate according to the forces of supply and demand 🗸🗸
• It becomes thus very difficult for state-owned enterprises to assess needs and they are thus prone to under- or over-supplying public goods and services 🗸🗸
• The census and other household surveys as well as local government structures provide this type of information 🗸🗸
• Since resources are scarce, government must then decide which needs and whose needs are to be satisfied 🗸🗸
• In the private sector houses are built according to the price that people are able and willing to pay 🗸🗸
• In the public sector housing is regarded as a social responsibility and authorities supply them according to the needs of people 🗸🗸
• In a market economy prices are determined by supply and demand 🗸🗸
• The objectives of firms are to maximise their profits and they usually set prices to achieve this objective 🗸🗸
• Government does not pursue the profit maximisation objective 🗸🗸
• Government takes into account certain social, economic, political and environmental conditions as well as public opinion 🗸🗸
• Free-of-charge services- this is met from taxes 🗸🗸 and applies to most community goods and collective goods 🗸🗸 (e.g.) defence, police whereby charges and toll fees are levied 🗸
• User-charges 🗸 option to charge depends on technical reasons 🗸🗸 (e.g.) cost of providing a double lane road could be recovered by toll charges 🗸 Economic reasons 🗸 such as services like water and electricity 🗸 that have a zero price 🗸 political reasons 🗸 where income distribution is significantly unequal, administrative rationing according to need takes place 🗸🗸 (e.g.) public health and education 🗸
• Direct and indirect subsidies direct subsidies are used to cover part of the costs 🗸🗸 (e.g.) urban bus service 🗸 and an indirect subsidy is used to write off accumulated losses or deficits 🗸🗸
• Standing charges -called availability charges 🗸🗸 (e.g.) water and electricity 🗸 standing charges goes to meet fixed costs and the price per unit consumed covers variable costs 🗸🗸
• Price discrimination - different users have different elastic ties of demand for a good 🗸🗸 (e.g.) commercial and manufacturing businesses pay higher rates than households and they pay on a sliding scale🗸🗸
• State-owned enterprises that either render a service or when an existing enterprise is nationalised 🗸🗸
• They focus on making a profit and maximizing cost at the expense of the needs of some groups 🗸🗸 (e.g.) Iscor 🗸 SABC, 🗸SAA, Spoornet 🗸
• refers to the process whereby state-owned enterprises and state-owned assets are handed over or sold to private individuals 🗸🗸
• cost of maintaining and managing state-owned enterprises are high which can lead to higher taxes and larger public debt 🗸🗸
• State-owned enterprises are not run as efficiently as private enterprises 🗸🗸
• Nationalisation is the process whereby the state takes control and ownership of privately owned assets and private enterprises 🗸🗸
• It includes contracting of services, public-private partnerships, increasing competitiveness🗸🗸 [Max 26]

ADDITIONAL PART Possible problems in your community or elsewhere

• Lack of drinking water due to burst pipes 🗸🗸
• Lack of electricity due to lack of infrastructure (load shedding) 🗸🗸
• Lack of schooling – no buildings available – lack of maintenance 🗸🗸
• Lack of health services due to lack of staff, infrastructure, strikes 🗸🗸
• Lack of adequate housing (RDP) 🗸🗸 [Max 10 marks - List of examples max 5 marks] [Accept any other relevant answer] 

CONCLUSION If the above problems are not dealt with timeously by government, government will continue to fail its people in terms of service delivery, seeing many protests occurring regularly 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION International trade can be defined as the exchange of goods and services between countries globally. 🗸🗸 These trade agreements are negotiated by protocols and agreement due to the uneven distribution of natural resources globally. 🗸🗸

BODY-MAIN PART The main reasons for international trade.

Demand reasons The size of the population impacts demand.

• If there is an increase in population growth, it causes an increase in demand, as more people’s needs must be satisfied. 🗸🗸
• Local suppliers may not be able to satisfy this demand. 🗸🗸

The population’s income levels effect demand.

• Changes in income cause a change in the demand for goods and services. 🗸🗸 • An increase in the per capita income of people in more disposable income that can be spent on local goods and services, some of which may then have to be imported. 🗸🗸

An increase in the wealth of the population leads to greater demand for goods.

• People have access to loans and can spend more on luxury goods, many of which are produced in other countries. 🗸🗸

Preferences and tastes can play a part in the determining of prices,

•  E.g. customers in Australia have a preference for a specific product which they do not produce and need to import and it will have a higher value than in other countries. 🗸🗸

The difference in consumption patterns is determined

• By the level of economic development in the country, e.g. a poorly developed country will have a high demand for basic goods and services but a lower demand for luxury goods. 🗸🗸

Supply reasons Natural resources are not evenly distributed

• Across all countries of the world. 🗸🗸
• They vary from country to country and can only be exploited in places where these resources exist. 🗸🗸

Climatic conditions

• Make it possible for some countries to produce certain goods at a lower price than other countries, e.g. Brazil is the biggest producer of coffee. 🗸🗸

Labour resources

• Differ in quantity, quality and cost between countries. 🗸🗸
• Some countries have highly skilled, well-paid workers with high productivity levels, e.g. Switzerland. 🗸🗸

Technological resources

•  Are available in some countries that enable them to produce certain goods and services at a low unit cost, e.g. Japan. 🗸🗸

Specialisation in the production

• Certain goods and services allows some countries to produce them at a lower cost than others, e.g. Japan produces electronic goods and sells these at a lower price. 🗸🗸

Capital allows developed countries

• Enjoy an advantage over underdeveloped countries. 🗸🗸
• Due to a lack of capital, some countries cannot produce all the goods they require themselves. 🗸🗸

ADDITIONAL PART

• Buying and selling goods and services from other countries: 🗸🗸
• The purchase of goods and services from abroad that leads to an outflow of currency from SA- Imports (M). 🗸🗸
• The of goods and services to buyers from other countries leading to an inflow of currency to SA – Exports (X) 🗸🗸
• Different factor endowments mean some countries can produce goods and services more efficiently than others- specialisation is therefore possible: 🗸🗸

Absolute Advantage:

• Where one country can produce goods with fewer resources than other. 🗸🗸

Comparative Advantage:

• Where one country can produce goods at a lower opportunity cost it sacrifices less resources in production. 🗸🗸

CONCLUSION International trade is important of countries to survive economically, as barriers to trade would disadvantage all countries, due to their interdependency globally. 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

ECONOMIC PURSUITS-PAPER 1

Discuss in detail export promotion (Protectionism and Free Trade)

INTRODUCTION Export promotion refers to measures taken by governments increase production of goods and services that can be exported. The government provides incentives to encourage production 🗸🗸 [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART REASONS:

• Export promotion measures lower cost of production which makes it easier to compete on the international market 🗸🗸
• Achieve significant export-led economic growth🗸🗸
• Export enlarges production capacity of country because more and larger manufacturing industries are established. 🗸🗸
• The first step to export-led economic growth is to implement policies that encourage the establishment of industries to produce goods and services for export markets🗸🗸

METHODS: Exports are promoted through: Incentives🗸

• Export incentives include information on export markets, research with regard to new markets, concessions on transport charges, export credit and export credit guarantees and publicity commending successful exporters🗸🗸
• This will encourage manufacturers to export an increased volume of their production🗸🗸
• Trade missions help to market SA products abroad🗸🗸and supply SA companies with information about potential markets 🗸🗸

Direct Subsidies🗸

• Described as direct because it involves government expenditure. 🗸🗸
• Include cash payments to exporters, refunds on import tariffs and employment subsidies.
• The aim is to increase the competitiveness of exporting company🗸🗸 reduce cost of production🗸🗸and explore and establish overseas markets🗸🗸

Indirect subsidies

• Regarded as indirect because it results in the government receiving less revenue🗸🗸 e.g. general tax rebates,
• Tax concessions on profits earned from exports or on capital invested to produce export goods, refunding
•  Of certain taxes e.g. custom duties on imported goods used in the manufacturing process🗸🗸
• Allows companies to lower their prices and enables them to compete in international markets🗸🗸
• Challenge for governments to design incentives and subsidies in such a way that prices of export goods can't be viewed as dumping prices🗸🗸

Trade neutrality 🗸

• Can be achieved if incentives in favour of export production are introduced
• Up to point that neutralises the impact of protectionist measures in place🗸🗸
• E.g. subsidies equal to magnitude of import duties can be paid🗸

Export processing zones (EPZs) 🗸

• Is free-trade enclave within a protected area –
• Is fenced and controlled industrial park that falls outside
• Domestic customs area, and usually located near harbour or airport 🗸🗸 NOTE : For the response with regard to the effectiveness of export promotion methods, a maximum of 5 marks can be allocated.
• No limitations on size and scale since world market is very large🗸🗸
• Cost and efficiency of production based on this and organised along lines of comparative advantage🗸🗸
• Increased domestic production will expand exports to permit more imports and may result in backward linkage effects that stimulate domestic production in related industries🗸🗸
• Exchange rates are realistic and there is no need for exchange control and quantitative restrictions🗸🗸
• Value can be added to natural resources of the country 🗸🗸
• Creates employment opportunities 🗸🗸
• Increase in exports has positive effect on balance of payments 🗸🗸
• Increase in production leads to lower domestic prices, which benefit local consumers🗸🗸

DISADVANTAGES

• Real cost of production 🗸 subsidies and incentives reduce total cost of production which must be met from sales🗸🗸 real cost is thus concealed by subsidies🗸🗸products cannot compete in open market 🗸🗸
• Lack of competition 🗸 businesses charge prices that are so low that they force competitors out of the market 🗸🗸
• Increased tariffs and quotas 🗸can be against spirit of provisions of WTO🗸🗸overseas competitors retaliate with tariffs and quotas🗸🗸 goods are sold domestically below their real cost of production (export subsidies and dumping) 🗸🗸
• Protection of labour-intensive industries 🗸 developed countries maintain high levels of effective protection for their industries that produce labour-intensive goods in which developing countries already have or can achieve comparative advantage 🗸🗸
• Withdrawal of incentives often leads to closure of effected companies. 🗸🗸
• Incentives often lead to inefficiencies in the production process, since companies don't have to do their best to compete🗸🗸
• Can be seen as dumping 🗸🗸 [Max 26]

BODY: ADDITIONAL PART How successful is South Africa in protecting the local textile industry against foreign competition?

• Not successful: 🗸 Many domestic textile manufacturers closed down due to unfair international competition 🗸🗸 Many wholesalers make use of suppliers from abroad 🗸🗸 e.g. Woolworths/Walmart🗸
• Dumping still occurs – European manufacturers still dump clothing in Africa out of season at prices below cost 🗸🗸 Job losses due to a lack of protection in this industry 🗸🗸 [Accept any motivation relating to success indicators] [Max 10]

CONCLUSION South Africa's international trade policy facilitates globalisation thereby impacting positively on the balance of payment. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Protectionism refers to a deliberate policy on the part of the government to erect trade barriers, such as tariffs and quotas, in order to protect domestic industries against international competition. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant definition] [Max 2]

BODY-MAIN PART Raising revenue for the government

• Import tariffs raise revenue for the government. 🗸🗸
• In smaller countries the tax base is often small due to low incomes of individuals and businesses. 🗸🗸
• Low incomes do not provide much in the form of income taxes and therefore custom duties on imports is a significant source of income or revenue. 🗸🗸

Protecting the whole industrial base

• Maintaining domestic employment. 🗸🗸
• Countries with high unemployment are continuously pressured to stimulate employment creation and therefore resort to protectionism in order to stimulate industrialisation. 🗸🗸
• It is thought that using protectionism the country’s citizens would purchase more domestic products and raise domestic employment. 🗸🗸
• These measures on domestic employment creation at the expense of other countries, led to such measures as “beggar-my-neighbour” policies. 🗸🗸
• Applying import policies is likely to reduce other countries ability to buy country’s exports and may provoke retaliation. 🗸🗸

Protecting workers

• It is argued that imports from other countries with relatively low wages represent unfair competition and threaten the standard of living of the more highly paid workers of the local industries. 🗸🗸
• Local industries would therefore be unable to compete because of higher wages pushing up the price levels of goods. 🗸🗸
• Protection is thus necessary to prevent local wage levels from falling or even to prevent local businesses from closing down due to becoming unprofitable. 🗸🗸
• Competition from low-wage countries may also reflect the fact that those countries have a comparative advantage in low-skilled labour-intensive industries. 🗸🗸

Diversifying the industrial base

• Overtime countries need to develop diversified industries to prevent overspecialisation. 🗸🗸
• A country relying too heavily on the export of one or a few products is very vulnerable. 🗸🗸
• If a developing country’s employment and income is dependent on only one or two industries, there is the risk that world fluctuations in prices and demand and supply-side problems could results in significant fluctuations in domestic economic activity. 🗸🗸
• Import restrictions may be imposed on a range of products in order to ensure that a number of domestic industries develop. 🗸🗸

Develop strategic industries

• Some industries such as the iron-ore and steel, agriculture, (basic foodstuffs, such as maize), energy (fuels) and electronics (communication) among others, are regarded as strategic industries. 🗸🗸
• Developing countries may feel that they need to develop these industries in order to become self-sufficient . 🗸🗸

Protecting specific industries Dumping

• Foreign industries may engage in dumping because government subsidies permit them to sell at very low prices or because they are seeking to raise profits through price discrimination. 🗸🗸
• The reason for selling products at lower prices may be to dispose of accumulate stocks Of the goods and as a result consumers in the importing country stand to benefit however,
• Their long term objective may be to drive out domestic producers and gain control of the market and consumers
• Are likely to lose out in the reduction in choice and higher prices that the exporters will be able to charge. 🗸🗸

Infant industries

• Usually newly established and find it difficult to survive due to their average costs being higher than that of their well-established foreign competitors. 🗸🗸
• However, if they are given protection in their early years they may be able to grow and Thereby take advantage lower their average costs and become competitive and at this point protection can be removed. 🗸🗸

Declining industries/sunset industries

• Structural changes in the demand and supply of a good may severely hit an industry such industries should be permitted to go out of business gradually declining industries
• Are likely to be industries that no longer have a comparative advantage and however, if they go out of business quickly there may be a sudden and large increase in unemployment. 🗸🗸
• Protection may enable an industry to decline gradually thereby allowing time for resources including labour to move to other industries. 🗸🗸
• Protecting domestic standards domestic regulations of food safety human rights and environmental standards have been increasingly acting as trade restrictions. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant fact] [Max 26]

ADDITIONAL PART South Africa promotes exports through subsidies

Direct Subsidies

• Strict screening measures should be put in place when companies apply for financial assistance. Government expenditure can provide direct financial support to domestic producers for their exports e.g. 🗸🗸
• Cash grants offered to South African exhibitors to exhibit their products at exhibitions overseas. To explore new markets. 🗸🗸
• Foreign trade missions to explore new markets imposition of tariffs on imports. 🗸🗸
• Funds for the formation of formal export councils. 🗸🗸
• Subsidies for training or employing personnel. 🗸🗸
• Funds for the export market research. 🗸🗸
• Product registration and foreign patent registrations. 🗸🗸
• Government can refund companies certain taxes to promote exports.
• These types of indirect subsidies are:
• General tax rebates (Part of the cost of production can be subtracted from the tax that has been paid) 🗸🗸
• Tax concessions on profits earned from exports or on capital invested to produce export goods. 🗸🗸
• Refunds on import tariffs in the manufacturing process of exported goods companies often use custom duties are paid on these goods and the government refunds them. 🗸🗸 [Max 10]

CONCLUSION Most countries agree that protectionism is harmful to the economy if not well managed. Protectionism is needed especially where industries are young and need expansion or development. 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Economic growth is responsible for the overall growth of the economy, in order to enhance the well being of the economy as a whole. Whereas economic development would focus on the individual well being of the citizens of a country. [Any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

BODY-MAIN PART Growth and Development A demand-side approach includes discretionary changes in monetary and fiscal policies with the aim of changing the level of aggregate demand. 🗸🗸

Monetary policy

• Is driven by the South African Reserve Bank (SARB). 🗸🗸
• It aims to stabilise prices by managing inflation. 🗸🗸

Fiscal policy

• Is driven by the Department of Finance. 🗸🗸
• It aims to facilitate government, political and economic objectives. 🗸🗸
• A demand-side approach to economic growth and development does not only depend on fiscal and monetary policy. 🗸🗸
• It is dependent on all components of aggregate demand, that is, C, I, X and G. 🗸🗸

South African approach

• The South African approach uses both monetary and fiscal measures to influence aggregate demand in the economy. 🗸🗸
• The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) as the central bank in South Africa formulates the monetary policy. 🗸🗸
• They use the following instruments:

Interest rate changes

• It is used to influence credit creation by making credit more expensive or cheaper. 🗸🗸
• The exchange rate is stabilised by encouraging inflow or outflows. 🗸🗸

Open market transactions

• To restrict credit the SARB sells securities. When banks buy these securities money flows from banks to the SARB. 🗸🗸
• The banks have less money to lend and cannot extend as much credit as before. 🗸🗸
• To encourage credit creation the SARB buys securities. Money flows into the banking system.🗸🗸

Moral suasion

• The SARB consults with banks to act in a responsible manner based on the prevailing economic conditions. 🗸🗸

Cash Reserve Requirements

• Banks are required to hold a certain minimum cash reserve in the central bank. 🗸🗸
• Banks have a limited amount to give out as credit. 🗸🗸
• South Africa’s fiscal policy is put into practice through the budgetary process. 🗸🗸
• The main purpose of fiscal policy is to stimulate macroeconomic growth and employment, and ensure redistribution of wealth. 🗸🗸
• The following instruments are used:

Progressive personal income tax

• Higher income earners are taxed at higher tax rates. 🗸🗸
• These taxes are used to finance social development. 🗸🗸
• The poor benefit more than those with higher incomes. 🗸🗸

Wealth taxes

• Properties are levied (taxed) according to their market values. 🗸🗸
• Transfer duties are paid when properties are bought. 🗸🗸
• Securities (shares and bonds) are taxed when traded. 🗸🗸
• Capital gains tax is levied on gains on the sale of capital goods (e.g. properties, shares). 🗸🗸
• Estate duties are paid on the estates of the deceased. 🗸🗸
• These taxes are used to finance development expenditures which benefit the poor more  often. 🗸🗸

Cash benefits

• Old age pensions, disability grants, child support and unemployment insurance are cash grants. These are also known as social security payments. 🗸🗸
• Benefits in kind (natura benefits) 🗸🗸
• These include the provision of healthcare, education, school meals, protection etc. 🗸🗸
• When user fees are charged, poor or low income earners pay less or nothing. 🗸🗸
• Limited quantities of free electricity and water are provided. 🗸🗸

Other redistribution

• Public works programmes, e.g. the Strategic Integrated Projects (SIP) provides employment subsidies and other cash and financial benefits such as training, financing and export incentives.🗸🗸

Land restitution and land redistribution

• Land restitution is the return of land to those that have lost it due to discriminatory laws in the  past. 🗸🗸
• Land redistribution focuses on land for residential (town) and production (farm) for previously disadvantaged groups. 🗸🗸
• The money for these programmes is provided in the main budget. 🗸🗸

Subsidies on properties

• It helps people to acquire ownership of fixed residential properties. 🗸🗸
• E.g. government’s housing subsidy scheme provides funding to all people earning less than  R3 500 per month🗸🗸

CONCLUSION The demand-side approach focuses on the expansion of the demand for goods and services produced in the economy. 🗸🗸 OR To ensure economic growth, there should be an adequate and growing demand for goods and services produced in the economy. 🗸🗸

[Any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Different growth and development strategies have been implemented in South Africa since 1994, each aimed at addressing particular needs at the time of introduction. 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant introduction] [Max 2]

BODY-MAIN PART The Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP)

• The RDP was an integrated, coherent socio-economic policy framework that was implemented directly after our first democratic elections in 1994. 🗸🗸
• It seeked to mobilise all our people and our country’s resources toward the final eradication of apartheid and the building of a democratic, non-racial and non-sexist future. 🗸🗸

The RDP was based on six principles.

• an integrated and sustainable programme. 🗸🗸
• a people-driven process focusing on the needs of the population. 🗸🗸
• peace and security for all, aimed at a non-violent society that respects all human rights. 🗸🗸
• nation-building, focusing on the needs of all members of society. 🗸🗸
• linking reconstruction and development. 🗸🗸
• The RDP consisted of many proposals, strategies and policy programmes.
• All of these could, however be grouped into five major policy programmes that were linked to each other.

The five key programmes were:

• meeting basic needs. 🗸🗸
• developing our human resources. 🗸🗸
• building the economy. 🗸🗸
• democratising the state and society. 🗸🗸
• implementing the RDP. 🗸🗸

The Growth, Employment and Redistribution Programme (GEAR)

• The GEAR built upon the strategic vision set out in the RDP, i.e. 🗸🗸
• The importance of all the objectives of the RDP was reaffirmed but it recognized the implementation and macroeconomic problems that the government had been experiencing in implementing the RDP. 🗸🗸
• The RDP placed much more emphasis on disciplined economic policy. 🗸🗸
• While still recognizing that there were very serious needs that had to be addressed. 🗸🗸

The Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative for South Africa Programme (AsgiSA).

• AsgiSA resulted from government’s commitment to halve unemployment and poverty by 2014. 🗸🗸
• The Joint Initiative on Priority Skills Acquisition (Jipsa) was established to address the scarce and critical skills needed to meet AsgiSA’s objectives. 🗸🗸

AsgiSA identified six important factors that prevented growth:

• the relative volatility of the currency. 🗸🗸
• the cost, efficiency and capacity of the national logistics system. 🗸🗸
• shortages of suitably skilled labour, and the spatial distortions of apartheid affecting low-skilled labour costs. 🗸🗸
• barriers to entry, limits to competition and limited new investment opportunities. 🗸🗸
• the regulatory environment and the burden on small and medium enterprises (SME’s). 🗸🗸
• AsgiSA was not intended to be a government programme. 🗸🗸
• But rather a national initiative supported by all the key groups in the economy. 🗸🗸
• Namely business, labour, entrepreneurs and government and semi-government departments and institutions. 🗸🗸

Joint Initiative on Priority Skills Acquisitions (JIPSA)

• It is the skills development arm of ASGISA. Focus is on skills development, especially through the SETAS. 🗸🗸

Expanded Public Works Programme (EPWP)

• It is a nationwide government intervention to create employment using labour-intensive methods, and to give people skills they can use to find jobs when their work in the EPWP is done. 🗸🗸

The New Growth Path (NGP)

• The New Growth Path (NGP) was released in November 2011. 🗸🗸
• This plan is designed to serve as a framework for economic policy, and to be the driver of the country’s job strategy. 🗸🗸

The New Growth Path therefore proposes certain strategies to ensure adequate demand:

• Deepening the domestic and regional market by growing employment. 🗸🗸
• Increasing incomes and undertaking other measures to equity and income distribution. 🗸🗸
• Widening the market for South African goods and services through a stronger focus on exports to the region and other rapidly growing economies. 🗸🗸
• On a macroeconomic level the NGP entails accommodating or looser monetary policy combined with stricter fiscal policy to limit inflationary pressures and enhance competitiveness. 🗸🗸
• Government spending will be prioritised with the objective of long-term sustainable employment opportunities. 🗸🗸

The microeconomic measures to control inflationary pressures include the following:

• A competition policy to supervise monopoly pricing on products and services. 🗸🗸
• A review of administered prices to ensure that they do not increase above inflation without compelling reasons. 🗸🗸
• Interventions in the case of rapidly rising prices of essential products and services such as private🗸🗸
• Healthcare and basic food items. 🗸🗸
• Active industrial policy. 🗸🗸
• Rural development policy. 🗸🗸
• Competition policy. 🗸🗸
• Stepping up education and skills development. 🗸🗸
• Enterprise development: promoting small business and entrepreneurship; eliminating unnecessary red tape. 🗸🗸
• Broad-based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE). 🗸🗸
• Labour practices. 🗸🗸
• Technology policy. 🗸🗸
• Developmental trade policies. 🗸🗸
• Policies for African development. 🗸🗸 
• The different growth and development strategies that have been implemented in South Africa since 1994. 🗸🗸
• Have all contributed to making our country more prosperous and to address problems created by inequalities of the past. 🗸🗸
• However, problems such as a low level of education, unemployment and unequal distribution of income persist. 🗸🗸
• The current NGP is a comprehensive policy that is focused on addressing all of these problems. [Any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION South Africa’s overall objective of Industrial Development Policy is to ensure international competitiveness in its nine provinces. OR Regional development is aimed at increasing the economic livelihood of specific areas or regions. OR Regional development attempts to limit the negative effects of economic activities in only a few areas. OR It attempts to promote the advantages of a more even regional development by using labour and other natural resources and infrastructure in neglected areas. [Accept any relevant introduction] [Max 2]

BODY-MAIN PART SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVES

• SDI Programme attracts infrastructure and business investments to underdeveloped areas to create employment. 🗸🗸
• Department of Trade and Industry is driving force behind industrial and spatial development. 🗸🗸
• DTI plans together with central, provincial and local government, IDC, parastatals and research institutions. 🗸🗸
• Industrial Development Policy Programme (Spatial Development) has 2 focus points spatial development initiative (SDI) and financial incentives. 🗸🗸
• SDI refers to government’s initiative and economic development potential of certain specific spatial locations in SA. 🗸🗸

Key Objectives:

• Stimulate economic activity in selected strategic locations. 🗸🗸
• Generate economic growth and foster sustainable industrial development. 🗸🗸
• Develop projects of infrastructure in certain areas and finance them through lending and private sector investment. 🗸🗸
• Establish private-public partnerships (PPP’s). 🗸🗸

In areas with high poverty and unemployment, SDI focuses on:

• High level support in areas where socio-economic conditions require concentrated government assistance. 🗸🗸
• Where inherent economic potential exists. 🗸🗸
• The approach is towards international competitiveness, regional cooperation and a more diversified ownership base. 🗸🗸

Some of the main focus points of the SDI Programme are:

• Lubombo Corridor (agro-tourism, education, craft, commercial and agricultural sectors); 🗸🗸
• KwaZulu-Natal (Ports of Durban and Richards Bay); 🗸🗸
• West Coast SDI (fishing and industrial ports); 🗸🗸
• Coast-2-Coast Corridor with agro-tourism. 🗸🗸
• It also makes it possible for private sector businesses to take advantage of the economic potential of underdeveloped areas in private-public partnerships (PPP’s) 🗸🗸
• In PPP a private business may provide the capital to build the factory and to buy raw materials and employ labour, while the government provides the capital for the infrastructure such as roads and water and electricity. 🗸🗸
• The business benefits from profits and the government benefits from taxes, levies and employment opportunities. 🗸🗸

There are TWO types of PPP’s which are compensated differently: Unitary payments:

• Private sector builds and runs a project (it performs the function on behalf of the public sector); the payment provides an acceptable return on the total investment (building cost, maintenance, operational expenses). 🗸🗸
• Private sector constructs the project and then is given the right to change a toll fee (e.g. public road); 🗸🗸
• The toll covers costs of construction, maintenance, operation. 🗸🗸
• The above options can be combined: E.g. hospital (cost of building is an annual payment and a user fee is also charged). 🗸🗸
• A track of land that forms a passageway allowing access from one area to another and particular advantages to mining, manufacturing and other businesses. 🗸🗸
• Domestic Corridor: e.g. Lubombo, West Coast, Fish River. 🗸🗸
• Corridors beyond the South African Borders (SADC) e.g. Maputo Development Corridor Mozambique. 🗸🗸
• Reasons in support of South Africa’s regional integration in Southern Africa: have political and stable neighbours have important export markets and a future source of water and energy supplies integration may be a precondition for support from foreign investors, donors and multilateral institutions. 🗸🗸
• A robust regional transport system and a solid infrastructure base hold the key to attracting investment into the SADC region – improving competitiveness and promoting trade. 🗸🗸

Advantages from Corridor development:

• Greater levels of economic efficiency and productivity compact urban form corridor urban form. 🗸🗸
• Corridor developments will often occur due to private investment. 🗸🗸
• Intergration of land use and transport planning will lead to generally efficient integration. 🗸🗸
• Efficient urbanisation leads to efficient use of land and promotion of an efficient transport system. 🗸🗸

INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ZONES (IDZ’s)

• Geographically designed, purpose-built industrial sites providing services tailored for export- orientated industries. 🗸🗸
• Physically enclosed and linked to an international port or airport. 🗸🗸
• Specifically designed to attract new investment in export-driven industries. 🗸🗸
• Falls outside domestic customs zones and able to import items free of customs and trade restrictions, add value and then export their goods. 🗸🗸
• Development and management done by private sector. 🗸🗸
• Government IDZ policy designed to boost exports and jobs. 🗸🗸
• IDZ’s aim to encourage economic growth –attract foreign investment in industrial development – facilitate international competitiveness regarding manufacturing. 🗸🗸 [Max 26]

ADDITIONAL PART FINANCIAL INCENTIVES Small and Medium Enterprise Development Programme (SMEDP) • This incentive has provided a tax-free cash grant for investment in industries in

• South Africa. 🗸🗸
• E.g. manufacturing, agricultural, processing, aquaculture and tourism. 🗸🗸

Critical Infrastructure Fund Programme (CIF)

• A tax-free cash grant incentive for projects has improved critical infrastructure in  South Africa. 🗸🗸
• E.g. for installation, construction of infrastructure, payment of employees, materials directly consumed during installation. 🗸🗸

Duty Free Incentives (for businesses operating in the IDZ’s)

• This has encouraged export-orientated manufacturing to increase their competitiveness 🗸🗸
• And helped to promote foreign and local direct investment. 🗸🗸

Foreign Investment Grant (FIG)

• This has assisted foreign investors to invest in new manufacturing businesses in SA. 🗸🗸
• Benefited in terms of the cost of relocating new machinery and equipment from abroad. 🗸🗸

Strategic Investment Projects (SIP)

• This has attracted investment from local and foreign entrepreneurs in manufacturing, computer, research and engineering sectors. 🗸🗸

Skills Support Programme (SIP)

• This cash grant for skills development has encouraged greater investment 🗸🗸
• In training in general and stimulated the development of new advanced skills. 🗸🗸

Black Businesses Supplier Development Programme (BBSDP)

• This 80 % cash grant has provided black-owned enterprises with access to 🗸🗸
• Training which has improved management of their enterprises. 🗸🗸

Special Economic Zones (SEZ)

• It is an extention to the current financial incetives to further promoted regional development. 🗸🗸
• The major incentive is a tax reduction of 15 % for businesses settling in this area. 🗸🗸
• This does not mean that existing businesses in the IDZ can relocate to take advantage of this incentive. 🗸🗸
• If a current business in the IDZ wants to expand they are allowed. 🗸🗸 [Max 10]

CONCLUSION From the above discussion it is clear that different initiatives form part of South Africa’s Regional Industrial Development Programme. [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Economic indicators are used to evaluate the economic performance of an economic unit. This unit can be a company, an industry, a country or a region. Macro-economic indicators, measures the economic performance of a country as a whole. 🗸🗸

BODY-MAIN PART Such indicators can provide an indication of:

• Changes taking place in a country. 🗸🗸
• How a country compares to other countries. 🗸🗸

Inflation Rate

• This is the general increase in the price level of goods and services in the economy over a certain period in time. E.g. one year. 🗸🗸
• This is therefore an indicator of the health of the economy and it is monitored in two ways that is at the production wholesale level producer price level (PPI) and at the retail or consumer level consumer price index (CPI) 🗸🗸

The Consumer Price Index (CPI)

• Shows the price increases of a representative (weighted) basket of goods and services that consumers buy. 🗸🗸
• It is abbreviated as CPI this cover all the urban areas. 🗸🗸
• It is an overall index and weights are obtained from expenditures of different income categories of households. 🗸🗸
• It is the most comprehensive indicator measuring consumer inflation in the country. 🗸🗸
• It shows changes in the general purchasing power of the rand and it is used for inflation targeting 🗸🗸
• Is compiled by Stats SA and measures the change in the price level of a basket of consumer goods and services. 🗸🗸
• The goods and services included in the basket are chosen to represent the goods and services purchased by an average household. 🗸🗸
• This basket is adjusted from time to time as consumption patterns change. 🗸🗸
• The inflation rate is the percentage change in the CPI from the previous year and can be calculated as follows:
• Change in CPI x 100 🗸🗸        CPI

The Production Price Index (PPI)

• Used to measure the price of goods that are produced domestically when they leave the factory year. 🗸🗸
• The goods that are imported when they enter the country (at a port) and both of these are before consumers become involved. 🗸🗸
• PPI consists of three baskets that are domestically manufactured outputs, e.g. changes in the PPI can be made monthly or quarterly or yearly. 🗸🗸
• While changes in the imported products and exported commodities are given separately in the same report. 🗸🗸
• PPI includes capital and intermediate goods but not services. 🗸🗸
• It is based on a completely different type of a basket of items in the CPI. 🗸🗸
• It measures the cost of production rather than the cost of living. 🗸🗸
• It is used to predict consumer goods inflation (CPI) 🗸🗸
• Which is also estimated and published on a monthly basis by Stats SA, is similar to the CPI, 🗸🗸
• Except that it also includes the prices of raw materials and intermediary goods 🗸🗸 (i.e. goods that will be finished in the production process), excludes VAT and excludes  services. 🗸🗸
• Manufactured goods included in the PPI are priced when they leave the factory, not when they are sold to consumers. 🗸🗸
• Unlike the CPI, the PPI therefore cannot be related directly to consumers’ living standards. 🗸🗸
• The PPI is nevertheless very useful in the analysis of inflation because it measures the cost of production. 🗸🗸
• A significant change in the rate of increase in the PPI is usually an indication that the rate of increase in the CPI will also change a few months later. 🗸🗸

The GDP Deflator Is a ratio that indicates the relationship of the GDP at nominal prices to the GDP at real prices. GDP deflator = Normal GDP x 100 🗸🗸                            Real GDP 

Nominal GDP

• Is the value of total gross domestic product measured at current prices. 🗸🗸
• While the real GDP is the value of total gross domestic product measured at constant prices.🗸🗸
• So, the GDP deflator includes changes in the prices of exports but not of imports. 🗸🗸
• In a small open economy, like that of South Africa where both, imports and exports are significant in relation to the total size of the economy. 🗸🗸
• The exclusion of import prices is an important shortcoming. 🗸🗸

Unemployment rate

• In terms of economic development, employment is a very important indicator. 🗸🗸
• Employment is, however, not very easy to measure as so many people are employed in the informal sector which is not recorded. 🗸🗸
• The concept of underemployment is also important. 🗸🗸
• This is when someone is employed in a position that requires less skill than their ability. 🗸🗸
• For example when a qualified accountant works as a delivery person because he or she cannot find employment as an accountant. 🗸🗸
• Someone may also be employed on a part-time basis but would prefer to work full time. 🗸🗸
• A labour force survey is published quarterly by Stats SA. 🗸🗸
• This publication contains information and statistics concerning a variety of issues related to the labour market, including the official unemployment rate. 🗸🗸
• It is a comprehensive survey and provides information on changes in employment in different provinces and industries. 🗸🗸
• Employment in the informal sector, and even reasons for changes in employment figures. 🗸🗸
• The unemployment rate is a percentage of the total labour force. 🗸🗸
• The total labour force includes all employed people and unemployed people who are looking for work. 🗸🗸
• The unemployment rate is a lagging indicator, which means that it will only change a few periods after the trend in the economy has changed. 🗸🗸
• For example if the economy starts growing at a faster pace. 🗸🗸
• The unemployment rate will only react to the growth after two or three quarters. 🗸🗸

Interest rates

• Interest rates are important indicators of future economic activity, as the interest rate level is usually an important determinant when economic decisions are being taken. 🗸🗸
• Both the general interest rate level and the structure of interest rates are important indicators.🗸🗸
• There are many interest rates in the economy. 🗸🗸
• Some are short term rates, such as the repo rate, which is the interest rates at which South Africa banks borrow from the Reserve Bank to finance their liquidity deficit. 🗸🗸
• The difference between the short term interest rates and long term interest rates: 🗸🗸
• Is called the interest rate spread and the term structure of interest rates provides an indication of the interest rates levels on loans or investments of different maturities. 🗸🗸
• Usually we can expect the interest rates level in a developing country to be higher than the interest rate in a developed economy. 🗸🗸
• This is due to the higher risk attached to the developing economy. 🗸🗸
• Factors such as political and economic uncertainty cause this higher risk. 🗸🗸
• Developing economies also need to attract foreign investment to their country  to finance growth. 🗸🗸
• Investors’ funds will move towards the highest yield and thereof. 🗸🗸
• Developing countries cannot allow interest rates in their countries to become too low. 🗸🗸

Money Supply

• The increase in the M3 money supply is an important economic indicator. 🗸🗸
• If M, the money supply increases, this means that either (P) prices or Y (output) has to respond to the increase in M. 🗸🗸
• Therefore, an increase in the money supply is an important indicator showing that output will increase. 🗸🗸
• Whether this will translate to an increase in real production or the price level will depend on factors like production within the economy. 🗸🗸
• In addition to economic growth the employment of people of working age (15 -64 years) is a majot economic objective. 🗸🗸
• We need to know more than this; we need to know who the people are that need to be employed. 🗸🗸
• The numbers are determined, not only by age, but also by people’s willingness to work. 🗸🗸

The Economically Active Population (EAP)

• The EAP is also known as the labour force. 🗸🗸
• It consists of people between the age of 15 and 64 who are willing to work for income in cash or in kind and includes: 🗸🗸
• Workers in the formal sector- workers in the informal sector. 🗸🗸
• Employers any one 🗸🗸
• Self employed persons. 🗸🗸

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Unemployed Persons

• The 2021 estimate of the South African population was million people. 🗸🗸
• The EAP numbered million ( % of the population). 🗸🗸

The Employment Rate

• The number of employed persons expressed as a percentage of the EAP gives the employment rate. 🗸🗸
• The employment rate can also be converted into an index. 🗸🗸
• The SA employment rate was % in 2011. 🗸🗸
• This is low, compared to rates in developed and even some developing countries such as Argentina and Pakistan. 🗸🗸
•  In SA the growth in the economy is not accompanied by the similar growth in employment numbers. 🗸🗸

Employment indicators are used for:

• To calculate trends in employment in different sectors or industries. 🗸🗸
• This indicates structural changes in the economy. 🗸🗸
• To calculate productivity. 🗸🗸
• To show the success of the economy in utilizing its full potential. 🗸🗸

Unemployment Rate

• Statistics SA (SSA) obtains its labour data each year from Quarterly Labour Surveys  (QLFS). 🗸🗸
• It uses the standard definition of the International Labour Office (ILO) to calculate unemployment. 🗸🗸
• The strict definition of unemployment is used to calculate the unemployment rate. 🗸🗸
• Did not work during the seven days prior to the interview. 🗸🗸
• Want to work and are available to start work within a week of the week of the interview. 🗸🗸
• Have taken active steps to look for work or to start some form of self-employment in four week prior to the interview. 🗸🗸
• In SA the official unemployment rate was % in 2021. 🗸🗸
• In developed countries, change in the unemployment rate trigger responses. 🗸🗸
• From governments to fine-tune the economy. 🗸🗸
• Increases require more funds for unemployment insurance (UIF) drawings. 🗸🗸
• In developing countries, unemployment is the most important cause of poverty. 🗸🗸 [Accept current statistical data] [Max 16]
• To give a policy direction in the country. 🗸🗸
• To develop mechanism to caution the most affected sectors of the economy promptly
• e.g.during the 2019-2020 recession/pandemic some companies required a bail out from the government. 🗸🗸
• Develop some economic stabilisers to defuse the huge impact that may result from the unexpected economic downturn. 🗸🗸
• Open some other alternative markets for their goods and services. 🗸🗸
• To do research and advice the business community before the actual moment hits. 🗸🗸
• It can be used to stimulate thinking and growth in a number of sectors in the Economy. 🗸🗸 [Accept any relevant consideration] [Max 10]

CONCLUSION Countries cannot survive and grow their economies if they do not pay attention to economic indicators for their planning processes. [Accept any relevant consideration] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Social indicators also called human development indicators as they promote improvement in the standard of living. 🗸🗸 [Any other relevant definition] [Max 2]

BODY-MAIN PART Demographics

• This is the description of the physical population and its composition.
• To get this a census is done regularly to obtain this information. 🗸🗸

Human development Index (HDI)

•  This is a measure of people’s ability to live long and healthy lives, to communicate, 🗸🗸
•  To participate in the community and to have sufficient income to experience a decent lifestyle. 🗸🗸

Human poverty index (HPI)

•  It measures life expectancy is measured by the percentage of newborns not expected to survive to age 40. 🗸🗸
•  Lack of education is measured by the percentage of adults who are ill- educated. 🗸🗸

Health and nutrition

• Life expectancy birth. 🗸🗸
• Infant mortality rate. 🗸🗸

Nutrition indicators

• Daily calorie intake per person. 🗸🗸
• The number of children who go hungry. 🗸🗸
• These measures are important to government as they are supplying healthcare and sometime have to include legislation such as adding vitamin A to basic foodstuffs such as bread. 🗸🗸
• The standard of living of people is directly connected to their education. 🗸🗸
• Educated people are employable and can earn an income and provide for their own wants and needs. 🗸🗸

Two important measures are:

• Secondary enrolment percemtage-how many children that start Grade 1 get to Grade 8 and finish Grade 12. 🗸🗸
• Adult literacy- People over the age of 15 that can read and write. 🗸🗸
• A large percentage of the annual budget is allocated to education. 🗸🗸
• Because of our constitution certain basic services must be supplied by the government. 🗸🗸
• These services have a direct effect on people’s living standards. 🗸🗸
• Electricity 🗸🗸
• Refuse disposal🗸🗸
• Water supply🗸🗸
• Sanitation🗸🗸

Housing and urbanisation

• Urbanisation the process by which an increasing proportion of a country’s population is concentrated in its urban areas as a result of natural increase and migration from rural areas. 🗸🗸
• This measures is important as more people come to live in urban areas the greater the demand for housing, services, education, health care etc. 🗸🗸
• Housing the percentage of the population living in a permanent dwelling or house. 🗸🗸
• The government issue housing subsidies to help poor people to own a house South African citizens or permanent residents earning R3 500 or less a month could apply for this subsidy. 🗸🗸

International comparisons

• Figures collected by the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF) and United Nations provide the best data for comparison purpose. 🗸🗸

Other measures used:

• Purchasing power parity (PPP) The number of units of one country’s currency that give the holder the same purchasing power as one unit of another country’s currency. 🗸🗸
• The Big Mac Index, The index is based on the price of the Big Mac around the world as compared to its price in the United States. 🗸🗸 [Max 40]

CONCLUSION From the above discussion it is clear that social indicators play a significant role in South Africa. It is, therefore, of the utmost importance that we should study their uses in depth. [Max 2]

MICROECONOMICS-PAPER 2

INTRODUCTION A perfect market is a market structure which has a large number of buyers and sellers.  OR The market price is determined by the industry (demand and supply curves).  OR This means that individual businesses are price takers, i.e. they are not able to influence prices. OR Perfect competition is an imaginary situation, whereas monopolistic competition is a reality. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant introduction] [Max 2] 

BODY-MAIN PART

• The indicating of the equilibrium positions on the perfect market structure is of utmost importance because from this point where MC = MR
• The dotted lines will be drawn to show economic profit or economics loss. 
• Where the dotted lines intersect the AC and AR curves either normal profit or economic profit or economic loss will be indicated and shadowed.

Mark allocation for graph:

• Position / shape of MC curve = 1 mark
• MR curve = 1 mark
• Position / shape of AC curve = 2 marks
• Equilibrium point = 1 mark
• Indication of price / quantity = 1 mark
• Shading of economic loss = 2 marks MAX MARKS = (8)

Allocate marks on the graph according to the rubric provided and if facts are duplicated again in writing, do not allocate marks. Max of 8 marks.

• Equilibrium is at E 1 i.e. where MC = MR 
• At this point Q 1 goods are produced at a price of P 1  
• The averages cost for Q 1 units is point R on the AC curve 
• Price / AR is greater than AC ( TR > TC)
• Therefore economic profit is represented by the area P 1 SRE 1  
• Equilibrium is at E 1 i.e. where MC = MR
• At equilibrium (point E 1 ) average cost is equal to price 
• The AC curve is tangent to the demand curve which means that P/AR = AC (TR = TC) 
• The business makes normal profit which is the minimum earnings required to prevent the entrepreneur from leaving the industry. 
• Equilibrium is at E1, i.e. where MC = MR 
• At this point Q1 goods are produced at a price of P1 
• At equilibrium (point E1) price/AR is less than average cost/the AC curve is lies above the demand curve which means that P/AR < AC (TR < TC) 
• The business makes an economic loss A maximum of 24 marks will be allocated for graph illustration and analysis: 8 marks max per graph illustration - (Max 26 marks)

ADDITIONAL PART CONDITIONS For a market to successfully operate under perfect competition, the following conditions should prevail at the same time:

• No firm can influence the market price (price takers) due to a large number of buyers and sellers 
• Products are identical (homogeneous) 
• There are no barriers of entry, meaning that there is freedom of entry and exit 
• Buyers and sellers act independently - no collusion between sellers 
• No government interference to influence the market – the market is unregulated 
• Free movement between markets - all factors of production are completely mobile 
• Both buyers and sellers have full knowledge of all the prevailing market conditions (perfect information) 
• If any of the above conditions are not met, the market is regarded as an imperfect market Any 5 x 2 = [Max 10 marks]

CONCLUSION Freedom of entry and exit into the perfect market alter the supply of goods on the market. This will result in changes in price which influences the profit or loss of a business.  If price falls to a level where it is equal to the AVC then the firm will shut-down.  [Max 2] Discuss the monopoly in detail (with/without the aid of graphs) (Imperfect Market)

INTRODUCTION A firm is regarded as a monopolist when it owns or controls the total supply of a scarce factor of production. Monopoly is a market structure where only one seller operates. 🗸🗸

BODY: MAIN PART The characteristics of a monopoly

Number of firms

• The monopoly consists out of one single firm. 🗸🗸
• The monopoly is also the industry. 🗸🗸
• Example: Eskom or De Beers – diamond-selling 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant example]

Nature of product

• The product is unique with no close substitute. 🗸🗸
• Example: Diamonds are unique. 🗸🗸

Market entry

• Refers to how easy or difficult it is for businesses to enter or to leave the market 🗸🗸
• Is entirely/completely blocked. 🗸🗸
• Economies of scale 🗸🗸
• Limited size of the market 🗸🗸
• Exclusive ownership of raw materials 🗸🗸
• Licensing 🗸🗸
• Sole rights 🗸🗸
• Import restrictions 🗸🗸

They decide on their production level

• The monopolist cannot set the level of output and the price independently of each other. 🗸🗸
• If a monopolist wants to charge a higher price, it has to sell fewer units of goods. 🗸🗸 Alternatively, a reduction in price will result in a higher output sold. 🗸🗸
• A monopolist is confronted with a normal market demand curve 🗸🗸
• The demand curve slopes downwards from left to right 🗸🗸
• Any point on the monopolist’s demand curve (D) is an indication of the quantity of the product that can be sold and the price at which it will trade. 🗸🗸

They are exposed to market forces

• Consumers have limited budgets and a monopoly can therefore not demand excessive prices for its product. 🗸🗸
• The monopolist’s product has to compete for the consumer’s favour and money with all other products available in the economy. 🗸🗸

They face substitutes

• There are few products that have no close substitutes. 🗸🗸
• For example, cell phones can compete with telephone services. 🗸🗸

They may enjoy favourable circumstances

• Sometimes an entrepreneur may enjoy favourable circumstances in a certain geographical area. 🗸🗸
• For example, there may be only one supplier of milk in a particular town. 🗸🗸

They may exploit consumers

• Because a monopolist is the only supplier of a product, there is always the possibility of consumer exploitation. 🗸🗸
• However, most governments continually take steps to guard against such practices. 🗸🗸

Market Information

• All information on market conditions is available to both buyers and sellers. 🗸🗸
• This means that there are no uncertainties. 🗸🗸

Control over price

• In the case of a monopoly there are considerable price control, but limited by market demand and the goal of profit maximisation. 🗸🗸

Long-run economic profit Can be positive

• Because new entries are blocked and short-run economic profit therefore cannot be reduced by new competing firms entering the industry 🗸🗸
• The monopoly can thus continue to earn economic profit as long as the demand for its product remains intact 🗸🗸

Heading = 1 mark AC = 1 mark DD/AR = 1 mark MC = 1 mark Profit maximisation point =1 mark Labelling of the axis = 1 mark Labelling on the axis = 1 mark

Long run equilibrium of a perfect competitor

CONCLUSION A monopoly does not always make economic profit in the short run; it can also make economic loss in the short run if the total cost exceeds total revenue. 🗸🗸

INTRODUCTION

• The oligopoly is a type of imperfect market in which only a few large producers dominate the market. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant and correct response]

MAIN PART Nature of product

• The product may be homogeneous in a pure oligopoly. 🗸🗸
• If the product is differentiated, it is known as a differentiated oligopoly. 🗸🗸

Market information

• There is incomplete information on the product and the prices. 🗸🗸
•  Market entry is not easy, it is limited in the sense that huge capital outlay might be necessary. 🗸🗸
• Oligopolists have considerable control over price, it can influence price, but not as much as the monopolist. 🗸🗸
• Oligopolies can frequently change their prices in order to increase their market share and this result in price wars. 🗸🗸

Mutual dependence

• The decision of one firm will influence and be influenced by the decisions of the other competitors. 🗸🗸
• Mutual dependence (interdependence) exists amongst these businesses.
• A change in the price or change in the market share by one firm is reflected in the sales of the others. 🗸🗸

Non-price competition

• Non - price competition can be through advertising, packaging, after-sales services. 🗸🗸
• Since price competition can result in destructive price wars, oligopolies prefer to compete on a different basis. 🗸🗸
• Participants observe one another carefully- when one oligopolist launches an advertising campaign, its competitors soon follow suite. 🗸🗸
• If oligopolies operate as a cartel, firms have an absolute cost advantage over the rest of the other competitors in the industry. 🗸🗸
• Collusion is a strategy used by firms to eliminate competition amongst each other. 🗸🗸
• It can be in a form of overt collusion where firms can work together to form a cartel and tacit collusion where a dominating business controls the price. 🗸🗸

Limited competition

• There are only a few suppliers manufacturing the same product. 🗸🗸

Economic profit

• Oligopolies can make an economic profit over the long term. 🗸🗸
• Abnormal profits may result to joint decision-making in an oligopoly. 🗸🗸

Demand curve

• Slope from left down to the right. 🗸🗸
• It is known as the kinked demand since it contains the upper relatively elastic slope and the lower relatively inelastic slope. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant and correct response] [Max. 26]

ADDITIONAL PART Oligopolist may increase their market share using non-price competition strategies by:

• branding their product to create an impression that its product is for a particular age group or income group. 🗸🗸
• aggressive advertising which inform customers about the business or product it provides.🗸🗸
• Using appealing packaging to bring out important features of their product.
• improving their customer service in order to ensure that they return to their businesses.🗸🗸
• providing relevant and precise information, which is crucial to the customers, since there are competitors in the market, customers will patronize the businesses that provides relevant information. 🗸🗸
• extending shopping hours to the convenience of customers.
• Offering loyalty rewards to customers which will encourage their return to spend accumulated rewards. 🗸🗸  [Accept any other relevant response] [Max.10]
• In South Africa, oligopolists have been found to be illegally manipulating prices to their benefit, yet to the detriment of consumers and have been penalized for such action. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant response]

Compare and contrast any TWO types of market structures (perfect to imperfect/imperfect to imperfect) in detail in terms of the following. - Number of businesses - Nature of product - Entrance - Control over prices - Information - Examples - Demand curve - Economic profit/loss - Decision-making - Collusion - Productive/Technical efficiency - Allocative efficiency (Perfect Market and Imperfect Market)

‘’Market structures are classified under Perfect Competition, Monopolistic Competition, Oligopoly and Monopoly’’ Compare all FOUR market structures in a tabular form. NB: Learners should write in full sentences even if the comparison is done in a tabular format). (Marks depend on the combination of market structures to be examined)

PLEASE NOTE: THE ABOVE TABLE SHOULD BE VERBALLY WRITTEN AS PER ESSAY INSTRUCTION

INTRODUCTION Market failure is when the forces of supply and demand fail to allocate resources efficiently / when markets fail to allocate goods and services efficiently. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other correct introduction] [Max 2]

BODY: MAIN PART                           

1. Missing Markets

• Markets are often incomplete in the sense that they cannot meet the demand for certain goods. 🗸🗸
• Public goods:
• They are not provided by the price mechanism because producers cannot withhold the goods from non-payment and there is often no way of measuring how much a person consumes. 🗸🗸

Public goods have the following features: Non-rivalry:

• The consumption by one person does not reduce the consumption of another person e.g. a lighthouse. 🗸🗸

Non-excludability:

• Consumption cannot be confined to those who have paid, so there are free riders e.g. radio and TV in South Africa. 🗸🗸

Merit goods

• These are goods/services that are deemed necessary or beneficial to the society, e.g. education, health care etc. 🗸🗸
• These goods are highly desirable for general welfare but not highly rated by the market, therefore provide inadequate output/supply. 🗸🗸
• If people had to pay market prices for them relatively too little would be consumed – the market will fail. 🗸🗸
• The reason for undersupply of merit goods is that the market only takes the private costs and benefits into account and not the social costs and benefits. 🗸🗸

Demerit goods

• These are goods/services that are regarded as bad or harmful for consumption hence we should use less of these e.g. alcohol, cigarettes, etc. 🗸🗸
• Demerit goods lead to a lot of social costs, therefore, the government charges sin tax / excise duties to discourage the consumption of such goods. 🗸🗸
• While the market is willing to supply demerit goods, it tends to oversupply demerit goods. 🗸🗸
• Some consumers may be unaware of the true cost of consuming them. 🗸🗸

2 Lack of information

• Technical and allocative efficiency require that both producers and consumers have complete and accurate information about the costs and benefits of the goods and services produced and consumed in the market. Producers and consumers make production and consumption decisions based on the information they have. 🗸🗸
• When information is incomplete or inaccurate, it leads to wrong decisions about what to produce, how to produce and for whom to produce, and a waste of resources occurs. 🗸🗸
• Producers might not know all the different technologies and production techniques that are available and the different resources that can best be used to produce goods/services more efficiently. 🗸🗸
• Consumers might not know that the price of a product is lower from some other suppliers or about the harmful effects of a product since they might just base their decisions to consume on the information from a misleading suppliers. 🗸🗸

3. Immobility of factors of production

• Markets do not respond to changes in consumer demand if resources cannot be easily reallocated or due to a lack of information🗸🗸
• Labour takes time to move to into new occupations and geographically to meet the changes in consumer demand. 🗸🗸
• Physical capital e.g. equipment, buildings, land and raw materials can only move from one place to another at a high cost, but cannot be moved to fit a change in demand. 🗸🗸
• Technological applications change production methods e.g. use of robots rather than physical labour. It takes time for most industries to adapt. 🗸🗸
• With greater technological change there is an increasing need for workers to become flexible, to update skills, change employment, occupations and work patterns. 🗸🗸 [Max 26]
• Motivate why government has implemented a national minimum wage in the labour market. 🗸🗸
• Pressure was put on the South African government to introduce labour laws which require employers to pay minimum wages. 🗸🗸
• The application of minimum wage laws is needed to improve a redistribution of income. 🗸🗸

The main objectives were:

• To redress inequality (Gap between wealthy and poor) 🗸🗸
• To improve the standard of living. 🗸🗸
•  Government tried to protect domestic workers and farm workers — thus preventing exploitation. 🗸🗸  [Max 10] [Accept any other correct relevant response]

CONCLUSION Governments intervene in the market when market forces cannot achieve the desired output. [Max 2] [Accept any other relevant conclusion]

INTRODUCTION The purpose of government intervention is to ensure that the right quantity of resources is allocated to the production of output so that society as a whole [Accept any other relevant introduction] [Max 2] maximizes its benefits. 🗸🗸

• Sometimes government will set the price of a good or service at a maximum level that is  below the market price 🗸🗸
• The government intervene and passes a law that suppliers may not charge more than the maximum price 🗸🗸
• The immediate effect is that quantity supply will drop 🗸🗸
• The original market equilibrium price and quantity is P and Q respectively 🗸🗸
• The price set by the government is P1, at this price the demand will increase to Q1 and the supply will decrease to Q2 🗸🗸
• The difference between Q1 and Q2 is the shortfall that will be created on the market 🗸🗸
• The shortage caused by the price ceiling creates a problem of how to allocate the good since the demand has increased 🗸🗸
• Black markets start to develop [Mark allocation: Graph 6 and discussion max. 10 marks]
• The appropriate way to intervene in the market by government is by levying taxes as a method to recover external cost 🗸🗸
• The original market equilibrium at e, with P as the equilibrium price and Q as the equilibrium quantity 🗸🗸
• The tax increase will shift the supply curve to the left 🗸🗸
• New equilibrium at E1 🗸🗸
• A tax would raise the price from P to P1 🗸🗸
• The production will decrease from Q to Q1 🗸🗸 [Mark allocation: Graph total 6 marks and discussion max 10 marks]
• Explain the supply of undesirable goods in South Africa and how the government can deal with it. 🗸🗸
• Items such as cigarettes, alcohol and non-prescription drugs are examples of demerit or undesirable goods. 🗸🗸
• These goods are often over supplied in the market, due to the fact that the external cost is not added to the market price. 🗸🗸
• Some consumers may be unaware of the true cost of consuming them, their negative externalities. 🗸🗸
• Government can ban their consumption or reduce it by means of taxation. 🗸🗸
• Taxation on these products will increase the market price and hopefully the demand for these products will drop. 🗸🗸 [10 marks] [Accept any other correct relevant response]

CONCLUSION The intervention of government ensures that inefficiencies is eliminated and that the market is operating effectively 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant conclusion] [Max 2]

CONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC ISSUES-PAPER 2

• This is a constant and significant increase in the general price level of goods and services in the country over a certain period of time, e.g. a year. 🗸🗸 [Max 2] [Accept any relevant introduction]

BODY-MAIN PART Creditors and Debtors

• Whereas borrowers (debtors) benefit from price increases, lenders (creditors) suffer due to price increases. 🗸🗸
• This is because borrowers receive money with a relatively high purchasing power and they repay their loans with money with low purchasing power, unless interest rates are sufficient to prevent this occurrence. 🗸🗸

Salary and Wage Earners

• Price increases affect people whose incomes are relatively fixed (in other words, people whose incomes remains constant or do not increase at the same rate as prices do. 🗸🗸
• This group includes retired people, pensioners and the poor. 🗸🗸
• As prices increase, their almost fixed incomes purchase less and less. 🗸🗸
• However there are individuals and entrepreneurs whose incomes often increase at a rate that is higher than the inflation rate and they do not suffer but gain from inflation. 🗸🗸
• Globalization results in increased employment opportunities in the economy due to increased productivity, the need to produce more goods both for local and international markets rises in globalised economies. 🗸🗸
• The demand for increased skilled labour becomes a need as a result, this demand for labour benefits the local labour market in increased employment opportunities and growth. 🗸🗸

Investors and Savers

• Different types of investments are affected by inflation: Assets with fixed nominal values. 🗸🗸
• These assets have a fixed nominal value and give a return if they are held until maturity. 🗸🗸
• When they are paid, because their nominal values remain constant, the purchasing power of the nominal values decreases as prices increase (that is, their real value decreases). 🗸🗸

Assets with Flexible Market Values

• The holders of shares and fixed property usually gain by price increases because the nominal values of these assets tend to increase at least proportionately to the rate of inflation (that is, their market values are flexible). 🗸🗸
• Often the prices of these assets increase more rapidly than increases in the general price level.🗸🗸
• In this case, inflation creates wealth to the advantage of those holding such assets. 🗸🗸
• South Africa has a progressive personal income tax system. 🗸🗸
• This means that marginal and average tax rates increase in harmony with the income level. 🗸🗸
• The higher level an individual’s income, the greater the percentage of income he or she has to pay tax. 🗸🗸
• With inflation, taxpayers’ nominal income (wages and salaries) rise even when their real income remain unchanged. 🗸🗸

Taxes are levied on nominal income and not on real income.

• Therefore if the income tax schedule remains unchanged inflation increases the average rate of personal income tax. 🗸🗸
• Individuals will have to pay higher taxes even if they are actually no better off than before. 🗸🗸
• This phenomenon known as bracket creep, lads to a redistribution of income from taxpayers to the government. 🗸🗸
• Bracket deep results from a combination of inflation and progressive income tax. 🗸🗸
• It has the same effect as an increase in the tax rate. 🗸🗸

Industrial Peace

• Wage bargaining is often accompanied by strikes and mass action. 🗸🗸
• These actions can sometimes spill over into violence, which affects society at large. 🗸🗸
• In extreme situations in the presence of exceptionally high inflation together with a government that is determined not to yield to wage increase demands (which can push inflation to even higher levels), widespread civil unrest follows. 🗸🗸

Inflation has a negative effect on economic growth

• Inflation leads to increased uncertainty in the economy. 🗸🗸
• This uncertainty discourages savings and investments especially in the long term. 🗸🗸
• Which are necessary for economic growth –result reduced economic growth. 🗸🗸

Inflation affects the real money value and savings

• Because inflation reduces the real value of money, it affects the real value of money saved in particular. 🗸🗸
• This means that inflation, the rand buys fewer goods and services than before. 🗸🗸
• It also means that the real money value saved is worth less at the end of the savings period than when the money was saved. 🗸🗸
• e.g. if a consumer receives 5 % interest on his/her savings account while the inflation rate is 8%, then the real rate of interest on the consumer’s savings is -3%.🗸🗸

Inflation has an adverse effect on a country’s balance of payments (BOP).

• If a country’s rate of inflation is higher than that of its trading partners the prices of exported goods increase while the prices of imported goods decrease. 🗸🗸
• This leads to loss of competitiveness in the export market, which in turn leads to decreased exports. 🗸🗸

This has a negative effect on the country’s balance of payments (BOP).

• The loss of export competiveness can also increase unemployment inflation affects the redistribution of income in a country. 🗸🗸

The effects of inflation are uneven.

• While it does not clearly benefit anyone and certainly harms most, it also harms some less than others. 🗸🗸
• Inflation also tends to redistribute income from low-income groups to higher income groups. 🗸🗸
• This is because people in the low income groups do not have assets than can rise in value faster than the rate of inflation to help them overcome the effects of inflation. 🗸🗸
• Powerful groups such as trade unions large companies and the wealthy people, are able to increase their share of national income at the expense of disadvantaged people such as pensioners the unemployed and the welfare recipients. 🗸🗸

Inflation has social and political costs

• When inflation continually causes rising prices it makes people unhappy and can disturb relations between employers and the employees and between customers and traders or service providers. 🗸🗸
• People in lower-income brackets feel severe effects of increases in the price of essential items such as bread, maize meal rental and transport costs. 🗸🗸
• This can lead to social unrest and political unrest. 🗸🗸

Inflation feeds on itself and causes further inflation

• This is called the inflation spiral. 🗸🗸 e.g. higher wage demands cause producers to increase their prices to maintain their profits.
• This happens again and again pushing prices further every time. 🗸🗸
• If the government does not keep this wage price spiral in check, inflation may get out of control and become hyperinflation. 🗸🗸 [Max 26]

ADDITIONAL PART Debate the merits (benefits) of administered prices by the government

• These are prices regulated by the government e.g. home owner’s costs on water/household fuel (paraffin and electricity) medical care (public hospitals) communication (telephone calls, telephone rentals and installations/postage cell communications /transport (petrol). 🗸🗸
• Most of the administered prices are adjusted once a year which brings price stability. 🗸🗸
• Regulated prices are restricted as to the extent to which prices may vary, depending on the government’s objectives. 🗸🗸
• Administered prices provide additional revenue to national treasury. 🗸🗸
• It appears that some of these prices remain extremely robust over the short term. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant response] [Max 10]
• If inflation is not controlled by the proper and effective instruments, it can have challenging problems to the economy in general. 🗸🗸

INTRODUCTION COST PUSH Inflation is a sustained and significant increase in general price level over a period of time and a simultaneous decrease in the purchasing power of money. Accept any other relevant introduction. 🗸🗸 [Max 2] 

BODY: MAIN PART Causes of cost-push inflation

Increase in Wages:

• In South Africa, increase in wages constitute more than 50% of Gross Value Added at basic prices 🗸🗸
• If the increase in wages is not accompanied by an increase in production, the cost of production will rise 🗸🗸
• Producers will increase the prices of their products to offset the high cost of production strikes and stay-aways / labour union activities 🗸🗸

Key inputs/ increase in prices of imported capital goods

• When the prices of key inputs that are imported increase, domestic cost of production 🗸🗸
• increases especially in the manufacturing sector 🗸🗸
• Supply shocks e.g. sudden increase of oil causes a knock-off effect 🗸🗸

Exchange rate depreciation

• A decrease in the value of the rand will result in an increase in prices of imports 🗸🗸

Profit margins

• When firms increase profit margins, the prices that consumers pay also increase 🗸🗸
• Sometimes firms use their market power to push up prices 🗸🗸

Productivity

• Less productive factors of production will lead to increased cost per unit 🗸🗸
• Strikes and stay-aways often reduce production output and can result in price increases 🗸🗸

Natural disasters

• Natural disasters such as drought, flood and global warming can impact on the cost of production 🗸🗸
• This is often the case in relation to food prices 🗸🗸
• An increase in interest rates results businesses paying more money for capital loaned firms recover these costs by increasing the prices of their products 🗸🗸

Increase in taxation

• Increase in direct tax like company income tax may lead to businesses increasing their prices to offset the extra burden 🗸🗸
• Increase in indirect tax such as custom duty will lead to increase in costs of supplying a particular product, therefore the price will increase 🗸🗸
• Administered prices increase e.g. fuel prices
• Shoplifting and losses caused by employees are added to the prices of products 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant fact. Maximum 8 marks for headings] [Max. 26]

DEMAND PULL INFLATION Total spending on domestic goods and services in the economy consists of the spending by households, firms, the government and the foreign sector.

• Total spending = C + I + G + (X-M). 🗸🗸

Causes of demand inflation Increase in consumption [C] – consumers expenditure will increase mainly for three reasons:

• a. If consumers save less & spend more🗸🗸
• b. Decrease in personal income tax. 🗸🗸
• c. A greater availability of consumer credit, because of decrease in interest rate. 🗸🗸

Investment [I] –When business invest this increase demand for labour, cement, sand and bricks. 🗸🗸

• Supply cannot keep up with the increase in demand and this will increase prices. 🗸🗸
• Lower interest rates may result in an improvement in the sentiment and profit expectations of businesses. 🗸🗸
• Businesses invest more and this may lead to an increase in the demand of goods and services that are part of the investment (for example, a new building requires cement bricks and labour).🗸🗸
• If aggregate demand increases at a faster rate than aggregate supply, price increases will follow.🗸🗸

Government Spending [G] – Three main reasons.

• a. New capital projects🗸🗸
• b. Consumption expenditure on education, health, and protection. 🗸🗸
• c. Social expenditure on public work programme to create jobs and increase in social allowances. 🗸🗸

Export earnings [X]

• a. When economy of trading country improve. 🗸🗸
• b. When global economy expands. 🗸🗸

Access to credit

• There is greater availability of consumer credit (by means of credit cards) of the availability of cheaper credit as a result of decreases in lending rates. As new credit is extended the credit multiplier kicks in and more credit is created. 🗸🗸

Consumption spending

• Most governments will at times increase expenditures on education, health, protection and safety (for example, military equipment such as bomber jets and submarines). 🗸🗸

Social spending

• Governments sometimes feel they have to do something substantive about unemployment and poverty. 🗸🗸
• They borrow money and spend it on public works programmes or raise the level of social grants year after year at a higher rate than the inflation rate. 🗸🗸
• Such expenditures invariably lead to inflation because they add to aggregate demand without adding anything to aggregate supply. 🗸🗸

Commodities demand

• The world’s demand for commodities expands and contracts like business cycles do. During an expansionary period, foreign demand increases and this leads to greater volumes of exports. The income earned from these exports adds to aggregate demand and prices increase. 🗸🗸

BODY: ADDITIONAL PART YES / NO

• Inflation targeting is when a particular percentage is set as an acceptable level for an increase in general price levels 🗸🗸
• The SARB's inflation target is a range of 3% and 6% 🗸🗸
• The aim of inflation targeting policy is to achieve and maintain price stability 🗸🗸
• The implementation of the inflation target is easy to understand – expressed in numbers which makes it very clear and transparent 🗸🗸
• It reduces uncertainty and promotes sound planning in the public and private sectors 🗸🗸
• It provides an explicit yardstick that serves to discipline monetary policy and improves the accountability of the central banks 🗸🗸
• The SARB make use of monetary policy, specifically the repo rate to keep the inflation within the target range 🗸🗸
• The government make use of fiscal policy regarding public sector revenue and expenditure 🗸🗸

Positive effects

• Where demand is higher than supply an increase in interest rates help to bring the demand down 🗸🗸
• The policy can helps businesses to make economic plans without worrying about the effects of high inflation 🗸🗸
• South Africa's price level has been fairly stable since the introduction of the inflation targeting policy in 2000 🗸🗸

Negative effects

• Inflation targeting can cause a reduction in economic growth 🗸🗸
• This is because the raising of interest rates, result in a decrease in total spending which is needed for production to increase 🗸🗸
• Decreased economic growth can increase unemployment 🗸🗸
• South Africa has been experiencing an increase in unemployment since the implementation of the policy in 2000 🗸🗸
• Inflation targeting is difficult to implement when the cause of inflation is supply shocks 🗸🗸 [Max. 10]
• A summary of what has been discussed without repeating facts already mentioned in the body. 🗸🗸
• An opinion or valued judgement on the facts discussed. 🗸🗸
• Additional support information to strengthen the discussion. 🗸🗸
• A contradictory viewpoint with motivation. 🗸🗸
• Recommendations. 🗸🗸
• E.g. Inflation can be a threat to the normal functioning of the economy; therefore, measures like monetary and fiscal are vital to keep the phenomenon under control. 🗸🗸 
• This is the activities of people travelling to and staying in places outside their usual environment for a period not longer than one consecutive year for leisure, business and other purposes and not related to a remunerative activity from within the place visited 🗸🗸 [Max 2]

BODY - MAIN PART Gross domestic product (GDP)

• Tourism impacts mostly on the services industry than on agriculture or manufacturing although there are upstream effects when agriculture provides foodstuffs to restaurants and manufacturing provides vehicles for transport 🗸🗸

Direct contribution on GDP

• Statistics South Africa (SSA) shows that in 2020 inbound tourists contributed R69 billion and domestic tourists R billion, amounting to R billion - about % of South Africa's GDP 🗸🗸

Indirect contribution on GDP

• If the indirect contribution is added, tourism add about % to GDP 🗸🗸
• The WTTC estimated that tourism contributed % to the GDP of the world economy in 2020🗸🗸
• In developing economies the service sector is responsible for around % of GDP, while it is responsible for more than % of GDP in developed economies 🗸🗸
• South Africa is similar to that of developed economies and services contributed more than % of GDP in 2020. 🗸🗸
• Tourism has a major effect on employment and this amounted to million workers in 2020🗸🗸
• Tourism is the world’s largest generator of jobs 🗸🗸
• Tourism is labour intensive 🗸🗸
• More jobs can be created with every unit of capital invested in tourism than elsewhere
• Tourism employs many skills 🗸🗸
• It ranges from accountants and hairdressers to tour guides and trackers, 🗸🗸
• the tourism industry draws upon numerous skills 🗸🗸
• Tourism can provide immediate employment 🗸🗸
• If one quarter of tourists’ accommodation establishment in South Africa starts to offer live entertainment to quests, thousands of entertainers could be employed within days 🗸🗸
• Tourism provides entrepreneurship opportunities 🗸🗸
• The tourism industry accommodates informal sector enterprises, from craft and fruit vendors to pavement vendors, chair rentals 🗸🗸
• Tourism is widely recognized as one of the fastest and more effective redistribution mechanisms in development 🗸🗸
• It brings development to the poor in rural areas 🗸🗸
• Tourism provides an alternative to urbanisation, permitting women and youth to continue a rural family lifestyle while giving them business opportunities 🗸🗸
• E.g. to start and operate small-scale tourism businesses around community asserts (forests, parks and rivers) 🗸🗸

Externalities

• The rapidly expanding tourism industry could have both positive and negative impacts that extend well into the future 🗸🗸
• While tourism attracts large amount of revenue, it can also cause undue environmental damage that can harm the very foundation on which it depends 🗸🗸
• All other economic resources, tourism uses resources and produces wastes and also creates environmental costs (pollution) and benefits in the process 🗸🗸
• Rapid growth in tourism aiming at short-term benefits usually results in more negative effects and these includes the degeneration of traditions and cultural values and environmental damage to sites and setting 🗸🗸

Environment Tourism activities create environmental stress:

• Permanent environmental restructuring which includes major infrastructure 🗸🗸
• Waste product generation such as biological and non-biological waste that damages fish production 🗸🗸
• Direct environmental stress caused by tourist activities, e.g. the destruction of vegetation and dunes 🗸🗸
• Effects on population dynamics such as migration and increased urban densities 🗸🗸
• Transport infrastructure, e.g. roads, airports 🗸🗸
• Communication and infrastructure including telephone lines, electronic signal stations and radio, TVs’ 🗸🗸
• Energy infrastructure such electricity and liquid fuel 🗸🗸
• Basic service infrastructure such as clean water and sewerage systems 🗸🗸 [Max. 26]

ADDITIONAL PART How can Indigenous Knowledge Systems be used to promote tourism in South Africa?

• More cultural villages can be improved to facilitate and promote tourism e.g. Shangana in Mpumalanga, Basotho in the Free State and Simunye Zulu Lodge in Kwazulu-Natal. 🗸🗸
• Where guides explain and demonstrate storytelling and indigenous knowledge practices. 🗸🗸
• Advertising campaigns domestically and internationally by travel agencies, hotels and B & B, lodges and SA Tourism can focus on promoting these heritage sites in brochures and fliers, social media. 🗸🗸
• These actions will make tourists more aware of these attractions 🗸🗸
• Encourage tourists to experience different cultures and townships - experience life at home with a household and eat at a shebeen or township restaurant 🗸🗸
• World Heritage Sites of South Africa can be promoted for their cultural significance e.g. the Fossil Hominid Sites of Sterkfontein, Mapungubwe Cultural Landscape, Richtersveld Cultural and Botanical Landscape, Vredefort Dome and Robben Island 🗸🗸
• Environmental World Heritage Sites of South Africa selected for their natural importance namely the Cape Floral Region Protected Areas, Isimangaliso Wetlands Park as well as uKhahlamba/Drakensberg Park which has been selected for its mixed significance 🗸🗸
• Arts and culture festivals e.g. the National Arts Festival, the Hermanus Festival, Awesome Africa Music Festival and Macufe African Cultural Festival should more widely be advertised to encourage tourists to attend 🗸🗸
• According to the World Health Organisation, a large majority of the African population make use of traditional medicines for health, social-cultural and economic reasons and forms part of the unique experience tourists experience when visiting local villages 🗸🗸
• In South Africa tourists are made more aware of the important role traditional medicine plays in poverty reduction and employment creation 🗸🗸
• Relaxation of restrictive tourist visa laws to facilitate easier entry into South Africa 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant answers] [Max. 10]
• South Africa attracted over million tourists in 2020 /For every 8.1 additional tourist to South Africa, one new job is created/one per cent increase in tourism adds R million annually to the SA economy. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant higher order conclusion] [Max. 2]
• Tourism is the activities of people travelling to and staying in places outside their usual environment for no more than one consecutive year for leisure, business or other purposes PP 🗸🗸  [Accept any other correct relevant response] [Max 2]

MAIN PART Business sector

• Tourism stimulates business in areas such as accommodation and entertainment 🗸🗸
• The construction industry, in private-public partnership with the government to provide the infrastructure, manufacturing sector and recreation sector all benefits from increased demand due to tourism 🗸🗸
• The previously disadvantaged communities get entrepreneurial opportunities through the black economic empowerment schemes 🗸🗸
• A large number of people get business opportunities in the informal sector e.g. selling of artefacts 🗸🗸
• Local retailers may have an increase in sales (and profits) because of increased demand from tourists 🗸🗸
• Private businesses and government work in partnership to provide the infrastructure needed for tourism 🗸🗸
• This increases the market share of and income of the these businesses 🗸🗸
• Allow existing businesses to improve the quality and variety of their products PP 🗸🗸
• Allow natural monopolies e.g. Table Mountain Cableway to achieve abnormal profits PP 🗸🗸
• The public sector also provides a range of financial incentives for private sector tourism investment (grants, subsidies, loans, tax rebates) PP 🗸🗸 [Max 10]

Infrastructure development

• Adequate and well-maintained infrastructure is essential for tourist destinations PP. 🗸🗸
• Locals share this infrastructure with tourists 🗸🗸
• Government often prioritises economic infrastructure such as ports and beaches 🗸🗸
• In addition to physical and basic infrastructure, social infrastructure is also important for the growth of tourism🗸🗸
• Most of the SDIs and development corridors also have tourism as an important focus PP 🗸🗸 [Max 8]
• Members of households earn income from the tourism sector as tour operators, travel agents etc. 🗸🗸
• Many households are indirectly involved in tourism as employees e.g. in hotels, transport sector. 🗸🗸
• Entrepreneurs from households that operate as curio producers or musicians can earn income from tourism . 🗸🗸
• A large number of households acquire skills in the tourism industry. 🗸🗸
• School curriculum and learnership offer opportunities to acquire these skills . 🗸🗸
• Encourages rural development because many tourist attractions are located in rural areas PP 🗸🗸 [Accept any other correct relevant response] [Max. 26]

ADDITIONAL PART Tourism can be successfully marketed in less popular destinations by:

• advertising the firms' attractions in a variety of media including social media and internet which may reach both local and international potential tourists. 🗸🗸
• focusing on a clear message that concentrates on the strength of the attraction/ uniqueness of the destination. 🗸🗸
• using the indigenous knowledge systems of that particular area where possible PP. 🗸🗸
• describing the service offered in the best possible way to catch the interest of the likely tourist PP E.g. the use of slogans. 🗸🗸
• charging a price that is competitive and money well spent for the service offered. 🗸🗸
• helping the tourist to view the entire service as value for money – deliver a worldclass visitor experience 🗸🗸
• highlighting other places of interest in the vicinity of the attraction as part of a package 🗸🗸
• focusing on proudly South African products/services / Sho’t Left campaign PP 🗸🗸
• help disadvantaged South Africans to benefit from tourist attractions in the less popular destinations PP 🗸🗸 [Accept any other correct relevant response] [Max. 10]

CONCLUSION A weaker exchange rate has been a major contributing factor to South Africa's tourism industry growth over many years. 🗸🗸 [Accept any correct relevant response] [Max 2]

INTRODUCTION Environmental sustainability can be defined as development that meets the need of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. 🗸🗸

BODY: MAIN PART Public sector intervention Because it is difficult to enforce measures to ensure sustainability the government has to intervene. 🗸🗸

Environmental taxes Environmental taxes (green taxes) can be added to the cost of goods and services for the negative impact they have on the environment. 🗸🗸 The government uses the income generated through these taxes to protect the environment. 🗸🗸 Taxes can be imposed on petrol, paper, emission gases etc. 🗸🗸 In 2003 the government has legislated the use of biodegradable plastic bags which consumers had to pay for🗸🗸 The hope is that they will use fewer bags and ensure a litter free environment. 🗸🗸

Charging for dumping of waste A monthly fee as part of municipal accounts is charged for collection of waste, sewage and garbage. 🗸🗸 Households already pay for the collection of rubbish. 🗸🗸 The factory owner might clean up his waste if it cost him to dump it. 🗸🗸 Industries might also pay for emitting gases that can be harmful to people and the environment. 🗸🗸 Subsidies Subsidies can be awarded to businesses that are willing to reduce pollution and waste. 🗸🗸 Waste can also be reduced by using new techniques or equipment such as solar energy. 🗸🗸 Emission gases from factories can be reduced using new technology. 🗸🗸

Granting property rights Normally owners of properties tend to be more protective over their resources than users who are only interested in the profits the resources offer. 🗸🗸 For this reason the government might grant property rights over a specific area. 🗸🗸 Property rights empowers owners to negotiate contracts with businesses who wish to exploit the area’s resources. 🗸🗸

Marketable permits A government can decide on the maximum desired level of pollution in an area. 🗸🗸 It then distribute pollution rights (marketable permits) to factories within that area. 🗸🗸 This means that each factory can pollute to a certain limit. 🗸🗸 It means that marketable permits are licenses that polluters can buy or sell to meet the control levels set by government. 🗸🗸

Education Incorporating topics into the curriculum of school fosters awareness. 🗸🗸 The public is gradually been made aware of this rising problem. 🗸🗸 Plastic, bottles and cartons can be recycled or made biodegradable. 🗸🗸

Public sector control If the government’s intervention does not attain the desired results, then it has to intervene more directly by setting and enforcing limits. 🗸🗸

Environmental Impact Assessment In SA every projected construction, mining or similar development has to undergo an assessment by qualified environmental professionals. 🗸🗸 To prove that it will not cause unwarranted environmental damage and that the damage can be repaired after construction. 🗸🗸 The cost if built into the project. 🗸🗸

Command and Control Regulations that are set and enforce environmental limits or standards. 🗸🗸 Quantity: e.g. set the limit to the amount of fish to catch, or limit the season catching certain species of fish. 🗸🗸 Quality: e.g. drinking water quality is carefully monitored and controlled. 🗸🗸 Air quality in workplace is subject to minimum standards. 🗸🗸 Social effect: e.g. noxious fumes from factories, dumping of medical waste near settlements, and noise pollution. 🗸🗸

Voluntary agreements Agreements between government and businesses voluntarily to address negative environmental impacts of industries. 🗸🗸 Businesses voluntary agree to decrease the emissions of pollutants. 🗸🗸 Most prefer negotiations so that they can tailor their specific needs and include it into their planning🗸🗸 Agreements can be formal, which is legally binding contract or informal. 🗸🗸 [Max 26]

ADDITIONAL PART Government does not exercise effective control over the continuous dumping of waste because of a lack of coordination between departments. 🗸🗸 The fines imposed on industries that dump waste are too lenient and they continue polluting the environment. 🗸🗸

The minimum standards set for hazardous gas and fuel emissions are not enforced or adjusted. 🗸🗸 The recycling of waste materials are not widely encouraged and promoted and landfill sites are overflowing. 🗸🗸 Government has various laws that is not really effectively implemented. 🗸🗸 Poor service delivery also adds to the problem in certain areas. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant answer] [Max 10]

CONCLUSION Each and every individual, business and government needs to stand together to save our planet. [Accept any other relevant conclusion] [Max 2] Discuss in detail the following problems and the international measures taken to ensure sustainable development (Environmental Sustainability)

INTRODUCTION Environment refers to the physical surroundings and physical conditions that affect people’s lives. 🗸🗸 The ever-increasing pressure on our environment originates from increasing population numbers and excessive consumption🗸🗸 Our air, land, and water are under constant assault from the ever-growing ravages of man-made pollution generated chiefly by industrialized societies. 🗸🗸 [Accept any appropriate introduction] [Max 2]

BODY-MAIN PART Conservation

• Conservation is necessary because human actions cause pollution and over-utilisation of  resources. 🗸🗸
• Conservation is a strategy aimed at achieving the sustainable use and management of natural resources. 🗸🗸
• Conservation seeks a creative continuity of the environment while ensuring that change is sympathetic to the quality of life for both present and future generations. 🗸🗸
• Certain aspects of conservation need to be taken into account.
• Firstly, there is an opportunity cost. 🗸🗸
• Secondly, externalities are often present. 🗸🗸
• Lastly, self-interest has a short term horizon – meaning that decisions cannot be left entirely to market forces. 🗸🗸
• Over utilization of resources causes a reduction in supply, increase in prices, contradiction of demand and a search for substitutes. 🗸🗸
• This necessitates conservation of both renewable and non-renewable resources. 🗸🗸
• Conservation has to be concerned with limiting what is harvested in order to maintain a stable stock at least at the minimum level. 🗸🗸
• Government can use permits and quotas as two possible direct control methods in order to maintain the stock of resources at the minimum level. 🗸🗸

Preservation

• Preservation involves any strategy undertaken to safeguard the environment, maintain its current condition and keep it as habitable as possible for people and animals. 🗸🗸
• Heritage sites, indigenous forests, specifies of animals etc. that have special cultural or environmental significance, are often targeted preservation. 🗸🗸
• Preservation is not likely to work as a private enterprise because the benefit to society is much bigger than the income of the producer. 🗸🗸
• It may be possible to use cost-benefit analysis to calculate the social benefits of preservation of the environment.
• The weaknesses in market solutions require the government to intervene in order to preserve environment assets. 🗸🗸
• Government could do any of the following:
• Buy or expropriate – Environmental assets are simply closed for human use. 🗸🗸
• Subsidise-A subsidy would increase net benefits to the owner and raise the property’s present value. 🗸🗸
• Controls – The government can compel the owner to apply control measures like restricting the quantities exploited or number of visitors allowed per day. 🗸🗸 [26 Max]

ADDITIONAL PART Stockholm Conference (1972)

• The Stockholm Conference was the first major large scale international meeting on the environment convened with the support of the United Nations. 🗸🗸
• The meeting agreed upon a declaration containing 26 principles concerning the environment and development, an action plan with 109 recommendations and a resolution. 🗸🗸
• The meeting directly impacted on the environmental policies of many countries. 🗸🗸

Rio de Janeiro Earth Summit (1992)

• This meeting acknowledged the importance of cooperation in addressing environmental concerns that threaten sustainability. 🗸🗸
• The conference helped to make countries around the world aware of the dangers of unsustainable development. 🗸🗸
• Unfortunately the principles outlined and accepted at the summit were not binding and subsequently many countries did not confirm to them. 🗸🗸

Rio + 5 (1997)

• This conference noted that globalization made some countries poorer – 🗸🗸
• In particular African countries and the least developed countries showed a low level of growth or even declined. 🗸🗸

Kyoto Protocol for Climate Change (1997)

• Countries committed themselves to reducing their total emissions of greenhouse by 5 %.🗸🗸
• Unfortunately, China was excluded from this agreement and the USA withdrew. 🗸🗸

World Summit on Sustainable Development (2002)

• The objective of this summit held in Johannesburg was to conserve natural resources in a world that is growing in population. 🗸🗸
• The meeting focused on issues like poverty eradication, water and sanitation, energy, health agriculture and biodiversity. 🗸🗸

COP 17 (2011)

• The main goal of the conference held in Durban was to establish a treaty to limit carbon emissions and plan strategies to keep global temperature rise to less than 2 degree Celsius in the 21st Century. 🗸🗸
• Although the framework for this treaty was established it was not finalised. 🗸🗸
• The solution to our environmental problems will depend on our ability to make sound economic decisions that take account of the natural environment and to change our individual behaviour and attitudes. 🗸🗸 [Accept any other relevant conclusion] [Max 2]

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Inflation - Consequences of Inflation

Last updated 21 Mar 2021

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What are some of the main consequences of inflation?

Many governments have set their central banks a target for a low but positive rate of inflation . They believe that persistently high inflation can have damaging economic and social consequences .

• Income redistribution : One risk of higher inflation is that it has a regressive effect on lower-income families and older people in society. This happen when prices for food and domestic utilities such as water and heating rises at a rapid rate
• Falling real incomes : With millions of people facing a cut in their wages or at best a pay freeze, rising inflation leads to a fall in real incomes.
• Negative real interest rates : If interest rates on savings accounts are lower than the rate of inflation, then people who rely on interest from their savings will be poorer. Real interest rates for millions of savers in the UK and many other countries have been negative for at least four years
• Cost of borrowing : High inflation may also lead to higher borrowing costs for businesses and people needing loans and mortgages as financial markets protect themselves against rising prices and increase the cost of borrowing on short and longer-term debt. There is also pressure on the government to increase the value of the state pension and unemployment benefits and other welfare payments as the cost of living climbs higher.
• Risks of wage inflation : High inflation can lead to an increase in pay claims as people look to protect their real incomes. This can lead to a rise in unit labour costs and lower profits for businesses
• Business competitiveness :If one country has a much higher rate of inflation than others for a considerable period of time, this will make its exports less price competitive in world markets. Eventually this may show through in reduced export orders, lower profits and fewer jobs, and also in a worsening of a country’s trade balance. A fall in exports can trigger negative multiplier and accelerator effects on national income and employment.
• Business uncertainty : High and volatile inflation is not good for business confidence partly because they cannot be sure of what their costs and prices are likely to be. This uncertainty might lead to a lower level of capital investment spending.

Overall, a high and volatile rate of inflation is widely considered to be damaging for an economy that trades in international markets. In your analysis focus on the impact on

• Uncertainty / business and consumer confidence
• The competitiveness of producers in international markets
• The effects on the real standard of living
• The possible impact on levels of income inequality

Deflation (negative inflation) can also be damaging for a country. You can read more about deflation in this study note.

Potential winners from rising inflation

• Workers with strong wage bargaining power (perhaps those who belong to strong trade unions). They can protect their real incomes by bidding for higher wages.
• Debtors if real interest rates on loans are negative – the real value of debt may fall.
• Producers if their prices rise faster than costs leading to higher profit margins.
• Wealthy groups if there is a sustained period of asset price inflation (e.g. stocks and property).

Potential losers from rising inflation

• Retired people on fixed incomes – inflation cuts the real value of their pensions and other savings.
• Lenders if real interest rates on loans are negative.
• Savers if real returns on commercial bank deposits are negative.
• Workers in low-paid jobs with little bargaining power e.g. those in the Gig Economy with no union protection.
• Exporting firms may lose sales and profits if they become less competitive – eventually hitting shareholders.

Inflation - Key Term Glossary

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Essay on Inflation: Types, Causes and Effects

Essay on Inflation!

Essay on the Meaning of Inflation:

Inflation and unemployment are the two most talked-about words in the contemporary society. These two are the big problems that plague all the economies. Almost everyone is sure that he knows what inflation exactly is, but it remains a source of great deal of confusion because it is difficult to define it unambiguously.

Inflation is often defined in terms of its supposed causes. Inflation exists when money supply exceeds available goods and services. Or inflation is attributed to budget deficit financing. A deficit budget may be financed by additional money creation. But the situation of monetary expansion or budget deficit may not cause price level to rise. Hence the difficulty of defining ‘inflation’ .

Inflation may be defined as ‘a sustained upward trend in the general level of prices’ and not the price of only one or two goods. G. Ackley defined inflation as ‘a persistent and appreciable rise in the general level or average of prices’ . In other words, inflation is a state of rising price level, but not rise in the price level. It is not high prices but rising prices that constitute inflation.

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It is an increase in the overall price level. A small rise in prices or a sudden rise in prices is not inflation since these may reflect the short term workings of the market. It is to be pointed out here that inflation is a state of disequilibrium when there occurs a sustained rise in price level.

It is inflation if the prices of most goods go up. However, it is difficult to detect whether there is an upward trend in prices and whether this trend is sustained. That is why inflation is difficult to define in an unambiguous sense.

Let’s measure inflation rate. Suppose, in December 2007, the consumer price index was 193.6 and, in December 2008 it was 223.8. Thus the inflation rate during the last one year was 223.8 – 193.6/193.6 × 100 = 15.6%.

As inflation is a state of rising prices, deflation may be defined as a state of falling prices but not fall in prices. Deflation is, thus, the opposite of inflation, i.e., rise in the value or purchasing power of money. Disinflation is a slowing down of the rate of inflation.

Essay on the Types of Inflation :

As the nature of inflation is not uniform in an economy for all the time, it is wise to distinguish between different types of inflation. Such analysis is useful to study the distributional and other effects of inflation as well as to recommend anti-inflationary policies.

Inflation may be caused by a variety of factors. Its intensity or pace may be different at different times. It may also be classified in accordance with the reactions of the government toward inflation.

Thus, one may observe different types of inflation in the contemporary society:

(a) According to Causes:

i. Currency Inflation:

This type of inflation is caused by the printing of currency notes.

ii. Credit Inflation:

Being profit-making institutions, commercial banks sanction more loans and advances to the public than what the economy needs. Such credit expansion leads to a rise in price level.

iii. Deficit-Induced Inflation:

The budget of the government reflects a deficit when expenditure exceeds revenue. To meet this gap, the government may ask the central bank to print additional money. Since pumping of additional money is required to meet the budget deficit, any price rise may be called deficit-induced inflation.

iv. Demand-Pull Inflation:

An increase in aggregate demand over the available output leads to a rise in the price level. Such inflation is called demand-pull inflation (henceforth DPI). But why does aggregate demand rise? Classical economists attribute this rise in aggregate demand to money supply.

If the supply of money in an economy exceeds the available goods and services, DPI appears. It has been described by Coulborn as a situation of “too much money chasing too few goods” .

Note that, in this region, price level begins to rise. Ultimately, the economy reaches full employment situation, i.e., Range 3, where output does not rise but price level is pulled upward. This is demand-pull inflation. The essence of this type of inflation is “too much spending chasing too few goods.”

v. Cost-Push Inflation:

Inflation in an economy may arise from the overall increase in the cost of production. This type of inflation is known as cost-push inflation (henceforth CPI). Cost of production may rise due to increase in the price of raw materials, wages, etc. Often trade unions are blamed for wage rise since wage rate is not market-determined. Higher wage means higher cost of production.

Prices of commodities are thereby increased. A wage-price spiral comes into operation. But, at the same time, firms are to be blamed also for the price rise since they simply raise prices to expand their profit margins. Thus we have two important variants of CPI: wage-push inflation and profit-push inflation. Anyway, CPI stems from the leftward shift of the aggregate supply curve.

The price level thus determined is OP 1 . As aggregate demand curve shifts to AD 2 , price level rises to OP 2 . Thus, an increase in aggregate demand at the full employment stage leads to an increase in price level only, rather than the level of output. However, how much price level will rise following an increase in aggregate demand depends on the slope of the AS curve.

Causes of Demand-Pull Inflation :

DPI originates in the monetary sector. Monetarists’ argument that “only money matters” is based on the assumption that at or near full employment, excessive money supply will increase aggregate demand and will thus cause inflation.

An increase in nominal money supply shifts aggregate demand curve rightward. This enables people to hold excess cash balances. Spending of excess cash balances by them causes price level to rise. Price level will continue to rise until aggregate demand equals aggregate supply.

Keynesians argue that inflation originates in the non-monetary sector or the real sector. Aggregate demand may rise if there is an increase in consumption expenditure following a tax cut. There may be an autonomous increase in business investment or government expenditure. Governmental expenditure is inflationary if the needed money is procured by the government by printing additional money.

In brief, an increase in aggregate demand i.e., increase in (C + I + G + X – M) causes price level to rise. However, aggregate demand may rise following an increase in money supply generated by the printing of additional money (classical argument) which drives prices upward. Thus, money plays a vital role. That is why Milton Friedman believes that inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.

There are other reasons that may push aggregate demand and, hence, price level upwards. For instance, growth of population stimulates aggregate demand. Higher export earnings increase the purchasing power of the exporting countries.

Additional purchasing power means additional aggregate demand. Purchasing power and, hence, aggregate demand, may also go up if government repays public debt. Again, there is a tendency on the part of the holders of black money to spend on conspicuous consumption goods. Such tendency fuels inflationary fire. Thus, DPI is caused by a variety of factors.

Cost-Push Inflation Theory :

In addition to aggregate demand, aggregate supply also generates inflationary process. As inflation is caused by a leftward shift of the aggregate supply, we call it CPI. CPI is usually associated with the non-monetary factors. CPI arises due to the increase in cost of production. Cost of production may rise due to a rise in the cost of raw materials or increase in wages.

Such increases in costs are passed on to consumers by firms by raising the prices of the products. Rising wages lead to rising costs. Rising costs lead to rising prices. And rising prices, again, prompt trade unions to demand higher wages. Thus, an inflationary wage-price spiral starts.

This causes aggregate supply curve to shift leftward. This can be demonstrated graphically (Fig. 11.4) where AS 1 is the initial aggregate supply curve. Below the full employment stage this AS curve is positive sloping and at full employment stage it becomes perfectly inelastic. Intersection point (E 1 ) of AD 1 and AS 1 curves determines the price level.

Now, there is a leftward shift of aggregate supply curve to AS 2 . With no change in aggregate demand, this causes price level to rise to OP 2 and output to fall to OY 2 .

With the reduction in output, employment in the economy declines or unemployment rises. Further shift in the AS curve to AS 2 results in higher price level (OP 3 ) and a lower volume of aggregate output (OY 3 ). Thus, CPI may arise even below the full employment (Y f ) stage.

Causes of CPI :

It is the cost factors that pull the prices upward. One of the important causes of price rise is the rise in price of raw materials. For instance, by an administrative order the government may hike the price of petrol or diesel or freight rate. Firms buy these inputs now at a higher price. This leads to an upward pressure on cost of production.

Not only this, CPI is often imported from outside the economy. Increase in the price of petrol by OPEC compels the government to increase the price of petrol and diesel. These two important raw materials are needed by every sector, especially the transport sector. As a result, transport costs go up resulting in higher general price level.

Again, CPI may be induced by wage-push inflation or profit-push inflation. Trade unions demand higher money wages as a compensation against inflationary price rise. If increase in money wages exceeds labour productivity, aggregate supply will shift upward and leftward. Firms often exercise power by pushing up prices independently of consumer demand to expand their profit margins.

Fiscal policy changes, such as an increase in tax rates leads to an upward pressure in cost of production. For instance, an overall increase in excise tax of mass consumption goods is definitely inflationary. That is why government is then accused of causing inflation.

Finally, production setbacks may result in decreases in output. Natural disaster, exhaustion of natural resources, work stoppages, electric power cuts, etc., may cause aggregate output to decline.

In the midst of this output reduction, artificial scarcity of any goods by traders and hoarders just simply ignite the situation.

Inefficiency, corruption, mismanagement of the economy may also be the other reasons. Thus, inflation is caused by the interplay of various factors. A particular factor cannot be held responsible for inflationary price rise.

Essay on the Effects of Inflation :

People’s desires are inconsistent. When they act as buyers they want prices of goods and services to remain stable but as sellers they expect the prices of goods and services should go up. Such a happy outcome may arise for some individuals; “but, when this happens, others will be getting the worst of both worlds.” Since inflation reduces purchasing power it is bad.

The old people are in the habit of recalling the days when the price of say, meat per kilogram cost just 10 rupees. Today it is Rs. 250 per kilogram. This is true for all other commodities. When they enjoyed a better living standard. Imagine today, how worse we are! But meanwhile, wages and salaries of people have risen to a great height, compared to the ‘good old days’. This goes unusually untold.

When price level goes up, there is both a gainer and a loser. To evaluate the consequence of inflation, one must identify the nature of inflation which may be anticipated and unanticipated. If inflation is anticipated, people can adjust with the new situation and costs of inflation to the society will be smaller.

In reality, people cannot predict accurately future events or people often make mistakes in predicting the course of inflation. In other words, inflation may be unanticipated when people fail to adjust completely. This creates various problems.

One can study the effects of unanticipated inflation under two broad headings:

(i) Effect on distribution of income and wealth

(ii) Effect on economic growth.

(a) Effects of Inflation on Income and Wealth Distribution :

During inflation, usually people experience rise in incomes. But some people gain during inflation at the expense of others. Some individuals gain because their money incomes rise more rapidly than the prices and some lose because prices rise more rapidly than their incomes during inflation. Thus, it redistributes income and wealth.

Though no conclusive evidence can be cited, it can be asserted that following categories of people are affected by inflation differently:

i. Creditors and Debtors:

Borrowers gain and lenders lose during inflation because debts are fixed in rupee terms. When debts are repaid their real value declines by the price level increase and, hence, creditors lose. An individual may be interested in buying a house by taking a loan of Rs. 7 lakh from an institution for 7 years.

The borrower now welcomes inflation since he will have to pay less in real terms than when it was borrowed. Lender, in the process, loses since the rate of interest payable remains unaltered as per agreement. Because of inflation, the borrower is given ‘dear’ rupees, but pays back ‘cheap’ rupees.

However, if in an inflation-ridden economy creditors chronically loose, it is wise not to advance loans or to shut down business. Never does it happen. Rather, the loan- giving institution makes adequate safeguard against the erosion of real value.

ii. Bond and Debenture-Holders:

In an economy, there are some people who live on interest income—they suffer most.

Bondholders earn fixed interest income:

These people suffer a reduction in real income when prices rise. In other words, the value of one’s savings decline if the interest rate falls short of inflation rate. Similarly, beneficiaries from life insurance programmes are also hit badly by inflation since real value of savings deteriorate.

iii. Investors:

People who put their money in shares during inflation are expected to gain since the possibility of earning business profit brightens. Higher profit induces owners of firms to distribute profit among investors or shareholders.

iv. Salaried People and Wage-Earners:

Anyone earning a fixed income is damaged by inflation. Sometimes, unionized worker succeeds in raising wage rates of white-collar workers as a compensation against price rise. But wage rate changes with a long time lag. In other words, wage rate increases always lag behind price increases.

Naturally, inflation results in a reduction in real purchasing power of fixed income earners. On the other hand, people earning flexible incomes may gain during inflation. The nominal incomes of such people outstrip the general price rise. As a result, real incomes of this income group increase.

v. Profit-Earners, Speculators and Black Marketeers:

It is argued that profit-earners gain from inflation. Profit tends to rise during inflation. Seeing inflation, businessmen raise the prices of their products. This results in a bigger profit. Profit margin, however, may not be high when the rate of inflation climbs to a high level.

However, speculators dealing in business in essential commodities usually stand to gain by inflation. Black marketeers are also benefited by inflation.

Thus, there occurs a redistribution of income and wealth. It is said that rich becomes richer and poor becomes poorer during inflation. However, no such hard and fast generalizations can be made. It is clear that someone wins and someone loses from inflation.

These effects of inflation may persist if inflation is unanticipated. However, the redistributive burdens of inflation on income and wealth are most likely to be minimal if inflation is anticipated by the people.

With anticipated inflation, people can build up their strategies to cope with inflation. If the annual rate of inflation in an economy is anticipated correctly people will try to protect them against losses resulting from inflation.

Workers will demand 10 p.c. wage increase if inflation is expected to rise by 10 p.c. Similarly, a percentage of inflation premium will be demanded by creditors from debtors. Business firms will also fix prices of their products in accordance with the anticipated price rise. Now if the entire society “learns to live with inflation” , the redistributive effect of inflation will be minimal.

However, it is difficult to anticipate properly every episode of inflation. Further, even if it is anticipated it cannot be perfect. In addition, adjustment with the new expected inflationary conditions may not be possible for all categories of people. Thus, adverse redistributive effects are likely to occur.

Finally, anticipated inflation may also be costly to the society. If people’s expectation regarding future price rise become stronger they will hold less liquid money. Mere holding of cash balances during inflation is unwise since its real value declines. That is why people use their money balances in buying real estate, gold, jewellery, etc.

Such investment is referred to as unproductive investment. Thus, during inflation of anticipated variety, there occurs a diversion of resources from priority to non-priority or unproductive sectors.

b. Effect on Production and Economic Growth :

Inflation may or may not result in higher output. Below the full employment stage, inflation has a favourable effect on production. In general, profit is a rising function of the price level. An inflationary situation gives an incentive to businessmen to raise prices of their products so as to earn higher doses of profit.

Rising price and rising profit encourage firms to make larger investments. As a result, the multiplier effect of investment will come into operation resulting in higher national output. However, such a favourable effect of inflation will be temporary if wages and production costs rise very rapidly.

Further, inflationary situation may be associated with the fall in output, particularly if inflation is of the cost-push variety. Thus, there is no strict relationship between prices and output. An increase in aggregate demand will increase both prices and output, but a supply shock will raise prices and lower output.

Inflation may also lower down further production levels. It is commonly assumed that if inflationary tendencies nurtured by experienced inflation persist in future, people will now save less and consume more. Rising saving propensities will result in lower further outputs.

One may also argue that inflation creates an air of uncertainty in the minds of business community, particularly when the rate of inflation fluctuates. In the midst of rising inflationary trend, firms cannot accurately estimate their costs and revenues. Under the circumstance, business firms may be deterred in investing. This will adversely affect the growth performance of the economy.

However, slight dose of inflation is necessary for economic growth. Mild inflation has an encouraging effect on national output. But it is difficult to make the price rise of a creeping variety. High rate of inflation acts as a disincentive to long run economic growth. The way the hyperinflation affects economic growth is summed up here.

We know that hyperinflation discourages savings. A fall in savings means a lower rate of capital formation. A low rate of capital formation hinders economic growth. Further, during excessive price rise, there occurs an increase in unproductive investment in real estate, gold, jewellery, etc.

Above all, speculative businesses flourish during inflation resulting in artificial scarcities and, hence, further rise in prices. Again, following hyperinflation, export earnings decline resulting in a wide imbalance in the balance of payments account.

Often, galloping inflation results in a ‘flight’ of capital to foreign countries since people lose confidence and faith over the monetary arrangements of the country, thereby resulting in a scarcity of resources. Finally, real value of tax revenue also declines under the impact of hyperinflation. Government then experiences a shortfall in investible resources.

Thus, economists and policy makers are unanimous regarding the dangers of high price rise. But the consequence of hyperinflation is disastrous. In the past, some of the world economies (e.g., Germany after the First World War (1914-1918), Latin American countries in the 1980s) had been greatly ravaged by hyperinflation.

The German Inflation of 1920s was also Catastrophic:

During 1922, the German price level went up 5,470 per cent, in 1923, the situation worsened; the German price level rose 1,300,000,000 times. By October of 1923, the postage of the lightest letter sent from Germany to the United States was 200,000 marks.

Butter cost 1.5 million marks per pound, meat 2 million marks, a loaf of bread 200,000 marks, and an egg 60,000 marks Prices increased so rapidly that waiters changed the prices on the menu several times during the course of a lunch!! Sometimes, customers had to pay double the price listed on the menu when they observed it first!!!

During October 2008, Zimbabwe, under the President-ship of Robert G. Mugabe, experienced 231,000,000 p.c. (2.31 million p.c.) as against 1.2 million p.c. price rise in September 2008—a record after 1923. It is an unbelievable rate. In May 2008, the cost of price of a toilet paper itself and not the costs of the roll of the toilet paper came to 417 Zimbabwean dollars.

Anyway, people are harassed ultimately by the high rate of inflation. That is why it is said that ‘inflation is our public enemy number one’. Rising inflation rate is a sign of failure on the part of the government.

Related Articles:

• Essay on the Causes of Inflation (473 Words)
• Cost-Push Inflation and Demand-Pull or Mixed Inflation
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Gr.12 Economics Lesson Plan T3 W2: Inflation

Grade 12 Economics Lesson Plan Term 3 Week 2: Inflation

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Teaching About Money, Spending, and Inflation Using a Classroom Inflation Auction

Students participate in two auctions: The goods in each auction are identical, but the amount of money given to students increases from the first to the second auction. Students learn that if spending grows at a faster rate than the economy’s ability to produce goods and services, inflation will result. This is inflation caused by “too much spending chasing too few goods.”

Lesson Author: Scott Wolla, Ph.D., Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

Ages: 12 to adult

Compelling Question: How are the money supply and inflation related?

Time Required: 20 minutes

Standards ( see below )

Students will

• define money and inflation and
• describe the relationship between the money, spending, and inflation.
• “Teaching About Money and Inflation Using a Classroom Inflation Auction” PowerPoint slides ( download the slides )
• Handout 1: Funny Money, enough copies cut apart so that each student will receive approximately 12 bills each, keeping in mind that some students will receive more bills than others ( download the handout )
• Enough beans so that students will receive approximately 12 beans each, keeping in mind that some students will receive more beans than others
• Two sets of three identical items for two auction rounds; items should be of interest to students, for example, a candy bar, homework pass, and hall pass

Preparation

• Divide the Funny Money (or beans) so that approximately one-third is available for auction Round 1 and two-thirds is available for auction Round 2.

Part 1: What Is money and its relationship to spending?

• Display Slide 2. Introduce the activity by asking the students, “What is money?” ( Answers will vary .)
• Display Slide 3. Explain that money is anything widely accepted in exchange for goods and services. More precisely, U.S. currency is fiat money, which means it has no intrinsic value (no value of its own) or representational value (not representing anything of value, such as gold).
• Why are you happy when you get U.S. dollars in a birthday card? ( U.S. dollars can buy goods and services. )
• Why do employees work to receive U.S. dollars? ( Answers will vary but will likely include that people work for money so that they can spend it to buy the goods and services they want .)
• Why do businesses accept U.S. dollars in exchange for other goods or services? ( Businesses accept U.S. dollars so that they can pay employees and buy other goods and services. )
• How would your spending likely change if you had more money? ( They would likely spend more money. )
• In general, is spending good for the economy? ( Yes, more spending can lead to more production of goods and services. More production can lead to more jobs and income for people. This chain of events results in an expanding economy. )
• If more money results in more spending, and more spending can cause economic growth, why shouldn’t the government continuously add money to the economy? ( Answers will vary. )

Part 2: Inflation Auction

• Distribute the Funny Money (or beans) to students in a random fashion. Attempt to make sure that the amount of money students receive is varied (2 to 6 bills [or beans] each) to ensure that someone wins the auction rather than it ending in a tie.
• Three items will be auctioned (by the teacher).
• The highest bidder will win each item.
• The three items represent the total output of goods and services produced in the classroom economy.
• Each Funny Money bill (or bean) is worth $1.
• You may not combine your money with anyone else’s in the room.
• Invite the students to bid, sell each item to the highest bidder, and note the final selling price of each item. Collect the Funny Money (or beans) from each winner as part of the transaction.
• Display Slide 5. Record the price of each item sold and calculate the total.
• You will distribute additional money.
• You will auction three items identical to the ones from Round 1.
• If anyone has money left over from Round 1, he or she may use that money in this round. The “new” money is equal in value to the old money.
• Distribute in random amounts approximately double the amount of money distributed in Round 1 (perhaps 6 to 12 bills [or beans] each). Conduct the auction as before. NOTE: Prices should be considerably higher in Round 2. If students are not bidding high prices, encourage more bidding by reminding students that this is the final auction round and that their money cannot be used to buy goods and services outside the classroom.
• What happened to prices in Round 2 compared with those in Round 1? ( Prices were higher in Round 2. )
• Were the goods in the auctions different in any way? ( No, they were exactly the same. )
• Were there any more items available to buy in Round 2 than in Round 1? ( No, the number of items was the same in both auctions. )
• Why were prices higher in Round 2? ( People had more money in Round 2, so they were able to bid higher amounts for the identical items than they could in Round 1. )
• Assuming the quantity of goods and services remains constant, how would you summarize the relationship between spending and prices? ( The level of spending and the prices of goods and services are directly related. )
• Inflation is a general, sustained upward movement of prices for goods and services in an economy.
• Inflation is an increase in the average level of prices in the economy, not the individual prices of a few goods. For example, while the prices of gasoline and movie tickets might increase, the prices of computers and baseball tickets might decrease.
• You might hear economists say inflation occurs when “too much money is chasing too few goods.” This is likely to occur when the spending increases at a faster rate than the supply of goods and services produced in the economy.
• Money is important because it provides the opportunity to spend, but ultimately it is the spending that drives economic activity, and potentially, inflation.
• What is money? ( Anything widely accepted in exchange for goods and services. )
• Why is money useful? ( People spend money to purchase goods and services. Money facilities spending. )
• What is inflation? ( Inflation is a general, sustained upward movement of prices for goods and services in an economy. )
• What is the relationship between spending and inflation? ( Inflation is caused when spending increases at a faster rate than the supply of goods and services produced in the economy. )

Standards and Benchmarks

Voluntary National Content Standards in Economics 1

Standard 11: Money and Inflation. Money makes it easier to trade, borrow, save, invest, and compare the value of goods and services. The amount of money in the economy affects the overall price level. Inflation is an increase in the overall price level that reduces the value of money.

• Benchmark 4, Grade 8: Inflation reduces the value of money.
• Benchmark 5, Grade 12: In the long run, inflation results from increases in a nation’s money supply that exceed increases in its output of goods and services.

Related Articles

• Teaching the Linkage Between Banks and the Fed: R.I.P. Money Multiplier ( Page One Economics ® )

1 Note: The most recent version (2010) of the Voluntary National Content Standards does not reflect the current relationship between money, spending, and inflation.

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• Purchasing Power
• Consumer Price Index (CPI)
• Why Is the Consumer Price Index Controversial?
• Core Inflation
• Headline Inflation
• GDP Price Deflator
• Inflation Accounting
• Inflation-Adjusted Return
• Inflation Targeting
• Real Economic Growth Rate
• Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
• Real Income
• Real Interest Rate
• Real Rate of Return
• Wage-Price Spiral

What Is Inflation?

Inflation is a gradual loss of purchasing power, reflected in a broad rise in prices for goods and services over time.

The inflation rate is calculated as the average price increase of a basket of selected goods and services over one year. High inflation means that prices are increasing quickly, with low inflation meaning that prices are increasing more slowly. Inflation can be contrasted with deflation, which occurs when prices decline and purchasing power increases.

Key Takeaways

• Inflation measures how quickly the prices of goods and services are rising.
• Inflation is sometimes classified into three types: demand-pull inflation, cost-push inflation, and built-in inflation.
• The most commonly used inflation indexes are the Consumer Price Index and the Wholesale Price Index.
• Inflation can be viewed positively or negatively depending on the individual viewpoint and rate of change.
• Those with tangible assets, like property or stocked commodities, may like to see some inflation as that raises the value of their assets.

How Inflation Impacts Consumers

While it is easy to measure the price changes of individual products over time, human needs extend beyond just one or two products. Individuals need a big and diversified set of products as well as a host of services for living a comfortable life. They include commodities like food grains, metal, fuel, utilities like electricity and transportation, and services like healthcare , entertainment, and labor.

Inflation aims to measure the overall impact of price changes for a diversified set of products and services. It allows for a single value representation of the increase in the price level of goods and services in an economy over a specified time.

Prices rise, which means that one unit of money buys fewer goods and services. This loss of purchasing power impacts the cost of living for the common public which ultimately leads to a deceleration in economic growth. The consensus view among economists is that sustained inflation occurs when a nation's money supply growth outpaces economic growth.

The increase in the Consumer Price Index For All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) over the 12 months ending April 2024 on an unadjusted basis. Prices rose 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis in April 2024 from the previous month.

To combat this, the monetary authority (in most cases, the central bank ) takes the necessary steps to manage the money supply and credit to keep inflation within permissible limits and keep the economy running smoothly.

Theoretically, monetarism is a popular theory that explains the relationship between inflation and the money supply of an economy. For example, following the Spanish conquest of the Aztec and Inca empires, massive amounts of gold and silver flowed into the Spanish and other European economies. Since the money supply rapidly increased, the value of money fell, contributing to rapidly rising prices.

Inflation is measured in a variety of ways depending on the types of goods and services. It is the opposite of deflation , which indicates a general decline in prices when the inflation rate falls below 0%. Keep in mind that deflation shouldn't be confused with disinflation , which is a related term referring to a slowing down in the (positive) rate of inflation.

Investopedia / Julie Bang

What Causes Inflation

An increase in the supply of money is the root of inflation, though this can play out through different mechanisms in the economy. A country's money supply can be increased by the monetary authorities by:

• Printing and giving away more money to citizens
• Legally devaluing (reducing the value of) the legal tender currency
• Loaning new money into existence as reserve account credits through the banking system by purchasing government bonds from banks on the secondary market (the most common method)
• Supply bottlenecks and shortages of key goods, causing other prices to rise.

In all of these cases, the money ends up losing its purchasing power. The mechanisms of how this drives inflation can be classified into three types: demand-pull inflation, cost-push inflation, and built-in inflation.

Demand-Pull Effect

Demand-pull inflation occurs when an increase in the supply of money and credit stimulates the overall demand for goods and services to increase more rapidly than the economy's production capacity. This increases demand and leads to price rises.

When people have more money, it leads to positive consumer sentiment. This, in turn, leads to higher spending, which pulls prices higher. It creates a demand-supply gap with higher demand and less flexible supply, which results in higher prices.

Melissa Ling {Copyright} Investopedia, 2019

Cost-Push Effect

Cost-push inflation is a result of the increase in prices working through the production process inputs. When additions to the supply of money and credit are channeled into a commodity or other asset markets, costs for all kinds of intermediate goods rise. This is especially evident when there's a negative economic shock to the supply of key commodities.

These developments lead to higher costs for the finished product or service and work their way into rising consumer prices. For instance, when the money supply is expanded, it creates a speculative boom in oil prices . This means that the cost of energy can rise and contribute to rising consumer prices, which is reflected in various measures of inflation.

Built-in Inflation

Built-in inflation is related to adaptive expectations or the idea that people expect current inflation rates to continue in the future. As the price of goods and services rises, people may expect a continuous rise in the future at a similar rate.

As such, workers may demand more costs or wages to maintain their standard of living. Their increased wages result in a higher cost of goods and services, and this wage-price spiral continues as one factor induces the other and vice-versa.

How to Protect Your Finances During Inflation

There are a range of measures that individuals can take to protect their finances against inflation.

For instance, one may choose to invest in asset classes that outperform the market during inflationary times. This might include commodities like grain, beef, oil, electricity, and natural gas. Commodity prices typically stay one step ahead of product prices, and price increases for commodities are often seen as an indicator of inflation to come. However, commodities can also be volatile, easily affected by natural disasters, geopolitics, or conflict.

Real estate income may also help buffer against inflation, as landlords can increase their rent to keep pace with the rise of prices overall.

The U.S. government also offers Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), a type of security indexed to inflation to protect against declines in purchasing power.

Types of Price Indexes

Depending upon the selected set of goods and services used, multiple types of baskets of goods are calculated and tracked as price indexes. The most commonly used price indexes are the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) .

The Consumer Price Index (CPI)

The CPI is a measure that examines the weighted average of prices of a basket of goods and services that are of primary consumer needs. They include transportation, food, and medical care.

CPI is calculated by taking price changes for each item in the predetermined basket of goods and averaging them based on their relative weight in the whole basket. The prices in consideration are the retail prices of each item, as available for purchase by the individual citizens. CPI can impact the value of one currency in relation to those of other nations.

Changes in the CPI are used to assess price changes associated with the cost of living , making it one of the most frequently used statistics for identifying periods of inflation or deflation. In the U.S., the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports the CPI on a monthly basis and has calculated it as far back as 1913.

The CPI-U, which was introduced in 1978, represents the buying habits of approximately 88% of the non-institutional population of the United States.

The Wholesale Price Index (WPI)

The WPI is another popular measure of inflation. It measures and tracks the changes in the price of goods in the stages before the retail level.

While WPI items vary from one country to another, they mostly include items at the producer or wholesale level. For example, it includes cotton prices for raw cotton, cotton yarn, cotton gray goods, and cotton clothing.

Although many countries and organizations use WPI, many other countries, including the U.S., use a similar variant called the producer price index (PPI) .

The Producer Price Index (PPI)

The PPI is a family of indexes that measures the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers of intermediate goods and services over time. The PPI measures price changes from the perspective of the seller and differs from the CPI which measures price changes from the perspective of the buyer.

In all variants, the rise in the price of one component (say oil) may cancel out the price decline in another (say wheat) to a certain extent. Overall, each index represents the average weighted price change for the given constituents which may apply at the overall economy, sector , or commodity level.

The Formula for Measuring Inflation

The above-mentioned variants of price indexes can be used to calculate the value of inflation between two particular months (or years). While a lot of ready-made inflation calculators are already available on various financial portals and websites, it is always better to be aware of the underlying methodology to ensure accuracy with a clear understanding of the calculations. Mathematically,

Percent Inflation Rate = (Final CPI Index Value ÷ Initial CPI Value) x 100

Say you wish to know how the purchasing power of $10,000 changed between January 1975 and January 2024. One can find price index data on various portals in a tabular form. From that table, pick up the corresponding CPI figures for the given two months. For September 1975, it was 52.1 (initial CPI value) and for January 2024, it was 308.417 (final CPI value).

Plugging in the formula yields:

Percent Inflation Rate = (308.417 ÷ 52.1) x 100 = (5.9197) x 100 = 591.97%

Since you wish to know how much $10,000 from January 1975 would be worth in January 2024, multiply the inflation rate by the amount to get the changed dollar value:

Change in Dollar Value = 5.9197 x $10,000 = $59,197

This means that $10,000 in January 1975 will be worth $59,197 today. Essentially, if you purchased a basket of goods and services (as included in the CPI definition) worth $10,000 in 1975, the same basket would cost you $59,197 in January 2024.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Inflation

Inflation can be construed as either a good or a bad thing, depending upon which side one takes, and how rapidly the change occurs.

Individuals with tangible assets (like property or stocked commodities) priced in their home currency may like to see some inflation as that raises the price of their assets, which they can sell at a higher rate.

Inflation often leads to speculation by businesses in risky projects and by individuals who invest in company stocks because they expect better returns than inflation.

An optimum level of inflation is often promoted to encourage spending to a certain extent instead of saving. If the purchasing power of money falls over time, there may be a greater incentive to spend now instead of saving and spending later. It may increase spending, which may boost economic activities in a country. A balanced approach is thought to keep the inflation value in an optimum and desirable range.

Disadvantages

Buyers of such assets may not be happy with inflation, as they will be required to shell out more money. People who hold assets valued in their home currency, such as cash or bonds, may not like inflation, as it erodes the real value of their holdings.

As such, investors looking to protect their portfolios from inflation should consider inflation-hedged asset classes, such as gold, commodities, and real estate investment trusts (REITs). Inflation-indexed bonds are another popular option for investors to profit from inflation .

High and variable rates of inflation can impose major costs on an economy. Businesses, workers, and consumers must all account for the effects of generally rising prices in their buying, selling, and planning decisions.

This introduces an additional source of uncertainty into the economy, because they may guess wrong about the rate of future inflation. Time and resources expended on researching, estimating, and adjusting economic behavior are expected to rise to the general level of prices. That's opposed to real economic fundamentals, which inevitably represent a cost to the economy as a whole.

Even a low, stable, and easily predictable rate of inflation, which some consider otherwise optimal, may lead to serious problems in the economy. That's because of how, where, and when the new money enters the economy.

Whenever new money and credit enter the economy, it is always in the hands of specific individuals or business firms. The process of price level adjustments to the new money supply proceeds as they then spend the new money and it circulates from hand to hand and account to account through the economy.

Inflation does drive up some prices first and drives up other prices later. This sequential change in purchasing power and prices (known as the Cantillon effect) means that the process of inflation not only increases the general price level over time. But it also distorts relative prices , wages, and rates of return along the way.

Economists, in general, understand that distortions of relative prices away from their economic equilibrium are not good for the economy, and Austrian economists even believe this process to be a major driver of cycles of recession in the economy.

Leads to higher resale value of assets

Optimum levels of inflation encourage spending

Buyers have to pay more for products and services

Impose higher prices on the economy

Drives some prices up first and others later

How Inflation Can Be Controlled

A country’s financial regulator shoulders the important responsibility of keeping inflation in check. It is done by implementing measures through monetary policy , which refers to the actions of a central bank or other committees that determine the size and rate of growth of the money supply.

In the U.S., the Fed's monetary policy goals include moderate long-term interest rates, price stability, and maximum employment. Each of these goals is intended to promote a stable financial environment. The Federal Reserve clearly communicates long-term inflation goals in order to keep a steady long-term rate of inflation , which is thought to be beneficial to the economy.

Price stability or a relatively constant level of inflation allows businesses to plan for the future since they know what to expect. The Fed believes that this will promote maximum employment, which is determined by non-monetary factors that fluctuate over time and are therefore subject to change.

For this reason, the Fed doesn't set a specific goal for maximum employment, and it is largely determined by employers' assessments. Maximum employment does not mean zero unemployment, as at any given time there is a certain level of volatility as people vacate and start new jobs.

Hyperinflation is often described as a period of inflation of 50% or more per month.

Monetary authorities also take exceptional measures in extreme conditions of the economy. For instance, following the 2008 financial crisis, the U.S. Fed kept the interest rates near zero and pursued a bond-buying program called quantitative easing (QE) .

Some critics of the program alleged it would cause a spike in inflation in the U.S. dollar, but inflation peaked in 2007 and declined steadily over the next eight years. There are many complex reasons why QE didn't lead to inflation or hyperinflation , though the simplest explanation is that the recession itself was a very prominent deflationary environment, and quantitative easing supported its effects.

Consequently, U.S. policymakers have attempted to keep inflation steady at around 2% per year. The European Central Bank (ECB) has also pursued aggressive quantitative easing to counter deflation in the eurozone, and some places have experienced negative interest rates . That's due to fears that deflation could take hold in the eurozone and lead to economic stagnation.

Moreover, countries that experience higher rates of growth can absorb higher rates of inflation. India's target is around 4% (with an upper tolerance of 6% and a lower tolerance of 2%), while Brazil aims for 3.25% (with an upper tolerance of 4.75% and a lower tolerance of 1.75%).

Meaning of Inflation, Deflation, and Disinflation

While a high inflation rate means that prices are increasing, a low inflation rate does not mean that prices are falling. Counterintuitively, when the inflation rate falls, prices are still increasing, but at a slower rate than before. When the inflation rate falls (but remains positive) this is known as disinflation .

Conversely, if the inflation rate becomes negative, that means that prices are falling. This is known as deflation , which can have negative effects on an economy. Because buying power increases over time, consumers have less incentive to spend money in the short term, resulting in falling economic activity.

Hedging Against Inflation

Stocks are considered to be the best hedge against inflation , as the rise in stock prices is inclusive of the effects of inflation. Since additions to the money supply in virtually all modern economies occur as bank credit injections through the financial system, much of the immediate effect on prices happens in financial assets that are priced in their home currency, such as stocks.

Special financial instruments exist that one can use to safeguard investments against inflation . They include Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) , low-risk treasury security that is indexed to inflation where the principal amount invested is increased by the percentage of inflation.

One can also opt for a TIPS mutual fund or TIPS-based exchange-traded fund (ETF). To get access to stocks, ETFs, and other funds that can help avoid the dangers of inflation, you'll likely need a brokerage account. Choosing a stockbroker can be a tedious process due to the variety among them.

Gold is also considered to be a hedge against inflation, although this doesn't always appear to be the case looking backward.

Examples of Inflation

Since all world currencies are fiat money , the money supply could increase rapidly for political reasons, resulting in rapid price level increases. The most famous example is the hyperinflation that struck the German Weimar Republic in the early 1920s.

The nations that were victorious in World War I demanded reparations from Germany, which could not be paid in German paper currency, as this was of suspect value due to government borrowing. Germany attempted to print paper notes, buy foreign currency with them, and use that to pay their debts.

This policy led to the rapid devaluation of the German mark along with the hyperinflation that accompanied the development. German consumers responded to the cycle by trying to spend their money as fast as possible, understanding that it would be worth less and less the longer they waited. More money flooded the economy, and its value plummeted to the point where people would paper their walls with practically worthless bills. Similar situations occurred in Peru in 1990 and in Zimbabwe between 2007 and 2008.

What Causes Inflation?

There are three main causes of inflation: demand-pull inflation, cost-push inflation, and built-in inflation.

• Demand-pull inflation refers to situations where there are not enough products or services being produced to keep up with demand, causing their prices to increase.
• Cost-push inflation, on the other hand, occurs when the cost of producing products and services rises, forcing businesses to raise their prices.
• Built-in inflation (which is sometimes referred to as a wage-price spiral) occurs when workers demand higher wages to keep up with rising living costs. This in turn causes businesses to raise their prices in order to offset their rising wage costs, leading to a self-reinforcing loop of wage and price increases.

Is Inflation Good or Bad?

Too much inflation is generally considered bad for an economy, while too little inflation is also considered harmful. Many economists advocate for a middle ground of low to moderate inflation, of around 2% per year.

Generally speaking, higher inflation harms savers because it erodes the purchasing power of the money they have saved; however, it can benefit borrowers because the inflation-adjusted value of their outstanding debts shrinks over time.

What Are the Effects of Inflation?

Inflation can affect the economy in several ways. For example, if inflation causes a nation’s currency to decline, this can benefit exporters by making their goods more affordable when priced in the currency of foreign nations.

On the other hand, this could harm importers by making foreign-made goods more expensive. Higher inflation can also encourage spending, as consumers will aim to purchase goods quickly before their prices rise further. Savers, on the other hand, could see the real value of their savings erode, limiting their ability to spend or invest in the future.

Why Is Inflation So High Right Now?

In 2022, inflation rates around the world rose to their highest levels since the early 1980s. While there is no single reason for this rapid rise in global prices, a series of events worked together to boost inflation to such high levels.

The COVID-19 pandemic led to lockdowns and other restrictions that greatly disrupted global supply chains, from factory closures to bottlenecks at maritime ports. Governments also issued stimulus checks and increased unemployment benefits to counter the financial impact on individuals and small businesses. When vaccines became widespread and the economy bounced back, demand (fueled in part by stimulus money and low interest rates) quickly outpaced supply, which still struggled to get back to pre-COVID levels.

Russia's unprovoked invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 led to economic sanctions and trade restrictions on Russia, limiting the world's supply of oil and gas since Russia is a large producer of fossil fuels. Food prices also rose as Ukraine's large grain harvests could not be exported. As fuel and food prices rose, it led to similar increases down the value chains. The Fed raised interest rates to combat the high inflation, which significantly came down in 2023, though it remains above pre-pandemic levels .

The Bottom Line

Inflation is a rise in prices, which results in the decline of purchasing power over time. Inflation is natural and the U.S. government targets an annual inflation rate of 2%; however, inflation can be dangerous when it increases too much, too fast.

Inflation makes items more expensive, especially if wages do not rise by the same levels of inflation. Additionally, inflation erodes the value of some assets, especially cash. Governments and central banks seek to control inflation through monetary policy.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ," Page 1.

Edo, Anthony and Melitz, Jacques. " The Primary Cause of European Inflation in 1500-1700: Precious Metals or Population? The English Evidence ." CEPII Working Paper , October 2019, pp. 13-14. Download PDF.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Consumer Price Index: Overview ."

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Chapter 17. The Consumer Price Index (Updated 2-14-2018) ," Page 2.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Consumer Price Index Chronology ."

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Producer Price Index Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) ," Select "4. How does the Producer Price Index differ from the Consumer Price Index?"

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Producer Price Index Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) ," Select "3. When did the Wholesale Price Index become the Producer Price Index?"

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Producer Price Indexes ."

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Consumer Price Index Historical Tables for U.S. City Average ."

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. " Historical CPI-U ," Page 3.

Adam Smith Institute. " The Cantillion Effect ."

Foundation for Economic Education. " The Current Economic Crisis and the Austrian Theory of the Business Cycle ."

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. " Review of Monetary Policy Strategy, Tools, and Communication ."

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. " What is the Lowest Level of Unemployment that the U.S. Economy Can Sustain? "

Fischer, Stanley and et al. " Modern Hyper- and High Inflations ." Journal of Economic Literature , vol. 40, no. 3, September 2002, pp. 837.

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Congressional Budget Office. " How the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing Affects the Federal Budget ."

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European Central Bank. " How Quantitative Easing Works ."

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• Meaning and Causes of Inflation

Demand-Pull Inflation, Cost-push inflation, Supply-side inflation Open Inflation, Repressed Inflation, Hyper-Inflation, are the different types of inflation . Increase in public spending, hoarding, tax reductions, price rise in international markets are the causes of inflation. These factors lead to rising prices. Also, increasing demands causes higher prices which leads to Inflation. In this article, we will discuss the meaning of inflation and what causes it.

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What is inflation.

According to many classical writers, inflation is a situation when too much money chases too few goods and services. Inflation is measured by the Consumer Price Index(CPI).

Therefore, there is an imbalance between the money supply and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). There are many types of inflation like demand-pull inflation, cost-push inflation, supply-side inflation. But Inflation can be divided into two broad types:

• Open inflation – when the price level in an economy rises continuously and
• Repressed inflation – when the economy suffers from inflation without any apparent rise in prices.

Causes of Inflation

• Primary Causes
• Increase in Public Spending

Deficit Financing of Government Spending

• Increased Velocity of Circulation
• Population Growth
• Genuine Shortage

Trade Unions

• Tax Reduction

The imposition of Indirect Taxes

• Price-rise in the International Markets

Having understood the inflation meaning, let’s take a quick look at the factors that cause inflation.

In an economy, when the demand for a commodity exceeds its supply, then the excess demand pushes the price up. On the other hand, when the factor prices increase, the cost of production rises too. This leads to an increase in the price level as well.

In any modern economy , Government spending is an important element of the total spending. It is also an important determinant of aggregate demand .

Usually, in lesser developed economies, the Govt. spending increases which invariably creates inflationary pressure on the economy.

There are times when the spending of Government increases beyond what taxation can finance. Therefore, in order to incur the extra expenditure, the Government resorts to deficit financing.

For example, it prints more money and spends it. This, in turn, adds to inflationary pressure.

In an economy, the total use of money = the money supply by the Government x the velocity of circulation of money.

When an economy is going through a booming phase, people tend to spend money at a faster rate increasing the velocity of circulation of money.

As the population grows, it increases the total demand in the market. Further, excessive demand creates inflation.

Hoarders are people or entities who stockpile commodities and do not release them to the market. Therefore, there is an artificially created demand excess in the economy. This also leads to inflation.

It is possible that at certain times, the factors of production are short in supply. This affects production. Therefore, supply is less than the demand, leading to an increase in prices and inflation.

In an economy, the total production must fulfill the domestic as well as foreign demand. If it fails to meet these demands, then exports create inflation in the domestic economy.

Trade union work in favor of the employees. As the prices increase, these unions demand an increase in wages for workers. This invariably increases the cost of production and leads to a further increase in prices.

While taxes are known to increase with time, sometimes, Governments reduce taxes to gain popularity among people. The people are happy because they have more money in their hands.

However, if the rate of production does not increase with a corresponding rate, then the excess cash in hand leads to inflation.

Taxes are the primary source of revenue for a Government. Sometimes, Governments impose indirect taxes like excise duty, VAT, etc. on businesses.

As these indirect taxes increase the total cost for the manufacturers and/or sellers, they increase the price of the product to have a minimal impact on their profits.

Some products require to import commodities or factors of production from the international markets like the United States. If these markets raise prices of these commodities or factors of production, then the overall production cost in India increases too. This leads to inflation in the domestic market.

• Non-economic Reasons

There are several non-economic factors which can cause inflation in an economy. For example, if there is a flood, then crops are destroyed. This reduces the supply of agricultural products leading to an increase in the prices of the commodities .

Investment in Gold, Real estate, stocks, mutual funds, and other assets are some of the ways to deal with Inflation.

Solved Question on Meaning and Causes of Inflation

Q1. what is inflation.

Answer: Inflation is a situation when too much money is chasing too few goods and services in an economy. Hence, an imbalance exists between the GDP and the total money supply.

As per Keynes, inflation is an imbalance between the aggregate demand and aggregate supply of goods and services. If the aggregate demand is more than the aggregate supply, prices rise, leading to inflation.

Q2. What are the causes of inflation?

Answer: If the demand for a commodity exceeds its supply, then the excess demand increases the price of the commodity. Also, if the price of the factors of production increases, the price of the commodity increases too. The common causes that led to inflation are:

• Deficit Financing
• Imposition of Indirect Taxes

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Home — Essay Samples — Economics — Political Economy — Inflation

Essays on Inflation

Inflation essay topics and outline examples, essay title 1: understanding inflation: causes, effects, and economic policy responses.

Thesis Statement: This essay provides a comprehensive analysis of inflation, exploring its root causes, the economic and societal effects it generates, and the various policy measures employed by governments and central banks to manage and mitigate inflationary pressures.

• Introduction
• Defining Inflation: Concept and Measurement
• Causes of Inflation: Demand-Pull, Cost-Push, and Monetary Factors
• Effects of Inflation on Individuals, Businesses, and the Economy
• Inflationary Policies: Central Bank Actions and Government Interventions
• Case Studies: Historical Inflationary Periods and Their Consequences
• Challenges in Inflation Management: Balancing Growth and Price Stability

Essay Title 2: Inflation and Its Impact on Consumer Purchasing Power: A Closer Look at the Cost of Living

Thesis Statement: This essay focuses on the effects of inflation on consumer purchasing power, analyzing how rising prices affect the cost of living, household budgets, and the strategies individuals employ to cope with inflation-induced challenges.

• Inflation's Impact on Prices: Understanding the Cost of Living Index
• Consumer Behavior and Inflation: Adjustments in Spending Patterns
• Income Inequality and Inflation: Examining Disparities in Financial Resilience
• Financial Planning Strategies: Savings, Investments, and Inflation Hedges
• Government Interventions: Indexation, Wage Controls, and Social Programs
• The Global Perspective: Inflation in Different Economies and Regions

Essay Title 3: Hyperinflation and Economic Crises: Case Studies and Lessons from History

Thesis Statement: This essay explores hyperinflation as an extreme form of inflation, examines historical case studies of hyperinflationary crises, and draws lessons on the devastating economic and social consequences that result from unchecked inflationary pressures.

• Defining Hyperinflation: Thresholds and Characteristics
• Case Study 1: Weimar Republic (Germany) and the Hyperinflation of 1923
• Case Study 2: Zimbabwe's Hyperinflationary Collapse in the Late 2000s
• Impact on Society: Currency Devaluation, Poverty, and Social Unrest
• Responses and Recovery: Stabilizing Currencies and Rebuilding Economies
• Preventative Measures: Policies to Avoid Hyperinflationary Crises

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