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1. What is Your Venture Capital Investment Thesis

Pre-Curriculum 1: Use the leading Investment Thesis template to craft your investment focus

Investment Thesis for Venture Capital

In order to build a strong venture capital fund, you start with a strong fund Thesis.

What is the fund Thesis?

A fund Thesis is the strategy by which a venture capital fund makes money for the fund investors, called Limited Partners or LPs. It identifies the stage, geography and focus of investments, as well as the unique differentiation of the firm.

A fund Thesis is not for public consumption. It is private for Limited Partners only.

How do you write a compelling fund Thesis?

There are multiple components to a compelling fund Thesis that we have compiled into a simple to follow format. The ideal Thesis should not be longer than 40 words , preferably 35 to 37 words.

“[Fund Name] is launching a [$x MM] [Stage] venture fund in [Country / City] to back [Geography] [Sector / Market Companies] [with Secret Sauce]”

What are the key components of a fund thesis, naming your fund: [fund name] .

When getting started, we recommend using a last name or color, like ‘Ressi Ventures’ or ‘Orange Fund,’ since the Thesis will evolve many times over the first months. After you feel that you have a final Thesis, then choose a name that represents your Thesis.

Fund Size: [$x MM] 

This is the minimum size of committed capital by LPs to the fund. For new managers, the fund size should be no greater than $10 MM. Your goal is to oversubscribe whatever your target fund size is, so aim for a small number.

Investment Stage: [Stage] 

This is the stage of portfolio companies where the fund will enter most investments. Stage is usually based on the fund size and the manager deal access. Most new managers choose angel, pre-seed, or seed as the stage. Limited partners prefer a focused stage over multi-stage funds, especially larger limited partners.

Your Location: [Country / City] 

This is the city or country where the managers are living or plan to live while running the fund. Funds have a life of at least 10 years, so pick a city or country where the managers plan to be for some time. If you are living in a large country, then it is better to specify a city or region, such as “East Coast” versus the “United States.”

Geographic Focus: [Geography] 

This is the geography where the fund will invest in most portfolio companies. The majority of limited partners want a focused geography, such a single country, a set of countries, or a small geographic region. When investing in multiple countries, managers and limited partners face complex legal and tax issues on entering and exiting deals.

Sector Focus: [Sector / Market Companies] 

This is the sector or subsector that the fund will have the most portfolio companies. Target sectors or subsectors need to be in areas that most people understand, such as FinTech, digital health, SaaS, or marketplaces. Do not make up new sectors or phrases, such as “Lazy Tech” or “Innovation Origination.” The sector or subsectors of the Thesis are one of the most important ways to connect with limited partners.

Unique Selling Point: [with Secret Sauce] 

The secret sauce is the applied track record of the managers to the Thesis using metrics to quantify experience and success. The top secret sauce metrics are the following in order: 1. investment exits, 2. investment performance, 3. capital raised, 4. sales closed, 5. companies helped, 6. size of network, 7. years of experience. The secret sauce needs to show why the managers are uniquely qualified to run this fund.

What are some sample fund Theses?

Using the above template, here are some clear and concise thesis examples:

  • Azure Capital is launching a $5 MM pre-seed fund in Toronto to back Canadian AI startups with the GP achieving 15+ successful exits for $3.5 B from a network of 500+ AI scientists.
  • Green Ventures is starting a $7 MM seed fund in Berlin to back European sustainability companies based on a track record of 200% ROI over 5 years of investing in the space.
  • Coral VC is creating a $10 MM angel fund in Sydney to back APAC e-commerce startups leveraging the managers experience helping 5 companies achieve 30% month over month revenue growth in ecommerce.
  • Blue Investments is launching a $2 MM pre-seed fund in São Paulo to back Brazilian Agritech startups from manager’s network of 1,200 leaders built from 20 years as CEO of the leader Agritech supplier in LATAM.
  • Pink Management is launching a $10 MM venture studio fund in Silicon Valley to back studio-created biotech hardware capitalizing on a history of raising over $500 MM for biotech startups and assisting in 20+ FDA approvals.

How specific should your fund Thesis be?

A compelling fund Thesis is very specific about stage, geography and focus to align with the allocation requirements of Limited Partners. A common problem is that New Managers are often afraid to be specific, since they feel it will limit their ability to do hot deals.

A Thesis states the intention of a firm to pursue certain kinds of investments, but is not legally binding in the firm or in the fund agreements. So, a fund Thesis has the effect of gravity. Venture capitalists often can do deals that are far away from the Thesis, but they have less attraction.

How do you refine your fund Thesis?

You will be refining your Thesis heavily for the first few months when forming your fund. A well-defined thesis is specific about stages, geographies, and focus, thus attracting the right LPs while allowing some flexibility. But the first person that you need to satisfy with your thesis is yourself.

Here is an initial exercise to get started that should take about 30 minutes to an hour.

  • First, use the template above and try to write three versions of a potential venture fund thesis. As mentioned above, be as concise and specific as possible.
  • Next, read each of them aloud while recording a video of yourself. Speak conversationally (in the same way you might casually pitch the idea to someone in an elevator), and in one video “take”. 
  • Then, watch the videos and ask yourself if you would realistically invest in that thesis. How clear was the message? How confident was the delivery? What questions come to mind?
  • Finally, revise the thesis and video until you are satisfied with your work. Resist the urge to make the one-sentence thesis a one-page thesis. Remember: brevity is the key. 

What are the next steps?

This is just one part of the first steps to starting a venture capital firm, which include: 

  • What is your Venture Capital Fund Thesis
  • How to Determine Your Venture Capital Fund Size
  • How to Select a Venture Capital Firm Focus
  • How to Determine your Venture Capital Secret Sauce

About The Author

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Adeo Ressi is CEO of Decile Group, powering the next generation of venture capital firms worldwide with an integrated offering of training, tools, support, and funding. Decile Group is the parent of the VC Lab venture capital accelerator, which helped to launch nearly 50% of all new manager firms in 2022. Adeo is also Executive Chairman at the Founder Institute, a pre-seed accelerator with chapters in over 250 cities worldwide and over 5,000 portfolio companies.

Adeo has launched 14 venture capital funds and founded 11 startups, having nearly $2 billion in exits before 30. Adeo previously served on the Board of the X Prize foundation to pursue his interests in space exploration. He studied architecture and spent time living on a commune to explore his interests in designing better ways to live. Adeo is passionate about inspiring people to achieve their potential.

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How to Develop Your Own Investment Thesis: A Critical Step for Aspiring Venture Capitalists

s an aspiring venture capitalist, you hold the key to unlock the untapped potential of startups, propelling them to soaring heights and reshaping industries. But in this electrifying landscape of opportunities, how do you navigate through the ever-changing tides? The answer lies in the essence of venture capital success: developing your own investment thesis.

What exactly is an Investment Thesis?

An investment thesis is your North Star, an illuminating beacon that guides you through the vast ocean of startups, helping you navigate toward the brightest prospects. It's a strategic framework, meticulously crafted to align your investment approach, criteria, and aspirations.

With an investment thesis, you define the types of companies you want to invest in, the industries you're interested in, and the stages of startups you believe have the most potential. It's like setting your preferences and priorities before you begin the journey.

Why is an investment thesis so critical for aspiring venture capitalists? The answer is simple—this well-defined roadmap sets you apart from the crowd and gives you the edge to thrive in this fiercely competitive world. It empowers you to make informed decisions, uncover hidden gems in the startup ecosystem, and unlock the true potential of visionary entrepreneurs.

In this blog post, we will explore the essential steps to create a compelling and potent investment thesis

Getting Started With Your Investment Thesis: Conducting Market Research

At the core of any successful investment thesis lies comprehensive market research. Understanding industry trends, evaluating market opportunities, and assessing the competitive landscape are vital steps to identify lucrative investment prospects. 

Keep a finger on the pulse of the business landscape and stay attuned to shifts and disruptions. Analyze the forces shaping various sectors, from cutting-edge technologies and regulatory changes to changes in consumer behavior. Identifying and understanding these trends will enable you to anticipate the future landscape, positioning you as an astute investor who can spot opportunities before they materialize.

With a keen understanding of industry trends, venture capitalists must evaluate market opportunities with a discerning eye. Look beyond the surface and assess the long-term growth potential of markets and industries. Identify white spaces and areas where innovation is likely to flourish. Be mindful of macroeconomic factors, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and demographic shifts, as they can profoundly influence market dynamics. A comprehensive evaluation of market opportunities will empower you to focus your investments on ventures that have the potential to become tomorrow's industry leaders.

In the vibrant world of startups, competition is the norm. As such, to excel as a venture capitalist, you must also gain a panoramic view of the competitive landscape. Analyze existing players and their strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT analysis). Identify startups that have the potential to disrupt established markets and challenge the status quo. Furthermore, seek out market gaps, where unmet needs and underserved customer segments await innovative solutions. Investing in startups that address these gaps can lead to remarkable returns on investment and foster a positive impact on society.

Market research is not a mere exercise of intuition and speculation; it thrives on data-driven insights. Leverage data analytics, market reports, and industry research to augment your understanding of market trends. Embrace technology and data tools that can provide you with a wealth of information at your fingertips. By making data-driven decisions, you'll foster a more robust investment thesis and bolster your credibility as a venture capitalist.

While conducting market research, it's crucial to remember that the startup ecosystem is dynamic and ever-changing. Be prepared to pivot and adapt your investment thesis in response to new information and shifts in the market. Stay agile and flexible, allowing your investment strategy to evolve as you gain deeper insights. Successful venture capitalists are those who can navigate uncertainty, staying attuned to emerging trends and swiftly adjusting their course to capitalize on unforeseen opportunities.

Defining The Investment Criteria for your Investment Thesis

Once you've gathered market insights, now it’s the fun part - it's time to define your investment criteria. Determine the stages of startups you want to invest in, such as seed, early-stage, or late-stage companies. Consider the industries you're passionate about or have domain expertise in. 

Additionally, establish your preferred investment size and the level of diversification you aim to achieve within your portfolio. Having clear investment criteria will streamline your decision-making process and keep your investments focused on your goals.

Determining the Stages of Startups

Venture capitalists invest in startups at various stages of their lifecycle, each offering distinct opportunities and risks. Deciding which stage aligns best with your expertise and risk appetite is pivotal. Consider if you want to invest in seed-stage companies, which are in their infancy and require significant support, or if you prefer early-stage startups with a product and initial traction. Alternatively, you may focus on later-stage companies that are scaling and need capital to expand rapidly. Your chosen stage will dictate your involvement level and the potential return horizon of your investments.

Geographical Preferences and Target Industries

Venture capital is a global endeavor, and you can choose to invest locally, regionally, or even globally. Geographical preferences may be influenced by factors like your network, knowledge of specific markets, and comfort with regulatory environments. Moreover, identifying the industries you're passionate about or have domain expertise in is crucial. Investing in industries you understand well will allow you to provide strategic value to the startups you support, beyond just financial backing.

Investment Size and Portfolio Diversification

The size of your investments and portfolio diversification strategy are interlinked. Determine the average investment size you are comfortable with, as this will influence the types of startups you can back. Some venture capitalists prefer larger, concentrated bets on a select few startups, while others spread their investments across a broader range of smaller companies to diversify risk. Striking the right balance is key—too few investments can expose you to concentrated risk, while too many might dilute your ability to provide adequate support to each startup.

Alignment with Personal Values and Objectives

As an aspiring venture capitalist, your investment criteria should be in harmony with your personal values and long-term objectives. Consider what impact you want to make through your investments. Are you driven by social impact, environmental sustainability, or a particular mission? Aligning your investment criteria with your values will not only enhance your satisfaction as an investor but may also attract entrepreneurs who share your passion, fostering a mutually rewarding relationship.

Market Fit and Growth Potential

While defining your investment criteria, focus on identifying startups that exhibit strong market fit and immense growth potential. Market fit refers to the startup's ability to address a specific problem or need in the market effectively. Investigate whether the startup's product or service resonates with its target audience and has the potential for widespread adoption. Moreover, evaluate the scalability of the business model, as this will determine the startup's growth trajectory and its potential to become a market leader.

Synergy with Your Expertise and Network

Leverage your expertise and network to your advantage when defining your investment criteria. Aligning with startups that can benefit from your insights and connections will create a symbiotic relationship. As an investor, you can offer more than just financial support; your guidance and connections can be invaluable in helping startups navigate challenges and scale their businesses. Synergy with your expertise and network can significantly enhance your value proposition as a venture capitalist.

Balancing Risk and Return

Investing in startups inherently involves risk, and your investment criteria should reflect your risk appetite and tolerance. Strive for a balance between risk and potential return that aligns with your investment objectives. High-growth startups often carry higher risk, but they can also offer substantial rewards.

On the other hand, more established companies may provide a steadier return, albeit with potentially lower growth potential. Understanding this balance is essential in defining your investment criteria and building a well-rounded portfolio.

Balancing risk and potential returns is a fine art, and your investment thesis should outline how you plan to approach this delicate balance. Furthermore, learn to measure and quantify risk in the startup ecosystem using various risk assessment techniques to make informed investment choices.

Identifying Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) for Your Investment Thesis

Key Performance Indicators are quantifiable metrics that provide critical insights into the performance and achievements of a business. By tracking relevant KPIs, venture capitalists can assess the overall health and direction of a startup, enabling them to support portfolio companies effectively. Moreover, KPIs offer a basis for comparison, allowing you to benchmark a startup's progress against its peers and industry standards.

Tailoring KPIs to Startup Stages and Industries

While KPIs share a common goal of tracking performance, their significance can vary significantly based on the stage and industry of a startup. For example, early-stage companies might prioritize metrics related to customer acquisition, retention, and product-market fit. In contrast, late-stage startups might focus on revenue growth, customer lifetime value, and profitability. Tailoring KPIs to suit the unique needs and challenges of each startup stage and industry is vital for meaningful performance assessment.

Selecting Actionable and Measurable Metrics

When identifying KPIs, seek metrics that are both actionable and measurable. Actionable KPIs provide clear guidance on how to improve performance, helping startups identify areas that need attention and enhancement. Measurable KPIs, on the other hand, are quantifiable, allowing you to track progress and changes over time. The ability to take action based on KPIs and measure their impact ensures a proactive approach to enhancing a startup's performance.

Common KPIs in Venture Capital

While KPIs can be highly specific to individual startups and industries, certain metrics have proven valuable across the venture capital landscape. Some common KPIs include:

Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC): The cost to acquire a new customer, helping evaluate marketing efficiency.

Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR): Provides insight into the company's predictable revenue stream.

Customer Churn Rate: Measures customer retention and the ability to maintain long-term 

relationships.

Burn Rate: Tracks how quickly a startup is spending its capital, indicating runway and sustainability.

Gross and Net Profit Margins: Assessing revenue generation and cost efficiency.

Customer Lifetime Value (CLV): Estimates the value of a customer over their entire engagement with the startup.

The Power of Data-Driven Decision Making

KPIs are not merely numbers on a dashboard; they fuel data-driven decision-making. By continuously monitoring KPIs, you can identify strengths, weaknesses, and potential roadblocks. Data-driven insights enable you to provide tailored guidance and support to your portfolio companies, helping them navigate challenges and seize growth opportunities.

Building a Well-defined Due Diligence Process

A well-structured due diligence process empowers you to make informed decisions, mitigates risks, and will help you identify the startups that align best with your investment thesis!

Let's delve deeper into the key steps involved in building an effective due diligence process so you can include it on your Investment Thesis:

1. Defining Your Due Diligence Objectives

Start by clarifying your objectives for the due diligence process. What key aspects do you want to evaluate in potential startups? Identify the critical areas of focus, such as market opportunity, team capabilities, competitive landscape, financials, and scalability. Setting clear objectives ensures that you leave no stone unturned while assessing potential investments.

2. Gathering Essential Information

Begin the process by collecting comprehensive data and information about the startup under consideration. Request financial statements, market research, business plans, and any other relevant documentation. Engage in one-on-one discussions with the startup's founders and management team to gain insights into their vision, strategy, and execution plans. Gathering essential information lays the groundwork for a detailed evaluation.

3. Market Analysis

Conduct a thorough market analysis to assess the startup's positioning within its industry. Analyze market trends, potential for growth, competitive landscape, and potential threats. Understanding the market dynamics helps you gauge the startup's competitive advantage and potential for success.

4. Team Evaluation

Evaluate the startup's team to understand their expertise, experience, and alignment with the company's vision. Assess the cohesiveness and complementarity of the team, as a strong and capable team is a significant factor in a startup's success.

5. Financial Due Diligence

Perform rigorous financial due diligence to examine the startup's financial health and viability. Analyze revenue streams, cost structures, cash flow, and projections. Scrutinize financial ratios and indicators to assess the startup's financial sustainability and growth potential.

6. Product and Technology Assessment

Evaluate the startup's product or technology to gauge its uniqueness and potential market fit. Understand the value proposition it offers to customers and how it addresses market needs. Assess the scalability and defensibility of the product or technology to ensure long-term competitiveness.

7. Legal and Regulatory Review

Conduct a legal and regulatory review to identify any potential legal risks or compliance issues. Scrutinize contracts, licenses, intellectual property rights, and any pending legal disputes. Ensuring the startup operates within legal bounds safeguards your investment from unnecessary risks.

8. Customer and Partner Feedback

Gather feedback from customers, partners, and industry experts to gain external perspectives on the startup's product or service. Their insights can validate the startup's market fit, customer satisfaction, and potential for growth.

9. Risk Analysis

Identify and assess potential risks associated with the investment. Consider market risks, operational risks, technological risks, and competitive risks. A thorough risk analysis helps you make informed decisions about risk-reward trade-offs.

10. Decision-Making and Post-Investment Monitoring

Based on the findings from the due diligence process, make data-driven decisions on whether to invest in the startup. If you decide to proceed, establish a monitoring plan to track the startup's progress and performance after the investment. Continuously monitor the startup's performance against the initially defined objectives and pivot if needed.

Refining Your Thesis and Iterating

It’s also important to keep in mind that an investment thesis should not be static; it should evolve with your experiences and the changing market dynamics. Embrace flexibility and adaptability, and be open to learning from both successful and unsuccessful investments. As you gain insights from your portfolio companies and the market, update and refine your investment thesis to enhance its effectiveness continually!

Developing your own investment thesis is a critical step for aspiring venture capitalists. It provides you with a structured approach to identify and seize opportunities in the dynamic startup ecosystem. 

Through comprehensive market research, clear investment criteria, risk assessment, and an adaptable approach, your investment thesis will act as a guiding force throughout your venture capital journey. Embrace the continuous learning process, and don't hesitate to iterate and refine your thesis as you gain experience in the thrilling world of venture capital.

Interested in the full research paper?

You might also like, decoding pre-seed and seed funding: a comprehensive guide for entrepreneurs, space, the final frontier of vc: investing in the new space race, venturing into madtech: revolutionizing marketing tech, crisis resilience in vc: how the industry responds to economic challenges, mastering salary negotiations: insider tips for analyst and associate vc positions, vc titans of the past: lessons from legendary investors who shaped the industry, about goingvc.

GoingVC is built around the idea of making venture capital education, investing, networks, and talent more accessible to those with the desire to succeed.

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sample investment thesis venture capital

How to Create an Investment Thesis

What it is, why you want one, and how to create it.

sample investment thesis venture capital

One of the essential elements in a venture capital firm is the investment thesis. The thesis can come in many varieties, from broad and loosely defined focuses to a specific vertical and company stage. On the other hand, some investors choose to allocate capital without a core thesis driving their decisions and see success in this strategy. This post will define an investment thesis, why investors decide to develop one, and some tips on creating one.

What is an investment thesis?

Simply put, the investment thesis is an assumption made about a market, vertical, or trend that will drive the strategy for a particular firm or fund. Just as a startup will assume a problem or market need and build a product around solving that problem, an investor will consider various markets and trends and develop an investment strategy focused on that assumption.

Why develop an investment thesis?

The thesis is the driving force behind what a firm chooses to focus on to generate returns. It will be a fundamental part of how VCs decide what to look for in specific markets, source deals, and where they ultimately decide to invest their capital. The thesis helps keep a firm focused, allowing investors to work within particular parameters when they go about their business.

There are a couple of advantages to having a thesis-driven approach as a venture capital firm. It will drive relationships that the firm pursues. This relationship driver applies to how firms source deals from an investment standpoint and choose their limited partners. These relationships with experts in a particular vertical will help portfolio companies with mentorship, independent board seats, and talent sourcing.

A thesis compels VCs to be experts within their particular field. If a firm bases its thesis around FinTech, it will most likely have some expertise in that field. This knowledge will help them understand the marketplace, specific problems a startup is trying to solve and judge founder talent. The firm will also be a thought leader in the space by releasing analysis and reporting trends in the industry. Lastly, the firm's partners will be a better value-add to the companies within their portfolio, paving a quicker path for a startup's growth and success.

Example of a thesis

A16Z , a prominent Silicon Valley firm, has several different areas they invest in, from FinTech to Growth to Consumer focused startups. Below is their investment thesis for their FinTech portfolio:

"Fintech companies are innovating across broad categories — in banking, lending, insurance, real estate, and investing — both on the customer-facing side and in core infrastructure. We believe the combination of mobile, digital money, machine learning, and new data sources offers startups a unique opportunity to leapfrog outdated infrastructure and compete with incumbent financial institutions to reimagine the way we manage our finances." Source

We understand that the firm focuses on startups that use mobile and machine learning to innovate on financial management through this statement. This thesis has helped drive the firm's investments in Stripe (now valued at $36B) and Carta (currently valued at $3.3B).

For an awesome hub of investment thesis examples, check out this link !

How to build an investment thesis

When developing a thesis, there are vital things to keep in mind:

Markets : Start with market sizing to make sure that a particular industry is worth pursuing. We will discuss market sizing strategies in a future post.

Trends: Understand macro trends impacting the markets and industries that you determine are big enough to pursue.

Companies : Break down each company within a market that has upside potential. Look at recent companies that have seen success within your specific industry focus.

Exits : Make sure there is an exciting exit environment for companies in that particular segment. You want your investments to see a return through going public or M&A activity.

Tips on the above:

Things to think about defining in a thesis would be company stage, geography, vertical, or market.

People tend to want a fully-formed thesis right off the bat, but it's an iterative process. The scrum process might be three months, but the full process can take a year before talking about a thesis publicly.

Have a hunch on something that isn't fully formed and then test it out:

Go out and talk to entrepreneurs.

Talk to buyers of the technology.

Form relationships with ecosystem partners.

Incrementally improve your thesis based on feedback and results.

For some more tips and strategies on creating a thesis, check out this informative Medium post .

Final thoughts

The thesis can help you stay focused and is your north star. For startups, it will help them target your firm. For LPs, it will help them judge your conviction and investment strategy. When developing a thesis, think about taking on big problems and big ideas. There are so many significant issues to be solved globally, and we have a golden opportunity to help solve them. Think big, and don't limit yourself only to ideas on making returns for investors, but how to impact the world.

This story is from Sutton Capital contributor Zeb Hastings. For more information on Zeb’s work, please visit his  website .

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Investment Thesis: An Argument in Support of Investing Decisions

October 29, 2023 by Abi Tyas Tunggal

An investment thesis is a well-reasoned argument that supports a specific investment decision, playing a vital role in the strategic planning process for individual investors and businesses alike. It comprises detailed research and analysis to evaluate an investment's potential profitability. A good investment thesis serves multiple purposes, including helping in the decision-making process, providing a comprehensive framework for monitoring and assessment, and offering a structured approach to identifying potential opportunities.

There are different types of investment strategies, such as venture capital , private equity, and long-term value investments. The core of an investment thesis involves identifying key parameters for evaluating an investment, understanding the unique market dynamics and competitive landscape, and realizing how to create value through strategic planning. To ensure a comprehensive and detailed investment thesis, it is crucial to involve thorough research, considering emerging trends and opportunities, and incorporating industry case studies for better understanding. Ultimately, financial statements and valuation metrics play a significant role in determining a well-suited investment decision.

Key Takeaways

  • An investment thesis is a well-reasoned, research-based argument supporting a specific investment decision
  • There are several types of investment strategies, and a well-structured investment thesis addresses market dynamics and competition to create value
  • Research, valuation metrics, and understanding emerging trends are crucial in crafting a compelling investment ideas

Defining an Investment Thesis

An investment thesis is a well-structured, logical argument that justifies a particular investment decision, based on thorough research and analysis. It is essential for investors, as well as financial professionals in the domains of investment banking, private equity, hedge funds, and venture capital funds . A confident and knowledgeable investor will build out clear investment criteria to successfully navigate the investment landscape.

The primary purpose of an investment thesis is to outline the reasons and expected outcomes of a proposed investment, often focusing on the potential for growth and profit. This document offers a roadmap for investors, guiding them through their decision-making process, and helping to ensure that they arrive at rational and informed conclusions. A comprehensive investment thesis should consider various aspects, such as market conditions, competitive landscape, and financial performance of the targeted asset or company.

A strong investment thesis is built on rigorous market research and analysis. This involves evaluating historical and current financial information, as well as scrutinizing industry trends and the overall economic environment. Skilled investors will also incorporate their expertise in the industry to better assess the merits of an investment opportunity. This level of thoroughness creates a confidently expressed thesis, allowing investors to remain steadfast in their investment decisions, even amid market volatility.

In summary, an investment thesis plays a pivotal role in the investing process. It presents a well-reasoned argument, grounded in extensive research and clear analysis, that supports an investment decision. Crafting a robust investment thesis is crucial for both individual and institutional investors as it provides a solid foundation for investment choices and ensures the alignment of investment strategies with long-term objectives.

Importance of Research in Crafting an Investment Thesis

Thorough research is a crucial aspect of creating a solid investment thesis. It allows investors to gather vital information and insights that will help guide their investment decisions. There are several elements to consider while conducting this research, with data analysis, understanding risks, and returns being essential components.

Data Analysis

Data analysis forms the backbone of any research conducted for crafting an investment thesis. It involves collecting, organizing, and interpreting various types of data, such as financial statements, market trends, and industry forecasts, to identify patterns and make informed predictions about a potential investment opportunity. A comprehensive data analysis can help investors make confident choices based on reliable information, which is essential for a successful investment strategy.

Some key data analysis techniques used in crafting an investment thesis include:

  • Comparative analysis: Comparing the performance of different companies within the same industry to identify investment opportunities.
  • Trend analysis: Monitoring historical data to determine patterns and potential future developments.
  • Financial statement analysis: Examining the financial health of a company through its balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.

Understanding Risks and Returns

One of the primary goals of research in developing an investment thesis is to assess the risk/reward profile of a potential investment. This involves evaluating the potential risks associated with the investment and weighing them against the expected returns. A sound investment thesis should demonstrate a clear understanding of these risks and offer a rationale for why the investment’s potential returns make it a worthwhile addition to a portfolio.

Some common risks to consider when crafting an investment thesis include:

  • Market risk: The risk of an investment losing value due to fluctuations in the market.
  • Credit risk: The risk that a company or issuer of a financial instrument may default on its obligations.
  • Operational risk: The risk of losses arising from failed internal processes, systems, or personnel within a business.

Evaluating these risks requires investors to develop a deep understanding of the investment opportunity, its industry, and the factors that may impact its performance. A diligent and systematic approach to research can help investors identify potential risks and gains, leading to informed and confident decision-making in crafting a strong investment thesis.

Types of Investment Strategy

When it comes to crafting an investment thesis, selecting an appropriate investment strategy is crucial. In this section, we will discuss two popular strategies: Value Investing and Growth Investing.

Value Investing

Value investing is a strategy that focuses on identifying undervalued stocks or assets in the market. These investments typically have lower valuations, which are reflected in their price-to-earnings ratios or book values. The central idea behind value investing is that the market may sometimes undervalue a company or asset, presenting an opportunity for investors willing to do thorough research and analysis.

The process of value investing involves:

  • Fundamental analysis : Evaluating a company's financial health, management, and competitive advantages
  • Value metrics : Identifying various valuation metrics, such as price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and dividend yield
  • Margin of safety : Discovering investment opportunities with a built-in cushion to reduce the risk of loss

Famous investors, such as Warren Buffett and Benjamin Graham, have implemented value investing strategies to achieve long-term success.

Growth Investing

On the other hand, growth investing centers on companies that are expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to their industry. Growth investors seek opportunities in businesses they believe will offer substantial capital appreciation through rapid expansion or market-share gains. They prioritize the potential for future profit over the stock's valuation.

Features of growth investing include:

  • High expectations : Companies targeted by growth investors typically have a history of robust revenue and profit growth
  • Momentum : Investors seek stocks with upward price momentum, as increasing demand for these stocks may drive prices even higher
  • Risk tolerance : Growth stocks can be volatile, and investors must be prepared to weather price swings

Renowned growth investors like Peter Lynch and Phil Fisher have demonstrated the effectiveness of growth investing throughout their careers.

Both value and growth investing strategies have their unique advantages and require different levels of risk tolerance. Investors should carefully consider their investment thesis and select a strategy that aligns with their objectives and risk appetite.

Venture Capital and Private Equity Investment Theses

When considering investments in private companies, venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE) firms each have their own unique strategies encapsulated within their respective investment theses. These theses provide guidance on the focus of investments, the sectors or geographies of interest, and the stage of the target companies.

Learn more about the differences between private equity and venture capital .

Venture Capital Investment Thesis

A venture capital investment thesis outlines how a VC fund aims to make money for its investors, typically referred to as Limited Partners (LPs). This strategy identifies crucial factors such as the stage of companies the fund will invest in, commonly early-stage companies, the targeted geography, and specific sectors of focus.

The thesis may vary depending on a venture capitalist's unique specialization, with some firms concentrating on a specific vertical and stage, while others invest more broadly without a core thesis driving their decisions. The underlying objective of a VC investment thesis is to outline how the firm will achieve high returns on investment by supporting and nurturing the growth of portfolio companies.

Private Equity Investment Thesis

In contrast, a private equity investment thesis is an evidence-based case in support of a particular investment opportunity. It usually begins with a concise argument illustrating how the potential deal supports the fund's general investment strategy. The thesis then provides details that substantiate this preliminary conclusion.

Private equity firms often target more established companies compared to venture capital firms, focusing on businesses with a proven track record. The PE investment thesis may identify areas where operational improvements, strategic mergers, or better capital structures could enhance value, ultimately generating a good return for the firm and its investors.

Overall, both venture capital and private equity investment theses serve as critical frameworks guiding investment decisions. They not only help align these decisions with a firm's specialized strategy but also provide a basis for evaluating potential deals to ensure they contribute to the firm's goals and long-term value creation.

Key Parameters for Evaluating an Investment

When assessing the viability of an investment, it is essential to examine various key parameters to make informed decisions. By analyzing these factors, investors can gain a deeper understanding of a company's financial health and its potential for growth.

One vital metric to consider is earnings per share (EPS) , which represents the portion of a company's profit attributed to each outstanding share of its common stock. A higher EPS indicates higher earnings and suggests that the company may be a lucrative investment opportunity.

Another fundamental metric is the return on assets (ROA) , which measures the effectiveness of a company in using its assets to generate profit. The higher the ROA, the better the company is at utilizing its assets to generate earnings. Similarly, return on equity (ROE) is a measure of financial performance that calculates the proportion of net income generated by a company's equity. A higher ROE demonstrates the efficient usage of shareholders' investments.

Conducting a thorough analysis of the company's financial statements is crucial. This includes reviewing income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements. By doing so, investors can gain insights into the company's profitability, liquidity, and solvency.

Another important factor to consider is a company's cash position. Adequate cash reserves enable a company to meet its short-term obligations and invest in growth opportunities. On the other hand, a lack of cash can leave a company vulnerable to market fluctuations and financial stress.

It is also essential to evaluate a company's capital structure, which refers to the proportion of debt and equity financing it uses to fund its operations. A balanced capital structure ensures financial stability, while excessive debt may lead to financial distress.

Examining a company's debt level is crucial, as it can directly impact the company's financial flexibility and risk profile. A high level of debt can hinder a company's ability to grow and adapt to changes in the market, making it a less attractive investment option.

Assessing a company's assets and how they're managed plays a significant role in evaluating an investment opportunity. This includes tangible assets, such as property and equipment, and intangible assets, such as patents and trademarks. Effective asset management contributes to a company's ability to generate profit.

Finally, it is important to scrutinize a company's costs associated with its operations, such as production costs and overhead expenses. A company that efficiently manages its costs will likely generate higher profitability and provide better returns for investors.

Creating Value through Strategic Planning

Strategic planning plays a crucial role in creating value for investors and businesses. It serves as the foundation for effective decision-making and guides companies towards achieving their goals. Through strategic planning, management teams can identify and focus on core competencies that contribute to a company's competitive advantage.

One way to create value is to prioritize revenue growth. By identifying key growth drivers, such as product innovation or market expansion, companies can allocate resources accordingly to boost earnings. Such targeted investments in growth engines allow firms to capture a larger market share and drive long-term profitability.

Another aspect of strategic planning involves optimizing a company's holdings. By assessing the existing portfolio, management can decide whether to divest underperforming assets or make strategic acquisitions that align with their investment thesis. The right combinations and adjustments can significantly enhance a company's overall performance and shareholder value.

Risk management is also an essential aspect of strategic planning. Companies must assess potential risks and incorporate suitable mitigation measures in their plans. This ensures that organizations are prepared for unforeseen circumstances, which can safeguard profits and protect the company's assets.

Furthermore, creating value requires continuous improvement and adaptation to market trends. Companies should routinely reevaluate their strategies to identify both internal and external factors that may impact their current position. By setting clearly defined objectives and quantifiable financial targets, management teams can measure their progress effectively and adjust their strategic plans as needed.

In summary , creating value through strategic planning involves a combination of focusing on core competencies, prioritizing revenue growth, optimizing holdings, managing risk, and continuously reassessing the company's strategic direction. This holistic approach can help businesses enhance their profitability, strengthen their market position, and ultimately deliver strong value creation to investors.

Understanding the Market and Competition

Before developing an investment thesis, it is crucial to have a deep understanding of the market and its competition. The stock market is influenced by various factors such as economic supercycles, bear markets, and secular trends. Analyzing these elements will provide a solid foundation to recognize potential investment opportunities.

An economic supercycle is a long-term pattern that occurs over several decades, during which the economy undergoes periods of growth and contraction. Investors need to be aware of the current phase and how it may impact their investment decisions. For instance, during a growth period, certain industries tend to outperform, while others may underperform during a contraction phase.

In addition to analyzing these market conditions, investors must also pay heed to the competitive landscape of the sector in which they plan to invest. Examining the competitors within the industry enables one to identify companies with competitive advantages, which may lead to superior performance. These advantages can stem from factors such as lower costs, innovation, or a dominant market share.

A bear market occurs when the stock market experiences a prolonged decline, typically characterized by a decrease of 20% or more from recent highs. In such environments, it becomes even more crucial for investors to understand the competitive dynamics within an industry to identify resilient companies that can withstand market downturns.

A secular trend is a long-term movement in a particular direction that can last for several years or even decades. Identifying secular trends within industries is essential to spotting opportunities for long-term growth. For example, investors may capitalize on sectors benefiting from a shift towards clean energy usage or the increasing importance of artificial intelligence.

In summary, understanding the market and competition requires a deep analysis of the stock market, economic supercycles, bear markets, and secular trends. By researching industry trends, evaluating market opportunities, and assessing the strengths and weaknesses of competitors, investors can develop a robust investment thesis that increases the likelihood of achieving long-term returns.

Industry Case Studies

In the investment world, the importance of an investment thesis cannot be overstated. By examining various industry case studies, we can gain insight into how businesses make strategic investments to enhance their value. In this section, we'll discuss notable examples from companies such as DuPont, General Motors, Rexam PLC, and Clear Channel Communications.

DuPont is a leading science and innovation company with a focus on agriculture, advanced materials, and industrial biosciences. During its acquisition of Dow Chemical, DuPont developed a robust investment thesis to justify the merger. Their investment case relied on the belief that the combined entity would benefit from increased operational efficiencies, new market opportunities, and enhanced innovation capabilities. This approach provided a strong rationale for the deal, which has created a more competitive company in the global market.

General Motors (GM) , a multinational automobile manufacturer, crafted its investment thesis in response to evolving trends in the automotive industry, such as the increasing importance of emissions reduction, electrification, and autonomous technology. GM's investment case centered on embracing these trends, focusing on innovation, and expanding its product offerings through strategic M&A, investments, and partnerships. For example, GM has made significant investments in electric vehicles and autonomous driving technology, positioning the company for future growth in these areas.

Next, we have Rexam PLC , a former British packaging manufacturer that was a leading producer of beverage cans globally. When Ball Corporation sought to acquire Rexam, they developed an investment thesis based on the value derived from combining the two companies' strengths. This thesis outlined the strategic fit between both companies, synergies from combining production capabilities, and projected growth, particularly in developing markets. The successful acquisition helped Ball Corporation consolidate its position as a global leader in the packaging industry.

Lastly, Clear Channel Communications is a media company specializing in outdoor advertising. As the company sought to expand its presence in this sector, it created an investment thesis centered around leveraging its core competence in outdoor advertising and acquiring strategic assets. One example is Clear Channel's acquisition of crucial billboard locations to solidify its competitive edge in the outdoor advertising market. This targeted growth strategy has allowed Clear Channel to remain a dominant player in the industry.

In conclusion, these industry case studies demonstrate the value of a well-crafted investment thesis. Effective investment theses provide a roadmap for companies to pursue strategic acquisitions and investments that create long-term value, while also helping investors evaluate the viability of proposed deals. By understanding how companies like DuPont, General Motors, Rexam PLC, and Clear Channel Communications have strategically invested in the market, we can better appreciate the importance of a well-structured investment thesis.

Long-Term Investment Strategies

A long-term investment strategy refers to an approach where investors hold onto their investments for an extended period, typically more than one year. This type of strategy aims to achieve the investment goal by allowing assets to grow through market fluctuations and capitalizing on the power of compounding interest. Diversification and patience play pivotal roles in ensuring the success of a long-term investment strategy.

Portfolio managers often use various techniques and methods to craft long-term investment portfolios. Some of these techniques include targeting undervalued sectors or stocks, dividend reinvestment plans, dollar-cost averaging, and asset allocation. By employing these strategies, portfolio managers increase chances of achieving their clients' investment goals over time.

In order to develop long-term investment strategies, investors should first define their investment goal . This could include objectives such as saving for retirement, funding a child's college education, or purchasing a home. Clear investment goals help in designing an appropriate investment strategy, taking into account factors like the investor's risk tolerance, time horizon, and available capital.

One key aspect of a successful long-term strategy is diversification . Diversifying across asset classes and industries allows investors to spread risks and potentially achieve higher risk-adjusted returns. A well-diversified portfolio will typically consist of a mix of stocks, bonds, and other asset types, with variations in investment size, industry sector, and geographical location. This diversified approach minimizes the impact of underperforming investments on the overall portfolio.

Another crucial element in long-term investing is patience . Market fluctuations can be tempting for investors to react to their emotions and make impulsive decisions, which could derail a well-thought-out investment strategy. Maintaining a disciplined approach and sticking to one's investment plan, even during periods of market volatility, is paramount to achieving long-term success.

In conclusion, long-term investment strategies require investors to define clear goals, diversify their portfolio, and exercise patience in the face of market fluctuations. By adhering to these principles, investors and portfolio managers can steer a course towards achieving their investment objectives.

Emerging Trends and Opportunities

In recent years, various emerging trends have presented attractive opportunities for investors. Among these trends, renewable energy, megatrends, and the coffee shop market stand out as sectors with significant potential for growth.

Renewable energy has gained considerable attention and investment as a response to the global push for addressing climate change and reducing emissions. Solar, wind, and hydroelectric power are some of the most prominent technologies in this sector. With an increased interest in clean energy from both governments and consumers, companies in this space are poised to experience substantial growth.

Megatrends such as urbanization, aging populations, and technological advancements are also influencing investment opportunities. These large-scale shifts provide a backdrop for businesses to tap into new markets and adjust their strategies to capitalize on these changes. For instance, companies working in healthcare and biotechnology may benefit from catering to the needs of an aging population, while businesses focused on artificial intelligence (AI) and automation may find increased demand due to technological advancements.

The coffee shop market, too, presents investment opportunities. This industry has experienced robust growth in recent years as consumers increasingly seek out unique, high-quality coffee experiences. Independent and specialty coffee shops are at the forefront of this trend. Niche coffee shops that offer novel and authentic experiences have seen success by catering to the specialized preferences of today's consumers. As the demand for artisanal and premium beverages continues to rise, businesses operating in this space can expect to have ample opportunities for growth.

In conclusion, current emerging trends such as renewable energy, megatrends, and the coffee shop market offer a wealth of investment opportunities. As these sectors continue to develop and evolve, investors with well-informed investment theses stand to benefit from the potential rewards in these growing industries.

Role of Financial Statements and Valuation Metrics

Financial statements play a vital role in the investment thesis by providing crucial information about a company's financial health and performance. They consist of the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, which offer insights into the company's assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and cash flows. Investors use these statements to assess the company's past performance, current financial condition, and potential for future growth.

Valuation metrics, on the other hand, are vital yardsticks that investors use to compare different investment opportunities and make informed decisions. These metrics include price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, price-to-book (P/B) ratio, dividend yield, and return on equity (ROE), among others. By analyzing these ratios, investors can gauge a company's value relative to its peers and make better investment choices.

Analysts and investors scrutinize financial statements to identify growth trends, profitability, and financial stability. For instance, they may calculate the gross margin, operating margin, and net profit margin to determine the company's profitability across different stages of its operations. Additionally, they examine liquidity ratios, such as the current ratio and quick ratio, to assess the company's ability to meet its short-term obligations.

Valuation metrics provide a quantitative basis for comparing investment opportunities within the same industry or across different sectors. For example, a lower P/E ratio may indicate that a stock is undervalued, while a high P/E ratio might suggest overvaluation. Moreover, the P/B ratio can help investors determine if a stock is undervalued by comparing its market price to its book value.

Another key valuation metric is the dividend yield, which measures the annual dividend income per share relative to the stock's price. A higher dividend yield may attract income-oriented investors, while a lower yield might be more appealing to growth-focused investors. Furthermore, the ROE ratio, which measures a company's profitability in relation to its equity base, is an essential metric for evaluating the efficiency of management in creating shareholder value.

In conclusion, financial statements and valuation metrics are indispensable tools for investors to evaluate a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. By analyzing these data points, investors can make well-informed investment decisions that align with their risk tolerance and investment objectives.

Concluding Thoughts on Crafting a Compelling Investment Thesis

Crafting a compelling investment thesis is crucial for informed investing decisions, as it helps investors thoroughly analyze a potential opportunity. A well-researched investment thesis demonstrates the investor's conviction level and reinforces their confidence in the investment choice. This process involves a deep understanding of the business, its value drivers, and its potential growth trajectories.

A strong investment thesis should be definitive, clearly articulating the reasoning behind the opportunity and the expected returns. This allows investors to stay focused on their goals and maintain their conviction, even when the stock's price movement does not align with their expectations.

By adopting a confident, knowledgeable, and neutral tone, investors can effectively communicate their investment thesis to others. Clarity in presenting the investment case is essential for persuading potential partners or stakeholders to support the opportunity. Utilizing formatting tools such as tables and bullet points can aid in conveying essential information efficiently and ensuring the investment thesis is easy to understand.

In summary, crafting a compelling investment thesis enables investors to make well-informed decisions that align with their financial goals. By developing a thorough understanding of the investment opportunity and maintaining a strong conviction level, investors can better navigate the market and achieve long-term success.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do you develop a strong investment thesis.

A strong investment thesis begins with thorough research on the company or asset in question. This may include looking at the financials, competitive position, management team, industry trends, and future prospects. It's essential to critically analyze the available information, identify potential risks and rewards, and establish a clear rationale for the investment based on this analysis. Staying focused on the long-term outlook and maintaining a disciplined approach to the investment process can also contribute to developing a robust investment thesis.

What are the key elements to include in an investment thesis?

An investment thesis should include the following key elements:

  • Overview of the company or asset: Provide a brief background of the company or asset, including its market, size, and competitive positioning.
  • Investment rationale: Detail the reasons for investing, such as attractive valuation, strong revenue growth, or a unique business model.
  • Risk assessment: Identify potential risks and how they could impact the investment returns.
  • Expected return: Estimate the potential financial return based on the identified growth drivers or catalysts.
  • Time horizon: Indicate the investment period, typically long-term, during which the thesis is expected to play out.
  • Fund size: Specify the amount of invested capital that will be allocated to this particular investment, considering its impact on portfolio construction, liquidity, and potential returns within the overall portfolio strategy

How can one evaluate the success of an investment thesis?

Evaluating the success of an investment thesis involves tracking the progress of the company or asset against its initial expectations and underlying assumptions. This may involve measuring financial performance, analyzing key developments in the industry and the company's position within it, and monitoring potential changes in overall market conditions. It is helpful to revisit the investment thesis regularly to assess its validity and make adjustments as necessary.

What's the difference between an investment thesis for startups and publicly traded companies?

An investment thesis for a startup often focuses on the growth potential of a new or emerging market, considering the innovative products or services the startup offers in that market. Here, the focus may be more on the potential for long-term value creation, the management team's ability to execute on their vision, and market fit.

For publicly traded companies, the investment thesis may include analysis of current financial performance, valuation multiples, and overall market trends. Publicly traded companies have more historical data and financial performance information available, allowing investors to make more informed decisions based on these factors.

How does an investment thesis guide decision-making in private equity?

In private equity, the investment thesis helps guide the selection of companies to invest in, as well as the structuring of deals to acquire those companies. It provides a blueprint for how the private equity firm aims to create value, including plans for operational improvements, financial engineering, or growth strategies. This thesis serves as a basis for monitoring the progress of an investment and helps make decisions on the timing of potential exits.

How can real estate investment theses differ from other sectors?

Real estate investment theses may focus on factors such as location, property type, market dynamics, and demographic trends to identify attractive investment opportunities. The analysis may also take into account macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates and economic growth, which can influence real estate markets. Additionally, real estate investments may be structured as either direct property investments or through financial instruments like Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), affecting the underlying investment thesis.

What considerations should a first-time fund manager have when developing a fund's investment thesis?

For a first-time fund manager, crafting a compelling and robust fund's investment thesis is paramount for attracting investors. Given their lack of a track record, these managers need to lean heavily on the research, clarity, and vision articulated in their investment thesis. The thesis should detail how the fund aims to identify ideal investments, especially those in industries with high margins. It should also benchmark the strategies against industry standards to highlight the manager's acumen and awareness of market norms.

How is a stock pitch related to an investment thesis and what role does a target price play in it?

A stock pitch is essentially a condensed, persuasive form of an investment thesis, often presented to stakeholders to advocate for investing in a particular publicly-traded company. A key element of any stock pitch is the target price, which is an estimation of what the stock is worth based on projections and valuation models. This target price serves as a quantitative anchor for the investment thesis, giving stakeholders a specific metric against which to measure potential returns and risks.

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The Impact Investor | ESG Investing Blog

The Impact Investor | ESG Investing Blog

Investing for financial return is only part of the equation.

How to Create an Investment Thesis [Step-By-Step Guide]

Updated on June 13, 2023

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One of the worst mistakes an investor can make is to sink their money into an investment without knowing why. While this may seem like the world’s most obvious mistake to avoid, it happens every day. Look no further than the stock market for plenty of examples of misguided optimism gone terribly wrong.

That’s where the idea of an investment thesis comes in. An investment thesis is a common tool used by venture capital investors and hedge funds as part of their investment strategy.

Most funds also use it on a regular basis to size up potential candidates during buy-side job interviews. But you don’t have to work at a venture capital fund or private equity firm to reap the benefits of creating an investment thesis of your own.

Table of Contents

What Is an Investment Thesis?

Materials needed to create a thesis for your investment strategy, a step-by-step guide to creating a solid investment thesis, step 1: start with the essentials, step 2: analyze the current market, step 3: analyze the company’s sector, step 4: analyze the company’s position within its sector, step 5: identify the catalyst, step 6: solidify your thesis with analysis, free tools to help strengthen your investment strategy.

Couple Checking an Online Documents

An investment thesis is simply an argument for why you should make a specific investment. Whether it be a stock market investment or private equity, investment theses are all about creating a solid argument for why a certain acquisition is a good idea based on strategic planning and research.

While it takes a little more work upfront, a clear investment thesis can be a valuable tool for any investor. Not only does it ensure that you fully understand why you’re choosing to put your hard-earned money into certain stocks or other assets, but it can also help you develop a long-term plan.

Should an investment idea not go as planned, you can always go back to your investment thesis to see if it still holds the potential to work out. By considering all the information your thesis contains, you’ll have a much better idea of whether it’s best to cut your losses and sell, continue holding, or even add to your position.

An investment thesis includes everything you need to create a solid game plan, making it a foundational part of any stock pitch.

See Related : Best Socially Responsible Stocks To Invest In Today

Writing on a Notebook

One of the benefits of an investment thesis is that it can be as complex or as simple as you like. If you actually work at a venture capital firm , then you may want to develop a full-on venture capital investment thesis. But if you’re a retail investor just looking to solidify your investment strategy, then your thesis may be much more straightforward.

If you’re an individual investor, then all you really need to create an investment thesis is somewhere to write it out. Whether it be in a Google or Word doc or on a piece of paper, just make sure you have a place to record your thesis so that you can consult it down the line.

If you’re developing a venture capital investment thesis that you plan to present to an investment committee or potential employers, then there are plenty of great tools online that can help. Slideteam has thousands of templates that can help you create a killer investment thesis , as well as full-on stock pitch templates.

As mentioned earlier, an investment thesis holds the potential to help you plot out a strategy for pretty much any acquisition. But for the sake of simplicity, we’ll assume throughout the examples in the following steps that you’re an investor interested in going long on a stock that you plan to hold for at least a few months or years.

Venture capitalists looking to invest in companies or startups can also apply the same principles to other investment goals. Investors who are looking to short a certain stock should also be able to use these techniques to locate potential investments. The main difference, of course, is that you’ll be looking for bad news instead of good.

First things first. Before you get into doing the research that goes into an investment thesis or stock pitch, make sure you take the time to write out the basics. At the top of the page, include things like:

  • The name of the company and its ticker symbol
  • Today’s date
  • How many shares of the company you already own, if any
  • The current cost average for any shares you may already hold
  • Whether the stock pays dividends and, if so, how often. You may also want to include the current ex-dividend and dividend payment dates.
  • A brief summary of the company and what it does

See Related : How to Start Investing With Purpose

Now it’s time to take a look at the entire market and the direction it’s headed. Why? As Investors Business Daily points out,

“History shows 3 out of 4 stocks move in the same direction as the overall market, either up or down. So if you buy stocks when the market is trending higher, you have a 75% chance of being right. But if you buy when the market is trending lower, you have a 75% chance of being wrong.”

While the overall market direction is definitely an important factor to keep in mind, what you choose to do with this information will largely come down to your individual investing style. Investors Business Daily founder William O’Neil advised investors only to jump into the market when it was trending up.

Another approach, however, is known as contrarian investing, which revolves around going against market trends. Warren Buffett summed up the idea behind this strategy with his famous quote, “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” Or as Baron Rothschild more graphically put it, “Buy when there is blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own.”

Most investors who are looking for a faster return will likely be better off waiting to strike until the iron is hot. If you align more with the long-term contrarian philosophy, however, bleak macroeconomic outlooks may actually strike you as an ideal investment opportunity .

See Related: How to Invest in Private Equity: A Step-by-Step

Now that you’ve got a look at the overall market, it’s time to take a look at the sector your company fits into. The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) breaks down the entire market into 11 sectors. If you want to get even more specific, you can further break down companies into the GICS’s 24 industry groups, 69 industries, and 158 sub-industries.

Once you identify which group your company belongs to, you’ll then want to take a look at that sector’s performance. Fidelity provides a handy breakdown of the performance of various sectors over different time periods.

But why does it matter? Two reasons.

  • Identifying which sectors various companies belong to can help you ensure that your portfolio is properly diversified
  • The reason that sector ETFs tend to be so popular is that when a sector is trending, many of the stocks within that sector tend to move in unison. The reverse is also true. When a certain industry is lagging, the individual stock prices of the companies in that industry may be affected negatively. While this is not always the case, it’s a general rule of thumb to keep in mind.

The idea behind working sectors into your investment criteria is to give you an overview of what type of investment you’re about to make. If you’re a momentum trader, then you may want to shoot for companies within the strongest-performing sectors this year or even over the past few months.

If you’re a value investor, however, you may be more open to sectors that have historically experienced high growth, even if they are currently suffering due to the overall state of the economy. Some speculative investors may even be interested in an innovative industry with strong potential growth possibilities, even if its time has not yet come.

See Related : How to Invest in Community [Step-by-Step Guide]

If you want to up your odds of success even more, then you’ll want to compare the company you’re interested in against the performance of similar companies in the same industry.

These are the companies that tend to get the most attention from large, institutional investors who are in a position to significantly increase their market value. Institutional investors tend to have a huge amount of money in play and are far less likely to invest in a company without a proven track record.

When choosing an investment, they’ll almost always go with a global leader over a new business, regardless of its promise. However, they also consider intrinsic value, which considers how much a company’s stock is selling for now, as opposed to how much revenue the company stands to earn in the future. In other words, institutional investors are looking for companies that are stable enough to avoid surprises but that also stand to generate considerable capital in the future.

Why work this into your game plan? Because even if you don’t have millions of dollars to invest in a company, there may be hedge funds or venture capital firms out there that do. When these guys make an investment, it tends to be a big one that can actually move a company’s share price upward. Why not ride their coattails and enjoy a solid growth rate as they invest more money over time into proven winners?

That’s why it’s important to make sure that you see how a company stacks up against its closest competitors. If it’s an industry-leading business with a large market share, it’s likely to be a strong contender with solid fundamentals. If not, you may end up discovering competing companies that make sense to consider instead.

See Related : What is a Triple Bottom Line? Definition & Examples

At this point, hopefully, you’ve identified the best stock in the best sector based on your ideal investing style. Now it’s time to find out exactly why it deserves to become a part of your portfolio and for how long.

If a company has been experiencing impressive growth, then there’s bound to be a reason why.

  • Is the company experiencing a major influx of business because it’s currently a leader in the hottest sector of the moment? Or is it a “good house in a bad neighborhood” that’s moving independently of the other stocks in its industry?
  • How long has it been demonstrating growth?
  • What appears to be the catalyst behind its movement? Does the stock owe its growth to strong management, recent world events, the approval of a new drug, the introduction of a hot new product, etc?

One mistake that far too many beginning investors make is assuming that short-term growth alone always indicates the potential for long-term profit. Unfortunately, this is not always the case. By figuring out exactly why a stock is moving, you’ll be far better positioned to decide how long to hold it before you sell.

A strong catalyst can cause the price of a stock to skyrocket overnight, even if it’s laid dormant for years. Even things like social media hype and rumors can cause a stock’s price to shoot up over the course of a given day. But woe to the investor that assumes these profits will last. Many are often left holding the bag when the price increase turns out to be part of a “ pump and dump .”

While many day traders can make a nice profit by capitalizing on these situations, such trades are best avoided altogether if you plan to hold a stock long-term. That’s why it’s so important to understand whether a stock is “in play” for the day or whether its growth can be attributed to more permanent factors that support the potential for a high return over time.

See Related : How to Become an Impact Investor [Step-By-Step Guide]

If you’re planning on investing a significant amount of capital in any stock, then a little research may be able to save you from a lot of heartache. Keep in mind that the focus of an investment thesis is to formulate a reasoned argument about why adding an asset to your portfolio is a good idea.

While all investments come with some level of risk, research can be an excellent risk mitigation strategy. There’s nothing worse than watching an investment fail due to an obvious factor you could have spotted with closer analysis. Don’t let it happen to you!

Fundamental analysis can help you ensure that your potential investments have the underlying traits that winning stocks are made of. While there’s a bit of a learning curve involved when you’re first starting out, here are some of the things you’ll want to focus on:

EPS stands for “earnings per share.” It’s a common financial indicator that basically tells you how much a company makes each time it sells a share of its stock. In this regard, a higher EPS is a good thing, but it’s important to look for solid EPS growth over time. Ideally, you’ll want to see consistent growth in a company’s EPS over the past three or more quarters.

Sales and Margins

Investing is all about putting your cash into successful companies, which is why sales and margins are key components to finding worthy investments. Sales indicate how much a business has made from (you guessed it) sales. Sales margin, also known as gross profit margin, is the amount of revenue a company actually gets to keep after you factor in overhead and other production costs. Ideally, a good investment will exhibit strong, consistent sales growth in recent years.

Return On Equity (ROE)

ROE is one of the more commonly used valuation metrics and is calculated by dividing the company’s net income/shareholders’ equity. ROE is basically a measure of how efficiently a company is using the capital it generates from equity fundraising to increase its own value. The higher the ROE, the more likely it is that a company operates with a focus on using its cash flow to increase its profits.

See Related : How to Do a Stakeholder Impact Analysis?

Woman Taking Notes

While these are just a few examples of various analysis methods to work into your investment thesis, they can go a long way toward locating solid companies worth investing in. Interested in learning more about technical and fundamental analysis? There are now plenty of great sites that can help you master the secrets of the training world.

In our opinion, Tradimo is one of the most underrated, as it provides tons of free classes for investors of all levels. Udemy also has some great classes that can help you learn how to beef up your investment thesis with as much quality information as possible.

But keep in mind that these are only suggestions. The most important part of any personal investment thesis is that it makes sense to you and can serve as a valuable tool to help you along your investing journey.

Related Resources

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  • Best Green Apps for a More Sustainable Life
  • Sustainable Investing vs Impact Investing: What’s the Difference?

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Kyle Kroeger, esteemed Purdue University alum and accomplished finance professional, brings a decade of invaluable experience from diverse finance roles in both small and large firms. An astute investor himself, Kyle adeptly navigates the spheres of corporate and client-side finance, always guiding with a principal investor’s sharp acumen.

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Writing a Credible Investment Thesis

by David Harding and Sam Rovit

Every deal your company proposes to do—big or small, strategic or tactical—should start with a clear statement how that particular deal would create value for your company. We call this the investment thesis . The investment thesis is no more or less than a definitive statement, based on a clear understanding of how money is made in your business, that outlines how adding this particular business to your portfolio will make your company more valuable. Many of the best acquirers write out their investment theses in black and white. Joe Trustey, managing partner of private equity and venture capital firm Summit Partners, describes the tool in one short sentence: "It tells me why I would want to own this business." 10

Perhaps you're rolling your eyes and saying to yourself, "Well, of course our company uses an investment thesis!" But unless you're in the private equity business—which in our experience is more disciplined in crafting investment theses than are corporate buyers—the odds aren't with you. For example, our survey of 250 senior executives across all industries revealed that only 29 percent of acquiring executives started out with an investment thesis (defined in that survey as a "sound reason for buying a company") that stood the test of time. More than 40 percent had no investment thesis whatsoever (!). Of those who did, fully half discovered within three years of closing the deal that their thesis was wrong.

Studies conducted by other firms support the conclusion that most companies are terrifyingly unclear about why they spend their shareholders' capital on acquisitions. A 2002 Accenture study, for example, found that 83 percent of executives surveyed admitted they were unable to distinguish between the value levers of M&A deals. 11 In Booz Allen Hamilton's 1999 review of thirty-four frequent acquirers, which focused chiefly on integration, unsuccessful acquirers admitted that they fished in uncharted waters. 12 They ranked "learning about new (and potentially related) business areas" as a top reason for making an acquisition. (Surely companies should know whether a business area is related to their core before they decide to buy into it!) Successful acquirers, by contrast, were more likely to cite "leading or responding to industry restructuring" as a reason for making an acquisition, suggesting that these companies had at least thought through the strategic implications of their moves.

Not that tipping one's hat to strategy is a cure-all. In our work with companies that are thinking about doing a deal, we often hear that the acquisition is intended for "strategic" reasons. That's simply not good enough. A credible investment thesis should describe a concrete benefit, rather than a vaguely stated strategic value.

This point needs underscoring. Justifying a deal as being "strategic" ex post facto is, in most cases, an invitation to inferior returns. Given how frequently we have heard weak "strategic" justifications after a deal has closed, it's worth passing along a warning from Craig Tall, vice chair of corporate development and strategic planning at Washington Mutual. In recent years, Tall's bank has made acquisitions a key part of a stunningly successful growth record. "When I see an expensive deal," Tall told us, "and they say it was a 'strategic' deal, it's a code for me that somebody paid too much." 13

And although sometimes the best offense is a good defense, this axiom does not really stand in for a valid investment thesis. On more than a few occasions, we have been witness to deals that were initiated because an investment banker uttered the Eight Magic Words: If you don't buy it, your competitors will.

Well, so be it. If a potential acquisition is not compelling to you on its own merits, let it go. Let your competitors put their good money down, and prove that their investment theses are strong.

Let's look at a case in point: [Clear Channel Communications' leaders Lowry, Mark, and Randall] Mayses' decision to move from radios into outdoor advertising (billboards, to most of us). Based on our conversations with Randall Mays, we summarize their investment thesis for buying into the billboard business as follows:

Clear Channel's expansion into outdoor advertising leverages the company's core competencies in two ways: First, the local market sales force that is already in place to sell radio ads can now sell outdoor ads to many of the same buyers, and Clear Channel is uniquely positioned to sell both local and national advertisements. Second, similar to the radio industry twenty years ago, the outdoor advertising industry is fragmented and undercapitalized. Clear Channel has the capital needed to "roll up" a significant fraction of this industry, as well as the cash flow and management systems needed to reduce operating expenses across a consolidated business.

Note that in Clear Channel's investment thesis (at least as we've stated it), the benefits would be derived from three sources:

  • Leveraging an existing sales force more extensively
  • Using the balance sheet to roll up and fund an undercapitalized business
  • Applying operating skills learned in the radio trade

Note also the emphasis on tangible and quantifiable results, which can be easily communicated and tested. All stakeholders, including investors, employees, debtors, and vendors, should understand why a deal will make their company stronger. Does the investment thesis make sense only to those who know the company best? If so, that's probably a bad sign. Is senior management arguing that a deal's inherent genius is too complex to be understood by all stakeholders, or simply asserting that the deal is "strategic"? These, too, are probably bad signs.

Most of the best acquirers we've studied try to get the thesis down on paper as soon as possible. Getting it down in black and white—wrapping specific words around the ideas—allows them to circulate the thesis internally and to generate reactions early and often.

The perils of the "transformational" deal . Some readers may be wondering whether there isn't a less tangible, but equally credible, rationale for an investment thesis: the transformational deal. Such transactions, which became popular in the exuberant '90s, aim to turn companies (and sometimes even whole industries) on their head and "transform" them. In effect, they change a company's basis of competition through a dramatic redeployment of assets.

The roster of companies that have favored transformational deals includes Vivendi Universal, AOL Time Warner (which changed its name back to Time Warner in October 2003), Enron, Williams, and others. Perhaps that list alone is enough to turn our readers off the concept of the transformational deal. (We admit it: We keep wanting to put that word transformational in quotes.) But let's dig a little deeper.

Sometimes what looks like a successful transformational deal is really a case of mistaken identity. In search of effective transformations, people sometimes cite the examples of DuPont—which after World War I used M&A to transform itself from a maker of explosives into a broad-based leader in the chemicals industry—and General Motors, which, through the consolidation of several car companies, transformed the auto industry. But when you actually dissect the moves of such industry winners, you find that they worked their way down the same learning curve as the best-practice companies in our global study. GM never attempted the transformational deal; instead, it rolled up smaller car companies until it had the scale to take on a Ford—and win. DuPont was similarly patient; it broadened its product scope into a range of chemistry-based industries, acquisition by acquisition.

In a more recent example, Rexam PLC has transformed itself from a broad-based conglomerate into a global leader in packaging by actively managing its portfolio and growing its core business. Beginning in the late '90s, Rexam shed diverse businesses in cyclical industries and grew scale in cans. First it acquired Europe's largest beverage-can manufacturer, Sweden's PLM, in 1999. Then it bought U.S.–based packager American National Can in 2000, making itself the largest beverage-can maker in the world. In other words, Rexam acquired with a clear investment thesis in mind: to grow scale in can making or broaden geographic scope. The collective impact of these many small steps was transformation. 14

But what of the literal transformational deal? You saw the preceding list of companies. Our advice is unequivocal: Stay out of this high-stakes game. Recent efforts to transform companies via the megadeal have failed or faltered. The glamour is blinding, which only makes the route more treacherous and the destination less clear. If you go this route, you are very likely to destroy value for your shareholders.

By definition, the transformational deal can't have a clear investment thesis, and evidence from the movement of stock prices immediately following deal announcements suggests that the market prefers deals that have a clear investment thesis. In "Deals That Create Value," for example, McKinsey scrutinized stock price movements before and after 231 corporate transactions over a five-year period. 15 The study concluded that the market prefers "expansionist" deals, in which a company "seeks to boost its market share by consolidating, by moving into new geographic regions, or by adding new distribution channels for existing products and services."

On average, McKinsey reported, deals of the "expansionist" variety earned a stock market premium in the days following their announcement. By contrast, "transformative" deals—whereby companies threw themselves bodily into a new line of business—destroyed an average of 5.3 percent of market value immediately after the deal's announcement. Translating these findings into our own terminology:

  • Expansionist deals are more likely to have a clear investment thesis, while "transformative" deals often have no credible rationale.
  • The market is likely to reward the former and punish the latter.

The dilution/accretion debate . One more side discussion that comes to bear on the investment thesis: Deal making is often driven by what we'll call the dilution/accretion debate . We will argue that this debate must be taken into account as you develop your investment thesis, but your thesis making should not be driven by this debate.

Simply put, a deal is dilutive if it causes the acquiring company to have lower earnings per share (EPS) than it had before the transaction. As they teach in Finance 101, this happens when the asset return on the purchased business is less than the cost of the debt or equity (e.g., through the issuance of new shares) needed to pay for the deal. Dilution can also occur when an asset is sold, because the earnings power of the business being sold is greater than the return on the alternative use of the proceeds (e.g., paying down debt, redeeming shares, or buying something else). An accretive deal, of course, has the opposite outcomes.

But that's only the first of two shoes that may drop. The second shoe is, How will Wall Street respond? Will investors punish the company (or reward it) for its dilutive ways?

Aware of this two-shoes-dropping phenomenon, many CEOs and CFOs use the litmus test of earnings accretion/dilution as the first hurdle that should be put in front of every proposed deal. One of these skilled acquirers is Citigroup's [former] CFO Todd Thomson, who told us:

It's an incredibly powerful discipline to put in place a rule of thumb that deals have to be accretive within some [specific] period of time. At Citigroup, my rule of thumb is it has to be accretive within the first twelve months, in terms of EPS, and it has to reach our capital rate of return, which is over 20 percent return within three to four years. And it has to make sense both financially and strategically, which means it has to have at least as fast a growth rate as we expect from our businesses in general, which is 10 to 15 percent a year. Now, not all of our deals meet that hurdle. But if I set that up to begin with, then if [a deal is] not going to meet that hurdle, people know they better make a heck of a compelling argument about why it doesn't have to be accretive in year one, or why it may take year four or five or six to be able to hit that return level. 16

Unfortunately, dilution is a problem that has to be wrestled with on a regular basis. As Mike Bertasso, the head of H. J. Heinz's Asia-Pacific businesses, told us, "If a business is accretive, it is probably low-growth and cheap for a reason. If it is dilutive, it's probably high-growth and attractive, and we can't afford it." 17 Even if you can't afford them, steering clear of dilutive deals seems sensible enough, on the face of it. Why would a company's leaders ever knowingly take steps that would decrease their EPS?

The answer, of course, is to invest for the future. As part of the research leading up to this book, Bain looked at a hundred deals that involved EPS accretion and dilution. All the deals were large enough and public enough to have had an effect on the buyer's stock price. The result was surprising: First-year accretion and dilution did not matter to shareholders. In other words, there was no statistical correlation between future stock performance and whether the company did an accretive or dilutive deal. If anything, the dilutive deals slightly outperformed. Why? Because dilutive deals are almost always involved in buying higher-growth assets, and therefore by their nature pass Thomson's test of a "heck of a compelling argument."

Reprinted with permission of Harvard Business School Press. Mastering the Merger: Four Critical Decisions That Make or Break the Deal , by David Harding and Sam Rovit. Copyright 2004 Bain & Company; All Rights Reserved.

[ Buy this book ]

David Harding (HBS MBA '84) is a director in Bain & Company's Boston office and is an expert in corporate strategy and organizational effectiveness.

Sam Rovit (HBS MBA '89) is a director in the Chicago office and leader of Bain & Company's Global Mergers and Acquisitions Practice.

10. Joe Trustey, telephone interview by David Harding, Bain & Company. Boston: 13 May 2003. Subsequent comments by Trustey are also from this interview.

11. Accenture, "Accenture Survey Shows Executives Are Cautiously Optimistic Regarding Future Mergers and Acquisitions," Accenture Press Release, 30 May 2002.

12. John R. Harbison, Albert J. Viscio, and Amy T. Asin, "Making Acquisitions Work: Capturing Value After the Deal," Booz Allen & Hamilton Series of View-points on Alliances, 1999.

13. Craig Tall, telephone interview by Catherine Lemire, Bain & Company. Toronto: 1 October 2002.

14. Rolf Börjesson, interview by Tom Shannon, Bain & Company. London: 2001.

15. Hans Bieshaar, Jeremy Knight, and Alexander van Wassenaer, "Deals That Create Value," McKinsey Quarterly 1 (2001).

16. Todd Thomson, speaking on "Strategic M&A in an Opportunistic Environment." (Presentation at Bain & Company's Getting Back to Offense conference, New York City, 20 June 2002.)

17. Mike Bertasso, correspondence with David Harding, 15 December 2003.

VC Decision Making Online Program at Columbia Business School | Venture Capital Strategy

VC Decision Making (Online): Developing an Investment Thesis

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Create Your Own Venture Capital Strategy

Venture capital funding has experienced exponential growth in recent years. While the peak for venture capital in terms of dollar value has passed in the face of the global economic slowdown, the field continues to be one of tremendous opportunity — if you know where to find it.

In order to thrive in this fast-paced, volatile environment, venture capital professionals must stay abreast of trends and develop a solid investment thesis to help them navigate uncertainty and pinpoint viable opportunities.

Lead faculty Angela Lee is the founder of 37 Angels, an investing network that has evaluated 20,000 startups, invested in 90+ startups, and currently activates new investors through a startup investment boot camp. Join us to learn how to create a successful investment strategy and decision-making framework to improve venture fund performance and intelligently diversify your portfolio.

Global venture capital funding surged to $621B in 2021, two times more than in 2020, and around 10 times the level of 10 years ago.

Source: CB Insights

$132B invested in financial services in 2021, which is 169 percent year-over-year growth and 21 percent of total venture funding.

62 percent of all venture capital deals are early-stage deals.

Key Takeaways

By the end of the program, you will be able to:

  • Determine the best investment strategy for your portfolio
  • Establish your criteria for industries and business models to invest in
  • Understand the risk/return trade-offs between investing in different stages
  • Recognize and navigate trends that are transforming the venture capital market and uncover upcoming opportunities

Who Should Attend?

This advanced-level program is designed specifically for mid-career venture capital professionals interested in exploring the evolution of the venture capital landscape and identifying emerging startup trends and technologies in which to invest.

Program Modules

Get a refresher on the venture capital industry and self-assess your current knowledge. Identify the venture capital players, risks, rewards, and funding stages, and navigate the venture capital deal flow process.

Compare existing startup investment strategies and determine the investment strategy that works best for your portfolio.

Identify components of an investment thesis, evaluate real-world investment thesis examples, and build your own criteria for industries and business models in which you want to invest.

Understand the best stages in which to invest and how they benefits your portfolio. Compare methods used to mark up a portfolio.

Explore technology trends that have transformed the market and how to spot upcoming opportunities. Apply a framework to plan for uncertainties and decide on the trends that can add value.

Learn how to get — and stay — ahead of the curve with your investment strategies. Learn the differences between structural and cyclical changes, which help you make informed investment decisions.

Program Experience

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Guest Speakers

Accomplished academics and experts offer unique perspectives and the opportunity to put learning into practice

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Live Faculty Sessions

Get actionable insights in live online interactions with faculty who are recognized leaders in their fields

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Engaging Assignments and Activities

Hone business acumen and executive skills with try-it activities that help you redefine your potential

Program Faculty

Image of the faculty - Angela Lee

Professor of Professional Practice in Finance, Faculty Director, the Eugene Lang Entrepreneurship Center, Columbia Business School

Angela Lee Professor of Professional Practice in Finance, Faculty Director, the Eugene Lang Entrepreneurship Center, Columbia Business School Angela Lee is an award-winning professor and former Chief Innovation Officer at Columbia Business School, where she teaches venture capital and leadership programs. She started her career in product management and then moved to consulting at McKinsey. She founded 4 startups and is also the founder of 37 Angels, an investing network that has evaluated over 20,000 companies and invested in over 90+ companies. She also serves as a venture partner at Fresco Capital, an early-stage venture fund that focuses on the future of work, digital health, and sustainability. She was awarded the Dean's Award for Teaching Excellence at Columbia Business School in 2020 and won the Singhvi Prize for Scholarship in the Classroom in 2022. Angela has spoken at the White House and NASA and is an expert in teaching online and making learning scalable. She is a sought-after expert on CNBC, Bloomberg TV, MSNBC, and Fox Business. She was recognized by Inc . as one of 17 Inspiring Women to Watch, by Entrepreneur Magazine as one of 6 Innovative Women to Watch, and by Crain’s as a Notable Women in Tech.
Elliott Robinson Partner, Growth Equity, Bessemer Venture Partners Elliott Robinson is a partner and co-founder of the growth investment practice at Bessemer, where he focuses primarily on cloud software investments, and is a board member of a number of organizations. Prior to Bessemer, he was a partner with M12, a vice president at Georgian Partners, and an associate with Syncom Venture Partners (where he led investments in organizations such as Canva, Forter, and Statespace). He earned his MBA from Columbia Business School and his BS from Morehouse College.
Hilary Gosher Managing Director, Insight Partners Since joining Insight Partners two decades ago, Hilary has played a role in some of the most exciting growth journeys in SaaS history. She founded and leads Insight Onsite, a team that accelerates growth at Insight's portfolio organizations. In addition, she is an adjunct associate professor at Columbia Business School. She holds an MBA from INSEAD in France along with a BA and LLB from the University of Kwa-Zulu Natal, South Africa.

Certificate

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Upon completion of the VC Decision Making (Online): Developing an Investment Thesis program, you will receive a certificate of participation from Columbia Business School Executive Education — a powerful testament to your management capabilities — and add two days toward a Certificate in Business Excellence .

Your verified digital certificate will be issued in your legal name and emailed to you, at no additional cost, upon completion of the program as per the stipulated requirements. All certificate images are for illustrative purposes only and may be subject to change at the discretion of Columbia Business School Executive Education.

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Investment Thesis Template

Create your own investment thesis slide with this free template

Hassan Saab

Prior to becoming a Founder for Curiocity, Hassan worked for Houlihan Lokey as an Investment Banking Analyst focusing on sellside and buyside  M&A , restructurings, financings and strategic advisory engagements across industry groups.

Hassan holds a  BS  from the University of Pennsylvania in Economics.

Adin Lykken

Currently, Adin is an associate at Berkshire Partners, an $16B middle-market private equity fund. Prior to joining Berkshire Partners, Adin worked for just over three years at The  Boston Consulting Group as  an associate and consultant and previously interned for the Federal Reserve Board and the U.S. Senate.

Adin graduated from Yale University, Magna Cum Claude, with a Bachelor of Arts Degree in Economics.

sample investment thesis venture capital

This template allows you to create your own investment thesis slide detailing your overall strategy.

The template is plug-and-play , and you can enter your own text or numbers. The template also includes other slide pages for other elements of a financial model presentation.

According to the WSO Dictionary ,

"An investment thesis aims to take an abstract idea and turn it into a functional investment strategy. An investment thesis helps investors evaluate investment ideas, ideally guiding them in selecting the best ideas that can help meet their investment objectives."

A screenshot below gives you a sneak peek of the template.

Investment Thesis Template

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What Is an Investment Thesis?

  • Understanding the Thesis

Special Considerations

  • What's Included?

The Bottom Line

  • Portfolio Management

Investment Thesis: An Argument in Support of Investing Decisions

sample investment thesis venture capital

Charlene Rhinehart is a CPA , CFE, chair of an Illinois CPA Society committee, and has a degree in accounting and finance from DePaul University.

sample investment thesis venture capital

The term investment thesis refers to a reasoned argument for a particular investment strategy, backed up by research and analysis. Investment theses are commonly prepared by (and for) individual investors and businesses. These formal written documents may be prepared by analysts or other financial professionals for presentation to their clients.

Key Takeaways

  • An investment thesis is a written document that recommends a new investment, based on research and analysis of its potential for profit.
  • Individual investors can use this technique to investigate and select investments that meet their goals.
  • Financial professionals use the investment thesis to pitch their ideas.

Understanding the Investment Thesis

As noted above, an investment thesis is a written document that provides information about a potential investment. It is a research- and analysis-based proposal that is usually drafted by an investment or financial professional to provide insight into investments and to pitch investment ideas. In some cases, the investor will draft their own investment thesis, as is the case with venture capitalists and private equity firms.

This thesis can be used as a strategic decision-making tool. Investors and companies can use a thesis to decide whether or not to pursue a particular investment, such as a stock or acquiring another company. Or it can be used as a way to look back and analyze why a particular decision was made in the first place—and whether it was the right one. Putting things in writing can have a huge impact on the direction of a potential investment.

Let's say an investor purchases a stock based on the investment thesis that the stock is undervalued . The thesis states that the investor plans to hold the stock for three years, during which its price will rise to reflect its true worth. At that point, the stock will be sold at a profit. A year later, the stock market crashes, and the investor's pick crashes with it. The investor recalls the investment thesis, relies on the integrity of its conclusions, and continues to hold the stock.

That is a sound strategy unless some event that is totally unexpected and entirely absent from the investment thesis occurs. Examples of these might include the 2007-2008 financial crisis or the Brexit vote that forced the United Kingdom out of the European Union (EU) in 2016. These were highly unexpected events, and they might affect someone's investment thesis.

If you think your investment thesis holds up, stick with it through thick and thin.

An investment thesis is generally formally documented, but there are no universal standards for the contents. Some require fast action and are not elaborate compositions. When a thesis concerns a big trend, such as a global macro perspective, the investment thesis may be well documented and might even include a fair amount of promotional materials for presentation to potential investing partners.

Portfolio management is now a science-based discipline, not unlike engineering or medicine. As in those fields, breakthroughs in basic theory, technology, and market structures continuously translate into improvements in products and in professional practices. The investment thesis has been strengthened with qualitative and quantitative methods that are now widely accepted.

As with any thesis, an idea may surface but it is methodical research that takes it from an abstract concept to a recommendation for action. In the world of investments, the thesis serves as a game plan.

What's Included in an Investment Thesis?

Although there's no industry standard, there are usually some common components to this document. Remember, an investment thesis is generally a proposal that is based on research and analysis. As such, it is meant to be a guide about the viability of a particular investment.

Most investment theses include (but aren't limited to) the following information:

  • The investment in question
  • The investment goal(s)
  • Viability of the investment, including any trends that support the investment
  • Potential downsides and risks that may be associated with the investment
  • Costs and potential returns as well as any losses that may result

Some theses also try to answer some key questions, including:

  • Does the investment align with the intended goal(s)?
  • What could go wrong?
  • What do the financial statements say?
  • What is the growth potential of this investment?

Putting everything in writing can help investors make more informed decisions. For instance, a company's management team can use a thesis to decide whether or not to pursue the acquisition of a rival. The thesis may highlight whether the target's vision aligns with the acquirer or it may identify opportunities for growth in the market.

Keep in mind that the complexity of an investment thesis depends on the type of investor involved and the nature of the investment. So the investment thesis for a corporation looking to acquire a rival may be more in-depth and complicated compared to that of an individual investor who wants to develop an investment portfolio.

Examples of an Investment Thesis

Portfolio managers and investment companies often post information about their investment theses on their websites. The following are just two examples.

Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley ( MS ) is one of the world's leading financial services firms. It offers investment management services, investment banking, securities, and wealth management services. According to the company, it has five steps that make up its investment process, including idea generation, quality assessment, valuation, risk management , and portfolio construction.

When it comes to developing its investment thesis, the company tries to answer three questions as part of its quality assessment step:

  • "Is the company a disruptor or is it insulated from disruptive change? 
  • Does the company demonstrate financial strength with high returns on invested capital, high margins, strong cash conversion, low capital intensity and low leverage? 
  • Are there environmental or social externalities not borne by the company, or governance and accounting risks that may alter the investment thesis?"

Connetic Ventures

Connetic Adventures is a venture capital firm that invests in early-stage companies. The company uses data to develop its investment thesis, which is made up of three pillars. According to its blog, there were three pillars or principles that contributed to Connetic's venture capital investment strategy. These included diversification, value, and follow-on—each of which comes with a pro and con.

Why Is an Investment Thesis Important?

An investment thesis is a written proposal or research-based analysis of why investors or companies should pursue an investment. In some cases, it may also serve as a historical guide as to whether the investment was a good move or not. Whatever the reason, an investment thesis allows investors to make better, more informed decisions about whether to put their money into a specific investment. This written document provides insight into what the investment is, the goals of the investment, any associated costs, the potential for returns, as well as any possible risks and losses that may result.

Who Should Have an Investment Thesis?

An investment thesis is important for anyone who wants to invest their money. Individual investors can use a thesis to decide whether to purchase stock in a particular company and what strategy they should use, whether it's a buy-and-hold strategy or one where they only have the stock for a short period of time. A company can craft its own investment thesis to help weigh out whether an acquisition or growth strategy is worthwhile.

How Do You Create an Investment Thesis?

It's important to put your investment thesis in writing. Seeing your proposal in print can help you make a better decision. When you're writing your investment thesis, be sure to be clear and concise. Make sure you do your research and include any facts and figures that can help you make your decision. Be sure to include your goals, the potential for upside, and any risks that you may come across. Try to ask and answer some key questions, including whether the investment meets your investment goals and what could go wrong if you go ahead with the deal.

It's always important to have a plan, especially when it comes to investing. After all, you are putting your money at risk. Having an investment thesis can help you make more informed decisions about whether a potential investment is worth your while. Make sure you put your thesis in writing and answer some key questions about your goals, costs, and potential outcomes. Having a concrete proposal in place can spell the difference between earning returns and losing all your money. And that's if your thesis supports the investment in the first place.

Harvard Business School. " Writing a Credible Investment Thesis ."

Lanturn. " What is an Investment Thesis and 3 Tips to Make One ."

Morgan Stanley. " Global Opportunity ."

Medium. " The Data That Built Our Fund's Investment Thesis ."

sample investment thesis venture capital

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Venture Capital Investment Memo Collection

Supporting content

Want to learn about venture capital investment memos? Well, there is a collection to read, but here you can find some supporting reading. I have to feed the nerd in you.

Venture Capital Investment Memo Collection

If you are a startup and venture capital nerd, you have a list of cool things you’d love to know about. The problem is that particularly on the VC side very little is shared. Whether it is startups sharing pitch decks, or VCs sharing investment memos or their thesis, everyone deep down is shy. They’re worried about being judged. Frankly, it’s easier to look smart by writing a few lines in a Tweetstorm than sharing your analysis.

There’s more of course. Larger firms are just that. No one can just share something, they need to get approval from the committee and there are more than a few Dilbert comic opportunities there. So taken by the general fear of sharing, it takes someone special to push through to share their ‘soul’.

I’ve been able to find 32 investment memos in total to date. I use that term broadly as a few of them are just commentaries on excerpts of their investment memo. Given the dearth of investment memos, I’ve tried to share as much as possible.

Why aren’t there more memos? Michael Dempsey tweeted this:

IMO VCs on average don’t share (and you know I’ve tried) because it’s a lot easier/safer to sound smart in 3 talking points than it is in a well reasoned memo that recognizes downside possibility and leaves you vulnerable.

Interestingly Steve Schlafman tweeted:

I’m a big believer in letting founders review the investment memo on their company before pitching the partnership. Both sides benefit.

You can hit the orange button at the top and the bottom to see the memos. If you want to read about VC memos though, I’ve made a reading list for you.

Reading on VC investment memos

Here are all the blogs pertaining to investment memos I can find, including the occasional template.

If you can something to add, shout out in the comments and I’ll add it.

  • 50 angel deal memos This is a random one. Muhan Zhang is investing $10k across 50 startups and has written v short memos on each
  • Investment memo template by Steve Schlafman
  • A Template for Startup Executive Summary or Investment Memo for VCs
  • What do we base our investment decisions on? Open source Deal memo Template – Point9 share a template and thoughts on how they make investment decisions
  • The Investment Memo by Next View Ventures. Also might find this interesting How a Seed VC Makes Investment Decisions
  • What We Talk About When We Talk About Companies by Rob Go at Next View Ventures
  • How to Write the Perfect Investment Memo
  • Investment Memo by Y-Combinator
  • The VC Memo: Lessons For Entrepreneurs
  • Startup investment memo by Koor and Associates
  • Investment Memos for VC Interviews
  • VC 201: The Investment Memo by AWS
  • Michael Dempsey Investment Memo Template – September 2019 by Michael Dempsey at Compound
  • Thoughts on Investment Memos by Michael Dempsey at Compound
  • The Investment Memo by Tim Devane at Inception Capital
  • A quick guide to writing an early-stage biotech investment memo
  • A Memo About Writing Investment Memos
  • How To Underwrite An Industrial Deal & Create Investment Memos Lp’S Love – This is about property not VC, but there are still things to learn. They share their underwriting process . They also have a memo template . Again, not “VC” but worth having a look at.
  • Here’s my investment memo template – Michael Dempsey wrote a blog that has some thoughts and a template . I looked at the template and he seems to have not changed settings so random people have killed it with edits

Want to nerd out more?

Venture capital investors typically (hopefully) have an investment thesis. It’s what they agree with their limited partners (LPs) as to what they are going to invest in.

You’d think that investors would share these, but well, they don’t. I’ve collected all the ones I can find here: Investment Thesis Collection from Venture Capital Firms

VC Memo Collection

Somehow got to the end of this blog and want to see the VC memos? You can click through to them here:

VC investment memo collection

Want to learn more ?

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Pitch Deck Teardown: Xpanceo’s $40M seed deck

sample investment thesis venture capital

Xpanceo is betting big on turning us all into cyborgs with smart contact lenses, securing a cool $40 million to make our sci-fi dreams a reality. Co-founders Roman Axelrod and Valentyn S. Volkov are on a mission to ditch traditional gadgets and make everyone’s eyes the new screens. Who needs smartphones when you can blink to browse? As they push the boundaries of what’s possible with optoelectronics and new materials, one can’t help but wonder if we’re heading toward a future where losing your contacts could mean missing your next Zoom meeting.

Xpanceo, a deep tech startup, raises $40M to focus on smart contact lenses

We’re looking for more unique pitch decks to tear down, so if you want to submit your own, here’s how you can do that . 

Slides in this deck

Xpanceo has shared its complete presentation deck, consisting of 19 slides, with TechCrunch. Although the slide list suggests that the team has covered everything, a closer look at the deck’s contents reveals that some areas might not be as comprehensive as they seem.

  • Cover slide
  • Value proposition
  • B2C: Use cases
  • B2B: Industries
  • Contact lens users
  •  Market size
  •  Revenue forecast
  •  Competition
  •  What is Xpanceo? interstitial 
  •  Technologies
  •  Pioneering R&D in optical analysis
  •  Closing slide

Three things to love about Xpanceo’s pitch deck

There’s a lot of really good storytelling happening here.

A slice of history

sample investment thesis venture capital

[Slide 2] A clear problem statement. Image Credits : Xpanceo

The inclusion of a timeline detailing the evolution of computing technology within the presentation is particularly clever. This historical perspective not only educates the audience about the progression and milestones in computing but also situates Xpanceo’s work within a larger narrative of technological advancement — and many of those advancements made a lot of investors very wealthy indeed.

What’s the problem with AR?

Addressing the shortcomings of AR as it stands, the presentation acknowledges that the tech has not yet achieved widespread adoption primarily due to poor product offerings that have failed to resonate with consumers. This is true, and it shows that Xpanceo is aware of the hurdles faced by previous AR technologies and is committed to overcoming these challenges.

sample investment thesis venture capital

[Slide 3] Easing into the “solution” is a great approach. Image Credits : Xpanceo

What’s the difference between the solution and product slides in a startup’s pitch deck?

The solution slide is strategic in nature, emphasizing a broader, more adaptable approach rather than focusing solely on the product. This strategic mindset is crucial, as it shifts the emphasis from the specifics of the product to the underlying philosophy of problem-solving.

I love that the solution is articulated in a clear and accessible way, deliberately avoiding excessive detail. This clarity is essential for communicating effectively with stakeholders, including investors, potential customers and team members. By keeping the solution straightforward and easy to understand, the team ensures that everyone involved has a solid grasp of the core concept and objectives. This level of transparency fosters trust and alignment among all parties, which is important for collaborative efforts and the overall success of the project.

From there, you can drop into the details: the product.

So here’s what the company’s actually up to

Again, Xpanceo does a great job:

sample investment thesis venture capital

[Slide 4] This slide draws investors in. Image Credits : Xpanceo

Smart contact lenses that integrate advanced computing capabilities directly into the user’s visual field feels like magic. Still, by maintaining straightforward and accessible language, the slide ensures that the innovation can be understood and appreciated by a broad audience, which is crucial for generating interest and support among potential investors.

I particularly love how this clarity helps set the stage for deeper discussions, all without getting lost in the complex technological language that no doubt happens in the lab. It strikes the right balance between simplicity and informativeness.

Three things that Xpanceo could have improved

This deck is really good. But is it perfect?

Nope. Let’s dive in.

What are you raising?

SAFE rounds, startups, venture capitalists

What? Image Credits : Getty Images

The biggest problem with the Xpanceo deck isn’t what is in there, but rather what isn’t.

One critical element missing from the deck is the “ask” slide, which is essential when seeking venture capital funding. It’s surprising how often founders overlook this component in their pitch decks. When raising money, it’s not the time to be reticent or indirect. Clearly stating what is being asked for — be it staffing, resources or partnerships — demonstrates to potential investors a well-thought-out plan and a serious commitment to the startup’s future. This helps investors quickly understand the needs and assess whether they align with their investment criteria.

Including a specific ask in the presentation also conveys that there is a realistic understanding of what the startup requires to succeed. It shows that careful consideration has been given to how much funding is needed, what it will be used for, and how it will help the company achieve its goals. This level of detail and transparency adds credibility to the pitch and instills confidence in potential investors about the management and planning capabilities. It positions the entrepreneurs as serious individuals who are not merely experimenting but are committed to building a sustainable business.

B2B or B2C: You can’t have both

Slides 6 and 7 make a case for both a B2B and a B2C model. That’s not a great call.

sample investment thesis venture capital

[Slide 6] A use-case brainstorm is clever, but it’s important to come up with the real use cases that drive the investment decision. Image Credits : Xpanceo

B2C sales are distinguished by direct interactions with individual consumers, focusing on emotional engagement, brand identity, and creating personalized customer experiences. This model thrives on short sales cycles and immediate purchase decisions, making it crucial for companies to invest in understanding consumer behaviors and crafting marketing strategies that resonate on a personal level. Even if companies occasionally purchase under a B2C model, they should be treated as consumers in the sales process to maintain simplicity and efficiency in marketing efforts.

Conversely, B2B sales involve more complex transactions with other businesses, characterized by longer sales cycles, higher transaction values, and a focus on practical benefits and cost-effectiveness. This model requires strong, credible relationships and often involves customized solutions to meet specific business needs. While it’s less common, consumers may sometimes engage with products designed for business use, highlighting the flexibility required in sales strategies. Ultimately, focusing on a B2B or B2C sales organization should align with the startup’s core capabilities and strategic goals, shaping the narrative in their startup pitch to attract potential investors.

Trying to do both won’t work, so pick one, and explain why that’s the right choice.

The market sizing fallacy

sample investment thesis venture capital

[Slide 9] Sure, there are a lot of contact lens users. But are they really a proxy for Xpanceo customers? Image Credits : Xpanceo

Xpanceo’s offerings are not merely an alternative to spectacles for optical correction but rather function as a wearable device. This distinction is significant because the target market for Xpanceo may not align directly with the existing base of contact lens users. Instead of evaluating the total number of contact lens wearers, a more relevant metric might be the usage of related technology such as smartphones or smartwatches, which reflects a tech-savvy consumer base more likely to adopt new wearable technologies. This approach can help in identifying not just a broad audience, but also one that is more likely to embrace innovative products.

Xpanceo’s go-to-market strategy plays a pivotal role in determining its primary consumer segment. If the product is designed for mass market consumption, the strategy should focus on identifying and engaging an early adopter group. This group typically consists of tech enthusiasts who are keen on exploring and adopting cutting-edge technologies. These early adopters could provide the initial traction needed to penetrate the market, acting as influencers and validators for the broader consumer base. Their feedback is also invaluable when it comes to refining the product and enhancing its appeal to subsequent buyers.

I think the company is trying to show that its market is huge, but I doubt that contact lens wearers are a proxy. I wear contacts, but only when I’m doing contact sports (martial arts or scuba diving). But even if I had never worn contacts a day of my life, I’d be eager to try the Xpanceo solution.

I think the company is trying to compare oranges to Apple computers.

The full pitch deck

If you want your own pitch deck teardown featured on TechCrunch, here’s more information . Also, check out  all our Pitch Deck Teardowns  all collected in one handy place for you!

Business Wire

sample investment thesis venture capital

Venture Capital For Scientists: A Guide For Quantum Tech Entrepreneurs

  • Quantum Computing Business

Matt Swayne

  • March 22, 2024

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quantum

Deep tech science entrepreneurs – and particularly quantum science entrepreneurs – have more than a few hurdles facing them from the start.

One of the leading challenges: Scientists have spent most of their lives dedicated almost exclusively to learning about a single field and often very specific subjects within those fields. In the case of quantum tech, these scientists are consumed by one of the most complex, often baffling subjects. Scientists, therefore, have little time or energy to focus their attention on another complex, often baffling subject called venture capital.

Besides a lack of familiarity with venture capital, there’s another reason for this science-investment bridge. Most science entrepreneurs who are considering starting a business based on their research or scientific advances realize quickly that quantum technology is a capital intensive endeavor. Few could bootstrap it with their own funds and, therefore, would need to enlist the help of deep tech-savvy venture capitalists.

The following information isn’t meant to be presumptuous and isn’t meant to insult the intelligence of a scientist considering such a business venture. Many scientists are equally adept at business and finance. However, this guide is meant to help some scientists who may feel more comfortable around wave functions than business functions.

In an era where quantum technology is drawing more interest from investors, startups in this space are bridging the gap between theoretical physics and practical applications. However, transforming groundbreaking scientific discoveries into commercially viable products often requires more than just an innovative idea; it demands substantial financial backing. This is where venture capital (VC) steps in, providing a lifeline to those ventures that hold the promise of revolutionizing technology but lack the necessary funds to accelerate their growth.

quantum investors

Understanding Venture Capital

At its core, venture capital is considered a subset or earlier stage of private equity, specifically designed to support startups with the potential for exponential growth. Unlike loans from traditional financial institutions, venture capital is invested in exchange for equity in the company. This form of financing is particularly suited to high-risk, high-reward enterprises like quantum technology startups, where the path to profitability is uncertain, and the investment required is substantial.

How Venture Capital Firms Operate

Think of VC firms as capital aggregators, pooling funds from individuals, corporations and institutional investors to inject into promising startups. Typically, these firms are not just funders; they are partners, offering mentorship, strategic advice, and access to a vast network of industry connections. The goal is not merely to fuel early-stage companies but to guide them towards a stage where they can either go public or be acquired, providing a significant return on investment.

Benefits of Venture Capital

Deep tech companies are capital-intensive operations. Initial funds are needed for equipment and salaries can be on the high-end of the range. The infusion of venture capital, therefore, can be more than transformative for quantum tech startups, it can be absolutely essential. Startups would likely never make it out of the lab without the funds. Benefits, however, the total benefits go beyond funds. You might want to classify the  main benefits as capital, coaching and connections:

  • Capital for Scaling: Essential for startups that require significant investment in research and development before achieving profitability.
  • Mentorship and Strategic Guidance: Many VC firms boast a roster of experienced entrepreneurs and industry specialists who can provide invaluable insights and advice.
  • Access to Networks: From potential customers and partners to future investors, the networks provided by VC firms can open many doors.

Drawbacks of Venture Capital

However, venture capital is not without its challenges. Accepting VC funding means relinquishing a portion of equity and, potentially, some control over the company. Moreover, the pressure to deliver rapid growth can be intense, leading some startups to prioritize scale over sustainability. It’s also crucial for startups to ensure their vision aligns with their investors, as misalignments can lead to strategic conflicts.

For a quantum technology startup to attract venture capital, it must demonstrate:

  • A Groundbreaking Product: Innovation is key, with a clear competitive edge over existing technologies.
  • Market Potential: A viable path to significant market penetration and profitability.
  • A Strong Team: Capable of executing the business plan and adapting to challenges.
  • Commitment to Growth: A readiness to scale operations and explore new market opportunities.

Case Studies of VC in Quantum Technology

Venture capital plays a pivotal role in advancing quantum computing by providing the necessary funding and strategic guidance to startups. Perhaps this is too strong, but it’s unlikely the quantum computing industry would exist in any form right now.

Here are a few examples of quantum tech leaders who received backing by venture capitalists.

IonQ is a leader in trapped-ion quantum computing, focusing on building quantum computers that are scalable and can outperform classical computers for certain tasks.

Venture Capital Influence: IonQ has raised substantial funding from venture capital firms like Cambium, a multi-stage venture capital firm focused on investments in the future of computational paradigms , Tao Capital Partners and Correlation Ventures , among others.

This investment has been crucial for IonQ to scale its technology, enhance its quantum hardware, and expand its reach into various industries. It is now a publicly traded company.

PsiQuantum is working on building a commercially viable quantum computer using photonic technology, aiming to create a system with millions of qubits.

Venture Capital Influence: The company has secured significant venture capital investment from firms like BlackRock, Microsoft’s M12, and Playground Globa l. This funding supports PsiQuantum’s ambitious goal of scaling up its quantum computing technology to a level that could revolutionize various sectors, including healthcare, finance, and energy.

Quantum Machines

Background: Quantum Machines specializes in the development of quantum control hardware and software, aiming to enhance the performance and speed of quantum computers.

With funding from investors like Battery Ventures, TLV Partners, and Atreides Management, Quantum Machines has been able to advance its Quantum Orchestration Platform, which is designed to operate and optimize quantum computing systems.

Outcome: The company’s technology is being used by researchers and industry leaders to accelerate quantum computing experiments and developments, signifying a key contribution to the quantum computing ecosystem by improving the reliability and functionality of quantum systems.

Q-CTRL focuses on quantum control engineering to improve the performance of quantum computing devices. It offers software that helps mitigate errors in quantum computing systems, which is one of the major challenges in the field.

Venture Capital Influence: Backed by venture capital firms like Square Peg Capital, Sierra Ventures, and Sequoia Capita l, Q-CTRL’s funding has enabled it to develop advanced quantum control solutions that can be applied across various quantum computing hardware platforms.

Resources and Toolkit

For quantum tech entrepreneurs ready to explore venture capital, the following resources are invaluable:

  • Quantum Technology Trade Associations: Offering networking opportunities and insights into industry trends.
  • The Quantum Insider and The Quantum Insider Intelligence Platform : Shameless plug but we try to be a resource for startups looking to connect with investors. Our media and data platform can help identify potential investors with interest in quantum technologies.
  • Pitch Deck Templates: Essential for articulating your startup’s value proposition to potential investors.
  • Financial Modeling Guides: Helping to project financial performance and growth potential.
  • Legal and Regulatory Resources: Critical for navigating the complexities of VC funding and protecting intellectual property.

What Questions Should You Ask and Why?

It’s good to have at least some idea of what you will need to know in those initial meetings with interested investors. Here are a few suggestions for top-of-mind questions to help shape the conversation:

  • What is your investment thesis and how does our project align with it? Understanding the VC’s investment focus — whether it’s on a particular technology, stage of company growth, or market — can help gauge how well your project fits their portfolio strategy.
  • Can you share examples of similar deep tech investments and their outcomes? This question helps assess the VC’s experience and success rate with deep tech startups, providing insight into their understanding of the challenges and timelines specific to deep tech ventures.
  • What value beyond capital do you bring to your investments? Venture capital should offer more than just money. Inquire about the firm’s network, mentorship, strategic guidance, and any other support services they provide.
  • What is your typical investment horizon and exit strategy for deep tech startups? Deep tech projects often have longer development timelines. It’s important to know if the VC’s expectations for returns align with the realistic timeline of your project.
  • How do you typically structure your investments in deep tech companies? Understanding the financial terms, including valuation, equity stake, dilution, and any special conditions like milestone-based funding, is crucial before moving forward.
  • Can you describe your involvement with portfolio companies? Gauge how hands-on the VC likes to be. Some provide significant operational support, while others prefer a more hands-off approach. Consider what level of involvement you’re comfortable with.
  • What are the most common challenges your deep tech investments face, and how do you help them navigate these challenges? This question can reveal the VC’s depth of understanding of the deep tech landscape and their proactive measures to support startups through inherent industry challenges.
  • How do you view failure, particularly in high-risk deep tech ventures? This might be a risky – no pun intended – one, but it should be considered. The VCs’ response can provide insight into the VC’s risk tolerance and their approach to setbacks, which is particularly relevant in the high-stakes world of deep tech.
  • What is your process for follow-on investments? Knowing whether the VC has a track record of providing additional funding rounds can be crucial for long-term planning, especially since deep tech projects may require multiple rounds of funding.
  • Can you provide references from other deep tech companies in your portfolio? Speaking with current or past investees can offer valuable insights into the VC’s working style, commitment, and impact on their investments.

VC Terms And Their Definitions:

Understanding the following terms can help entrepreneurs navigate the complexities of venture capital financing more effectively, ensuring they’re better prepared to negotiate terms and understand the implications of the agreements they enter into.

Term Sheet: A non-binding document outlining the basic terms and conditions under which an investment will be made. It serves as a template to develop more detailed legal documents.

Equity: Ownership interest in a company. Venture capitalists receive equity in exchange for the capital they invest, giving them a share of the company’s profits and losses.

Dilution: The reduction in existing shareholders’ ownership percentages that occurs when a company issues more shares, often due to new investors coming in.

Valuation: The process of determining the current worth of a company. Pre-money valuation refers to the company’s value before receiving the investment, while post-money valuation includes the investment amount.

Cap Table (Capitalization Table): A table providing an analysis of the company’s percentages of ownership, equity dilution, and value of equity in each round of investment by founders, investors, and other owners.

Convertible Note: A short-term debt that converts into equity, typically in conjunction with a future financing round; the investor loans money to a startup with the intention that the loan will convert into shares of preferred stock during the equity financing.

SAFE (Simple Agreement for Future Equity): An agreement between an investor and a company that provides rights to the investor for future equity in the company without determining a specific price per share at the time of the initial investment.

Liquidity Event: An event that allows initial investors to sell their shares and potentially realize gains on their investments. Common examples include an IPO (Initial Public Offering) or an acquisition.

Vesting: The process by which an employee earns their stock options over time. This is designed to incentivize the employee to stay with the company for a longer period.

Burn Rate: The rate at which a company is spending its capital to finance overhead before generating positive cash flow from operations. It’s a measure of negative cash flow.

Lead Investor: The venture capital firm or individual that organizes a round of financing, invests a significant portion of the capital, and usually negotiates the terms of the investment on behalf of other investors.

Due Diligence: The comprehensive appraisal of a business undertaken by a prospective buyer, especially regarding its assets, liabilities, and commercial potential, before making an investment.

Exit Strategy: The method by which a venture capitalist or business owner intends to get out of an investment that they have made in the past. This could be through selling the company, public offering, or other means.

Preferred Stock: A class of ownership in a corporation that has a higher claim on its assets and earnings than common stock. Preferred shares generally have dividends that must be paid out before dividends to common shareholders and the shares usually do not carry voting rights.

Drag-Along Right: A legal concept that allows majority shareholders to force minority shareholders to join in the sale of a company. The minority shareholders must sell their shares at the same terms as the majority shareholder.

No matter where you land on your decision to secure venture capital funding, we wish you best of luck in this journey – and any journey of a quantum technology startup from concept to market is exciting and challenging. And one of those exciting-slash-challenging moments is securing the necessary funding to fuel growth. Venture capital offers a pathway, not just through financial investment but through the strategic support and networks that come with it. Understanding how to engage with the VC ecosystem, from crafting a compelling pitch to aligning with the right investors, can make the difference between stagnation and success.

Quantum technology entrepreneurs stand at the threshold of a new technological revolution. With the right approach to venture capital, they have the potential to not just participate in but lead this revolution, transforming their groundbreaking ideas into realities that could redefine the future.

This guide serves as a starting point for quantum tech entrepreneurs embarking on their venture capital journey. By leveraging the outlined resources and insights, startups can navigate the VC landscape with greater confidence and clarity, turning visionary scientific achievements into successful, scalable businesses. The road ahead is challenging, but for those who navigate it wisely, the rewards can be revolutionary.

Best of luck in the next steps of this journey!

For more market insights, check out our latest quantum computing news here .

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GW INVESTMENT INSTITUTE INSIGHTS

2024 Annual Conference – Finance & AI

sample investment thesis venture capital

The George Washington University Investment Institute hosted the 2024 Annual Conference on March 22nd in Duquès Hall. The conference connected over 60 students, faculty, and alumni with industry practitioners and professionals to discuss the intersection of finance and artificial intelligence (AI). The conference featured opening remarks by GWSB Interim Dean Vanessa Perry, a keynote by Professor Patrick Hall, a student showcase by William Ahrens, Elizabeth Ellis, and Yaseen Shah, and a panel on the Future of Work with AI featuring GW alumni Francisco Solorzano Fakhri, Data Strategy Manager at EY, and Fiona Zhu, Senior Client Executive at Gartner. To learn more about the conference and featured guests you can access a summary below.

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IMAGES

  1. How Venture Capital Works. Part 3: Investment Thesis

    sample investment thesis venture capital

  2. Investment Thesis Template

    sample investment thesis venture capital

  3. Investment Thesis Template Venture Capital

    sample investment thesis venture capital

  4. Investment Thesis Collection from Venture Capital Firms

    sample investment thesis venture capital

  5. VC Investment Thesis Template-VCLAB

    sample investment thesis venture capital

  6. Investment Thesis Template Venture Capital

    sample investment thesis venture capital

VIDEO

  1. Enterprising Bots For Enterprises

  2. Venture Investing Episode 4

  3. Launching Your Career in Venture Capital

  4. Travel: What Comes Next?

  5. Investor Webinar: Thesis Capital hosting Enterprise Group, Inc

  6. Meet the VC: Kellan Carter of Fuse Venture Partners, Webinar

COMMENTS

  1. VC Lab: VC Investment Thesis Template

    This content is provided by VC Lab ( https://GoVCLab.com ), the venture capital accelerator. The free 14 week VC Lab program provides guidance, structure and a network to complete a fund closing in 6 months or less. Since mid 2020, VC Lab has helped launch over 100 venture capital firms around the world. Apply to Cohort 8 of VC Lab here ( https ...

  2. 1. What is Your Venture Capital Investment Thesis

    A fund Thesis is the strategy by which a venture capital fund makes money for the fund investors, called Limited Partners or LPs. It identifies the stage, geography and focus of investments, as well as the unique differentiation of the firm. A fund Thesis is not for public consumption. It is private for Limited Partners only.

  3. Writing a credible investment thesis

    The investment thesis is no more or less than a definitive statement, based on a clear understanding of how money is made in your business, that outlines how adding this particular business to your portfolio will make your company more valuable. ... Joe Trustey, managing partner of private equity and venture capital firm Summit Partners ...

  4. How to Develop Your Own Investment Thesis: A Critical Step for Aspiring

    The answer lies in the essence of venture capital success: developing your own investment thesis. What exactly is an Investment Thesis? An investment thesis is your North Star, an illuminating beacon that guides you through the vast ocean of startups, helping you navigate toward the brightest prospects. It's a strategic framework, meticulously ...

  5. How to Create an Investment Thesis

    What it is, why you want one, and how to create it. Zeb Hastings. Oct 13, 2020. One of the essential elements in a venture capital firm is the investment thesis. The thesis can come in many varieties, from broad and loosely defined focuses to a specific vertical and company stage. On the other hand, some investors choose to allocate capital ...

  6. How to Write an Investment Thesis & Develop a Fund Strategy

    Step three: Portfolio construction. A thoughtful portfolio is critical to running a successful fund and shaping your overall investment thesis. Your strategy for portfolio construction signals to LPs how you plan to allocate their capital across investments. Your fund's investment portfolio is essentially the roadmap for the life of the fund.

  7. Venture Capital Careers

    A venture capital investment thesis outlines how a VC fund aims to make money for its investors, typically referred to as Limited Partners (LPs). This strategy identifies crucial factors such as the stage of companies the fund will invest in, commonly early-stage companies, the targeted geography, and specific sectors of focus. ...

  8. How to Create an Investment Thesis [Step-By-Step Guide]

    Step 1: Start With the Essentials. First things first. Before you get into doing the research that goes into an investment thesis or stock pitch, make sure you take the time to write out the basics. At the top of the page, include things like: The name of the company and its ticker symbol. Today's date.

  9. Template for Creating a VC Investment Thesis

    Here is an initial exercise to get started that should take about 30 minutes to an hour. First, use the template above and try to write three versions of a potential venture fund thesis. As ...

  10. Writing a Credible Investment Thesis

    The investment thesis is no more or less than a definitive statement, based on a clear understanding of how money is made in your business, that outlines how adding this particular business to your portfolio will make your company more valuable. ... Joe Trustey, managing partner of private equity and venture capital firm Summit Partners ...

  11. PDF Building a VC Investment Thesis (1.5 Credits)

    1 Components of an investment thesis • Different VC firm strategies • Different decisions to explore: industry, business model, stage, geography, founder demographics • Components of LP deck • High level introduction of funding types: venture capital, venture debt, revenue-based financing Pre class survey

  12. VC Decision Making (Online): Developing an Investment Thesis

    Upon completion of the VC Decision Making (Online): Developing an Investment Thesis program, you will receive a certificate of participation from Columbia Business School Executive Education — a powerful testament to your management capabilities — and add two days toward a Certificate in Business Excellence. Download Brochure.

  13. VC Investment Thesis Collection

    Jan 7, 2018. Tldr; Collection of VC investment thesis that has been made public. The VC world is murky. The innards rarely see light. I just had an advisory call with some chaps setting up a fund ...

  14. How to structure a VC-style investment thesis

    For this to be a venture-level thesis, you're going to have to dig deeper. So, the next part of the exercise will be to break down the broad market into smaller slices. You can slice a market a ...

  15. What Is an Investment Thesis?

    To write an investment thesis for a venture capital or private equity opportunity, you would follow the same outline. Here's a simplified investment thesis for a new coffee shop: People love ...

  16. VC investment thesis: OpenOcean Venture Capital

    OpenOcean is a European early-stage venture capital firm. The company engages in helping entrepreneurs build global software companies. OpenOcean typically lead or co-lead €5M funding rounds. The investing team has extensive technical, product, and operational experience and each partner works with a maximum of 8 young companies.

  17. Investment Thesis Template

    Create your own investment thesis slide with this free template. This template allows you to create your own investment thesis slide detailing your overall strategy. The template is plug-and-play, and you can enter your own text or numbers. The template also includes other slide pages for other elements of a financial model presentation.

  18. Your investor has an investment thesis. Here's why you should care

    It presents this thesis to its own investors — the LPs — so they have a feel for what the venture firm will be investing in. Investing outside of this thesis is sometimes possible for deals ...

  19. Does your VC have an investment thesis or a hypothesis?

    A typical VC thesis: "We invest in tech startups in Europe at an early stage.". However, our experience shows that in many cases "Europe" means a handful of countries, for instance, France ...

  20. Investment Thesis: An Argument in Support of Investing Decisions

    Investment Thesis: An investment thesis is the beliefs that investors decide to use when determining what investments to purchase or sell, when to take an action and why. An investment thesis ...

  21. VC investment Thesis: Union Square Ventures

    Tl;dr: The four USV investment thesis' shared from 2012 to 2021 to guide their investment decisions for this venture capital firm. I nvestment thesis' are a great way to learn about a VC firm, but more so it is a super way to impact your thinking about the world and the lens through which others view it. Since 2012, four investment thesis' have been shared by Union Square Ventures.

  22. What is an Investment Thesis and 3 Tips to Make One

    An investment thesis is a proposal that venture capitalists and investors make regarding a particular investment or entire asset class before investing in it. The thesis states their belief about why a particular investment will give them a good return in the future. Therefore, meticulous research is required to predict potential growth and ...

  23. Venture Capital Investment Memo Collection

    VC Investment Memo Collection. If you are a startup and venture capital nerd, you have a list of cool things you'd love to know about. The problem is that particularly on the VC side very little is shared. Whether it is startups sharing pitch decks, or VCs sharing investment memos or their thesis, everyone deep down is shy.

  24. The missing 'middle layer' in the Seattle startup ecosystem

    In a recent episode of the Startup Project podcast, Mueller discussed his experience in venture capital, the gaps in Seattle's funding landscape, and Breakwater's investment thesis.

  25. Sample seed pitch deck: Xpanceo's $40M deck

    Xpanceo is betting big on turning us all into cyborgs with smart contact lenses, securing a cool $40 million to make our sci-fi dreams a reality. Co-founders Roman Axelrod and Valentyn S. Volkov ...

  26. New York Life Acquires Minority Ownership Stake in Fairview Capital

    One of the largest minority-owned investment management firms in the United States, Fairview is a leader in venture capital and private equity investing, with over $10 billion under management ...

  27. Venture Capital For Scientists: A Guide For Quantum Tech Entrepreneurs

    This is where venture capital (VC) steps in, providing a lifeline to those ventures that hold the promise of revolutionizing technology but lack the necessary funds to accelerate their growth. The Quantum Insider intelligence platform offers an exhaustive look at the investment landscape in quantum. Understanding Venture Capital

  28. 2024 Annual Conference

    The George Washington University Investment Institute hosted the 2024 Annual Conference on March 22nd in Duquès Hall. The conference connected over 60 students, faculty, and alumni with industry practitioners and professionals to discuss the intersection of finance and artificial intelligence (AI). The conference featured opening remarks by GWSB Interim Dean Vanessa Perry, a keynote by ...